What I am on Thursday

[Snowball]

Sides:
20 unit Hewitt -210
4 unit Becker +383
4 unit Levine +115
Nishikori -370 in some parlay with above

Props:
Hewitt 1st Set -175 / Nishikori 1st Set -235

From now on I'm not going to bother listing any
real heavy favorites. In general, they are NOT worth the risk
for the few extra dollars they increase winnings by.
Best not to touch them because then they tempt you
to continue with that strategy which is a loser in the end.

I think Dudi Sela got lucky yesterday and caught Querrey on
what was some kind of sick day. Hewitt was very convincing
last night in his final round 6-1 over Smyczek.
Hewitt has aims at winning this tournament.

[BrianLaverty]

Wait... what? Your not going to list heavy favorites but you bet 20 units on a 2 to 1 favorite? Its a great way to lose $$ in tennis... just like Jankovic last night.

[dangerfish]

I think the play on Hewitt is lay the 3 games and lower those units, assuming you are on it.

[Snowball]

Wait... what? Your not going to list heavy favorites but you bet 20 units on a 2 to 1 favorite? Its a great way to lose $$ in tennis... just like Jankovic last night.

Yesterday was a breakeven day for me even with the Jacko loss. Are you saying you've never lost a bet on a -200's favorite ? Monday and Tuesday I posted big winners as high as +300's. That's right. I'm putting 20 units on Hewitt today. It's my choice. I posted Serena to win Wimble @ +343 and Federer @ +403.
I am not a "value" creep. I bet on who I think will win at odds which are reasonable. I also added some Hewitt +800 to go with my posted +1200 to win tourney and also some Levine to win tourney @ +3500.

[Snowball]

I think the play on Hewitt is lay the 3 games and lower those units, assuming you are on it.

then go ahead and lay 3, it's not my play. 3 can happen
and I don't want a push.

[BrianLaverty]

http://sharkys-sports.com/pksw-brianl.php

Very rarely do I lay -200....

And there are good spots and bad spots to do it..... last night jankovic was one of the worst plays I've seen on sbr..... I personally don't think hewitt is in a great spot either.... the line is suspiciously low and he's just played a 3-setter last night

[baskets]

5-4 2nd set of the Almagro match

I need one hold by Almagro for the win. just has to even it at 5-5

[baskets]

15-0
15a

[baskets]

30-15

bring it home, Almy

[baskets]

40-15

one more pt, baby

[baskets]

win. but faker better not retire

[dangerfish]

then go ahead and lay 3, it's not my play. 3 can happen
and I don't want a push.

It is just a question of value, if you think Hewitt nudges him in a battle and your concerned about not covering 3 games then I think your 20 unit play is a bit aggressive is my only point.

[Snowball]

http://sharkys-sports.com/pksw-brianl.php

Very rarely do I lay -200....

And there are good spots and bad spots to do it..... last night jankovic was one of the worst plays I've seen on sbr..... I personally don't think hewitt is in a great spot either.... the line is suspiciously low and he's just played a 3-setter last night

? If look at the first post I made on the Jacko play and see the statistics, Jacko was a reasonable choice to win that match and I don't think you've been betting tennis very long at all if you think -245 is a "huge favorite". I also don't think you know anything about SBR if you think Jacko -245 over an iffy unproven player is "the worst bet you've ever seen".
Don't troll my threads.

[Snowball]

It is just a question of value, if you think Hewitt nudges him in a battle and your concerned about not covering 3 games then I think your 20 unit play is a bit aggressive is my only point.

I am up 12x my money in the last month with winnings about the
same on tennis and baseball. I'll put it where I please.
Your assumption includes Hewitt winning in 2 straight sets.
He lost a set to Smyczek last night. He could lose a set to Sela
and that could bury your -3 because the matches add up inclusive.
Say 6-4,2-6,6-2.. then where's your -3 ?

[Snowball]

if Hewitt wins, I'm all done for the day up over 20 units.

[QuangX]

Any chance in hell Kei, play like shit?

[Snowball]

Any chance in hell Kei, play like shit?

both Kei and Rajeev are well experienced grass pros, i have some action
on Kei but nothing heavy. This is the first time they are head to head on grass.
Kei took the two matches they've faced each other on hard court.

[ParlayininHTown]

Sela has shot himself in the foot a lot, but Hewitt's movement looks nice. He is playing a more solid game of tennis than he did against Smyczek.

[dangerfish]

I am up 12x my money in the last month with winnings about the
same on tennis and baseball. I'll put it where I please.
Your assumption includes Hewitt winning in 2 straight sets.
He lost a set to Smyczek last night. He could lose a set to Sela
and that could bury your -3 because the matches add up inclusive.
Say 6-4,2-6,6-2.. then where's your -3 ?

It sounds like you have sports betting figured out, can't see any flaws in your logic at all.

[Snowball]

Sela has shot himself in the foot a lot, but Hewitt's movement looks nice. He is playing a more solid game of tennis than he did against Smyczek.

where are you watching the match ?

[ParlayininHTown]

where are you watching the match ?

If you're interested: http://www.vipbox.tv/watch/60545/2/h...am-online.html

Install this plug-in called "ad-blocker plus" on your browser before you go to these streaming websites. It basically removes all those annoying pop up adds that block the screen.

[ParlayininHTown]

Sela gets the break to even the set at 3, then double faults four times and makes an unforced error into the net to allow Hewitt to break back.

Beautiful tennis ...

[ParlayininHTown]

Snowball hits the jackpot. Hewitt wins 6-4, 6-3.

[Snowball]

thanks guys, gonna enjoy my winnings and think about
what I want to do tomorrow cuz MLB is coming back also.
we'll see.

[ridims]

the becker play was more impressive. nice hit wow

[BrianLaverty]

Sela straight up handed it to him in the 2nd set... No way Hewitt should have been a 2 to 1 favorite, and it was a horrible bet... win or loss.

[Snowball]

it was a horrible bet... win or loss.

whatever, guy. the money is real.