MagicDiceFlow's Two Plays for Thursday ....KERBER + WILLIAMS

[MagicDiceFlow]

These are my picks for the two WTA matches for Thursday:

SERENA WILLIAMS -2.5 Games and Money Line-
Serena is in decent form here before this match against Azarenka Thursday. Not dominant like two months ago, but decent. However, I believe that form will increase against Aza in this semifinal matchup. Williams is very near and can taste the Wimbledon trophy. With Sharapova gone, it's her tournament to win. At this point of her career, winning another Slam is huge. Moments like these are the only thing that's keeping her from retirement. She's the most dominant player ever to play women's tennis and players like her shine strongly when moments like these present themselves. She has the eye of the tiger and the skills to back it up. She matches up with Azarenka incredibly well and I dont see Vikka with enough weapons to pull off a win here. I believe Serena will cover the money and the games line easily.

KERBER -2.0 Games and Money Line-
Radwanska is in solid form but I'm siding with the bookies line here. I believe Kerber's groundstrokes and shot making abilities are just too powerful at the moment for Radwanska's cerebral type play. If Radwanska can find a way to push this deep into a 3rd set, she may win. However Kerber's booming winners from both the backhand and forehand side will be a bit too much for Radwanska's finesse type play.

Best of Luck!

Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
	7/4/2012 7:46PM	Spread	575.00	500.00	Other Sports - 47705 A. Kerber (Games) -2 -115 for Game
	7/4/2012 7:47PM	Spread	575.00	500.00	Other Sports - 47611 S. Williams (Games) -2½ -115 for Game
	7/4/2012 7:48PM	Parlay	500.00	806.45	Other Sports - 4757 A. Kerber -155 for Game Other Sports - 4759 S. Williams -170 for Game

[good2go2mexico]

I am huge on Serena. Just look at the number of aces she is racking up.

Kerber scares me probably gonna just stay away. Her mini meltdown in the 2nd and 3rd sets on Tuesday really made me think twice on her.

Let's have another absoluely HUGEEEEE day of tennis!

[Semper Fidelis]

What about Djokovic? I was thinking of adding him to the parlay. Really don't think there's any way he loses tomorrow. Also, what are your thoughts on Tsonga/Murray over?

[oakland50]

Let's get that money!!!!

[MagicDiceFlow]

What about Djokovic? I was thinking of adding him to the parlay. Really don't think there's any way he loses tomorrow. Also, what are your thoughts on Tsonga/Murray over?

I'll have those released tomorrow night after the WTA matches complete. I never play the straight up money line when these two meet. Even though I think Djoker will win, I'm still not prepared to risk -250 for it. Against any other two players maybe.

Good luck though.

[MeatWad]

I love the Serena pick, which is rare because she usually is overvalued. I agree totally that her motivation is huge here, situations like this keep her from retiring and remind her why she is a tennis player. She will seize this rare opportunity, relying on her dominant power game holding her service games much easier than her opponents. I like her form as well, she seems to play to the level of the competition at times, but she has always kicked it into a higher gear when the match requires it, a sign that she has that dominant edge back.

Also agree with the Kerber pick. She is by far the most improved player on the circuit, and has huge value in general as her her vastly improved form isn't fully reflected in the price. Although she played an exhausting match in her last one, the fact she lost a second set, struggled at times, but had the mental toughness and game to close it out shows great strength, mentally and physically.

Gonna ride these two until the wheels fall off, good luck!

[exshot]

These are my picks for the two WTA matches for Thursday:

SERENA WILLIAMS -2.5 Games and Money Line-
Serena is in decent form here before this match against Azarenka Thursday. Not dominant like two months ago, but decent. However, I believe that form will increase against Aza in this semifinal matchup. Williams is very near and can taste the Wimbledon trophy. With Sharapova gone, it's her tournament to win. At this point of her career, winning another Slam is huge. Moments like these are the only thing that's keeping her from retirement. She's the most dominant player ever to play women's tennis and players like her shine strongly when moments like these present themselves. She has the eye of the tiger and the skills to back it up. She matches up with Azarenka incredibly well and I dont see Vikka with enough weapons to pull off a win here. I believe Serena will cover the money and the games line easily.

KERBER -2.0 Games and Money Line-
Radwanska is in solid form but I'm siding with the bookies line here. I believe Kerber's groundstrokes and shot making abilities are just too powerful at the moment for Radwanska's cerebral type play. If Radwanska can find a way to push this deep into a 3rd set, she may win. However Kerber's booming winners from both the backhand and forehand side will be a bit too much for Radwanska's finesse type play.

Best of Luck!

Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
	7/4/2012 7:46PM	Spread	575.00	500.00	Other Sports - 47705 A. Kerber (Games) -2 -115 for Game
	7/4/2012 7:47PM	Spread	575.00	500.00	Other Sports - 47611 S. Williams (Games) -2½ -115 for Game
	7/4/2012 7:48PM	Parlay	500.00	806.45	Other Sports - 4757 A. Kerber -155 for Game Other Sports - 4759 S. Williams -170 for Game

The game spread is coming up for kerber -1.5 +155 and williams -1.5 +150? Where are you getting the that juice from?

Thanks!

[Semper Fidelis]

Yeah I just realized their match isn't until Friday, my bad. I'll just bet on the ladies tomorrow, and hopefully not give it back with baseball. I've had the worst luck the past couple weeks with that sport. I think I'm just going to be disciplined from now on and only follow you and good2go, I respect y'all the most of everyone in this forum. Please let us know if/when you have any bases pick tomorrow, I really need to catch back up to where I was. Once again, thanks for all you do to help us!

