Possible Future Plays?

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  • Semper Fidelis
    SBR MVP
    • 09-22-11
    • 1999

    #1
    Possible Future Plays?
    I just wanted to see what your thoughts were on making a few futures wagers. Obviously you've already made a few before the tournament began, which is the best time to get very good value. However, I was just wondering if you think it would just be throwing away money to make a few smaller wagers on some of the underdogs like Youzhny or Ferrer or Malisse. Basically what I'm asking is, do you think it's pretty much almost a sure thing that either Joker or Federer will win? Both of them started very slow their last matches, losing the first set. I actually thought that benneteau was going to beat federer-he was in position to win the match up 5-4 in the 4th set. It just seems like the two powerhouses seem vulnerable, especially after nadal losing. I mean don't they usually have an easier time than this? I thought there might even be good value in Murray, but too scared to pull the trigger on him. Just curious what everyone is thinking, I certainly don't know and follow tennis near as much as you guys. As always, thanks for all your help and advice!
  • Luca Fury
    SBR MVP
    • 05-10-12
    • 1136

    #2
    I would be fairly surprised if Djokovic didn't win it all, but if neither him, Federer or Murray won it, I would be blown away.

    I have a bet on Federer being eliminated in the semi-finals at -120, since I think he gets there and then gets rolled by Djokovic, but if he somehow beat Novak, he could win the final too.

    With Nadal out, Murray is the favorite to get to the finals on that side of the bracket. He gave Djokovic a hell of a match at the Australia Open this year, so maybe he an replicate it and even get the win this time? I doubt it, and will bet Djokovic over him if they do indeed meet in the finals, but it's possible.

    Even if a guy like Tsonga, Del Potro, Ferrer or Youzhny gets to the finals opposite of Djokovic/Federer, I just can't see them winning. Especially if it's Djokovic, who I'm confident will win it all. So the only gusy who I think has value for a future bet would be mainly Djokovic at even money, but maybe a tiny play on Murray at near +600 could be good.

    Personally, I only bet a future on Djokovic to win before the tourney started at +170.
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