[Semper Fidelis]

The game spread is coming up for kerber -1.5 +155 and williams -1.5 +150? Where are you getting the that juice from?

Thanks!

You're probably looking at set spreads buddy! Lol but they might be good as well...

[exshot]

You're probably looking at set spreads buddy! Lol but they might be good as well...

I wished my book would offer that but bol MDF

[EVPlus]

BOL everyone. I agreee Serena MUST know deep inside that her window is getting smaller and smaller every year and she has to bring it.

[face]

Want to pound Serena, she gets tons of free points off of aces lately. But she played two doubles matches today and she needs rest because she is so fat. But I will play it anyway I guess.

So kerber is the play? Cannot tell, might tail a little

[alta]

Want to pound Serena, she gets tons of free points off of aces lately. But she played two doubles matches today and she needs rest because she is so fat. But I will play it anyway I guess.

so fat you say....

[Mercersux]

Serena -2.5...LOCK THAT SHIZNIT IN !!! She should roll.

[AceKingHigh]

Good luck bro!

[The Bet Master]

Glad to see you on Kerber as well. A lot of people I've seen are on Radwanska.

[EVPlus]

....

[MagicDiceFlow]

....

Good points there EV. I also want to add that Radwanska plays a solid net game. This complements with the grass surface well BUT Kerber has punished all of her opponents that came to net on this surface. Kerber sports an impressive 9-1 record on grass.

During this tournament, her shots are just so darn crisp. I think Kerber will burn Radwanska at the net with punishing passing shots. Radwanska will then have to resort back to the baseline which edge goes to Kerber in her current form.

[ghislaine]

Took both gals games and ML. Serena was already at -3 at betus, but took it nevertheless.
Also this time I parlayed all four for a full unit

[Dmoneytx]

MDF, what's up man???!!!!! I tailed you on that Yankees play the other day, FUK, that hurt me bad brotha, LOL!! It's all good though, freaking Cards came thru for me tonight on the Run Line, I went big. Thank Gosh for that 8th inning, whew!!

I am wishing you the BOL on the plays tomm. The WTA is such a freaking crap shoot. The only chick I really like to bet is Sarena. I took TWO plays all Wimbledon with the chicks, Sharapova when she won earlier & Sarena against Kvitova. Sarena is really a man in my eyes, so betting her is not crazy. Any other woman, IMO, is crazy. Hahahaha......

I hope you tear it up tomm, I am liking Sarena too, just don't know how or how much. BOL my friend, as always

[MagicDiceFlow]

Hey Dmoney, I couldnt cap those three errors by the Yankees on that game. Everything was going as planned and looking good until those errors which turned into 4 runs.

Best of luck on your plays tomorrow.

[Dmoneytx]

I know, those errors were freaking horrible. I was like WTF. Then like WTF. Then again. And again. I know u can't cap that kind of crap!! I always value your input on any sport. Gonna go light tomm I think, BOL to you as well sir

[ChrisJ]

Hey MDF. Thanks for sharing that story, it was a really good read. Have you or do you play any online nl holdem?

I thought today i would make some decent sized bets (for me) but stupid bookie limited my bet on Williams. Anyway I am on Serena -2.5 and Kerber -1.5. Parlayed and a single bet on Serena too. BOL mate.

[Galego]

Good luck man!!

Will be on those plays as well!!

[nosaij]

kerber down. Hope serena pulls it through.
BOL

[Galego]

Let's go Serena!!!

[cracknobug]

Yes, Kerber down but Serena looks good!

6-3 1st set!

[Galego]

Hell yeah Serena!!! Finishing the game with a ACE!!!

[MagicDiceFlow]

Azarenka played well but Serena just dominated her with those 24 aces, a Wimbledon record on the women's side.


Hats off to Radwanska. She played extremely well and beat Kerber at her own game.


Went 1-1 on the day with the lost on the parlay.

[jbart28]

Serena for HEAPS in the Finals! Fukin HEAPS I say!!!!

[ParlayininHTown]

Serena for HEAPS in the Finals! Fukin HEAPS I say!!!!

Is the stage set for an "all in" play?

[MeatWad]

Is the stage set for an "all in" play?

Wow those Serena odds are high now! Even before the semi's match she was actually +money to win it all, and obviously looked like she wouldn't lose a set.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Hi Guys,

I had a few PM's wondering where I've been. Just wanted to let you know there won't be any baseball plays for the next few days. Be careful on betting the MLB on the few days before the All Star break. These games are quite tricky as some teams will be winding down getting ready for the days off. It will be hard to tell which teams these are so the best play is a NO PLAY to preserve your bankroll. I spoke with several other cappers and they'll be doing the same. Tread lightly if you decide to play.

If you're looking for a solid bet this weekend, the only thing I can recommend is taking FEDERER on the money line. In my opinion, this will be Federer's last grand slam he'll win and he'll make it special tomorrow. Murray will make it a good fight with the heavy home crowd behind him but that won't be enough.

I'll see you guys again next week. Always remember, in this business the bankroll is your inventory. Don't lose all the inventory over skeptical games.


Take care guys,
MDF

[ChrisJ]

Thanks for the advice MDF, currently sitting in Italy enjoying my vacation, but had to check in to see if you had any bets going on this weekend :-) Lets get federer and relax until you get back next weekend.

[rogue40]

mdf..thx a ton for the fed. pick today..I loaded my wheelbarrow to the top today with greenies..thx again and have a great week mdf,,,larry