Malisse +100 even money, yes please

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  • good2go2mexico
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-25-11
    • 791

    #1
    Malisse +100 even money, yes please
    A few people asked me to post another play or two after my big hit on Kohlschreiber today. I don't like to have to eat a lot of chalk so I usually look for the value plays as opposed to anyone favored over -150. I occasionally do parlays as well but never anyone over -500. It doesn't make sense to me when I see some plays with -1000 It adds so little to the overall profit and look at Berdych and Isner for all you need to know about not doing that.

    So here goes nothing:

    Malisse has a career .667 winning percentage on the grass. That makes him a beast in my book. You'll get no argument from me that Simon is obviously the superior player. Except for on grass. Simon got an easy break against an injured Mathieu with a retirement after 2 sets in round 1. The line says it all you can get a much, much better overall player for -120. The books are begging you to take Simon. I'm going to throw down 7.5 units on Malisse at +100.

    I am also leaning towards some kind of parlay involving Mayer at -135 (who has been very hot as late and is 3-0 lifetime against Petzschner (albeit never on grass) and Mahut at -175 (because I think Falla used everything he had in upsetting Isner).

    Any thoughts? Anyone with me?
  • Blax0r
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-13-10
    • 688

    #2
    I like the Xavier pick; his grass performance is really great.

    I'm not sure about the parlay you mentioned; if you go by the grass history, Petzschner has a lot more experience.
    Comment
    • good2go2mexico
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-25-11
      • 791

      #3
      Originally posted by Blax0r
      I'm not sure about the parlay you mentioned; if you go by the grass history, Petzschner has a lot more experience.
      You're probably right about Mayer. I've won a lot of money on him recently so maybe I'm trying to go to the well one time too many. I read an artcile that Mayer and Petzschner have known each other since they were 6 years old, talk about a long term rivalry huh.
      Comment
      • adila1401
        SBR MVP
        • 11-16-11
        • 2014

        #4
        I am also going with Malisse..he plays well on a fast surface and Simon hasn't been playing that well recently..BOL

        Also I think OVER is the play in Petz-Mayer matchup
        Comment
        • Goat Milk
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-24-10
          • 25850

          #5
          Malisse over Simon? No thanks. Simon is one of the most consistent players on tour. Malisse is never focused during the grand slams.
          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
          Comment
          • good2go2mexico
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-25-11
            • 791

            #6
            Originally posted by Goat Milk
            Malisse over Simon? No thanks. Simon is one of the most consistent players on tour. Malisse is never focused during the grand slams.
            Consistent on grass? I think not.
            Comment
            • drew2
              SBR MVP
              • 10-05-10
              • 1047

              #7
              thanks for the picks
              Comment
              • Inovated
                SBR Rookie
                • 04-17-12
                • 45

                #8
                damn at my bookie its EVEN for Malisse
                Comment
                • yisman
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-01-08
                  • 75682

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Inovated
                  damn at my bookie its EVEN for Malisse
                  yeah well that's what he got as well.

                  Anyone that wants to bet points, I'll offer +110 on Malisse. Non-pros can only transfer 2 a day though, so no reason to bother unless you're a pro.



                  transfer before match begins and you have action
                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                  [/quote]

                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                  Comment
                  • good2go2mexico
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-25-11
                    • 791

                    #10
                    It's up to +110 now exactly what I wanted to see. The money is starting to come in on Simon and I always feel more confident betting against the general public. I'm going to try to wait it out until right before the match and see if I can get +115. Let's get this one to anyone who's with me on this.
                    Comment
                    • good2go2mexico
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-25-11
                      • 791

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Blax0r
                      I like the Xavier pick; his grass performance is really great.

                      I'm not sure about the parlay you mentioned; if you go by the grass history, Petzschner has a lot more experience.
                      Thanks for talking me out of the Mayer pick. I have a habit of running the well dry on a player that I've hit a bunch of times in a row. Petzschner is handling him quite easily through 2.
                      Comment
                      • silvap
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-01-12
                        • 685

                        #12
                        Im on it! Best of luck and thanks for sharing
                        Comment
                        • good2go2mexico
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-25-11
                          • 791

                          #13
                          Wow what a comeback for Mayer win 3 straight sets down 2-0. Oh well got to concentrate on Malisse now.
                          Comment
                          • sharlataans
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-13-10
                            • 1927

                            #14
                            Originally posted by good2go2mexico
                            It's up to +110 now exactly what I wanted to see. The money is starting to come in on Simon and I always feel more confident betting against the general public. I'm going to try to wait it out until right before the match and see if I can get +115. Let's get this one to anyone who's with me on this.
                            You will have even better odds if you bet live, when Malisse is 2 sets down.
                            Comment
                            • good2go2mexico
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-25-11
                              • 791

                              #15
                              Originally posted by sharlataans
                              You will have even better odds if you bet live, when Malisse is 2 sets down.
                              Well since that't not gonna happen, I will have to settle for the +110. Also really doubt this match is going to get played today with all the rain delays.
                              Comment
                              • MagicDiceFlow
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-15-12
                                • 4585

                                #16
                                Malisse & Simon match just got cancelled til tomorrow.
                                Comment
                                • yisman
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-01-08
                                  • 75682

                                  #17
                                  postponed you mean
                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                  [/quote]

                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                  Comment
                                  • MagicDiceFlow
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-15-12
                                    • 4585

                                    #18
                                    Or postponed......for some reason the brits notate it as "cancelled" on the Wimbledon site.
                                    Comment
                                    • good2go2mexico
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-25-11
                                      • 791

                                      #19
                                      Good luck getting it in tomorrow either. 70% chance of rain last I looked. I'm going to wait to make my play until they actually step foot on the court don't feel like having my money tied up for the next 3 days.
                                      Comment
                                      • yisman
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-01-08
                                        • 75682

                                        #20
                                        I wish I hadn't bet tennis this week. What a disaster.
                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                        [/quote]

                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                        Comment
                                        • good2go2mexico
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-25-11
                                          • 791

                                          #21
                                          Sorry forgot to post last night when I officially locked in the play but I had said I was going to hit it at 7 1/2 units.

                                          Pending:

                                          6/27/12 11:59 Pm $750.00 $ 900.00 Pending 6/28/12 6:30am ATP Tennis 145Xavier Malisse +120* vs Gilles Simon
                                          Comment
                                          • JNic
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-03-10
                                            • 4272

                                            #22
                                            3-3 in tiebreak, such big moments. Lol it's so funny cause I checked twitter and all these WTA fans are going nuts cheering for Malisse because of Simon's comments about equal pay
                                            Comment
                                            • JNic
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-03-10
                                              • 4272

                                              #23
                                              I love the X-man he's just pushing at 4-4, longest raly of match and he's pushing against a pusher and outduels him in patience
                                              Comment
                                              • JNic
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-03-10
                                                • 4272

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                Malisse over Simon? No thanks. Simon is one of the most consistent players on tour. Malisse is never focused during the grand slams.
                                                It's funny you say this because that's the most determined and focused I've ever seen Malisse play...
                                                Comment
                                                • good2go2mexico
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-25-11
                                                  • 791

                                                  #25
                                                  Cash it in straight sets. Up $ 3,000 in the last 3 days with Kohlschreiber and Malisse. Congrats to anyone who has tailed both.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • silvap
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 06-01-12
                                                    • 685

                                                    #26
                                                    Cheers mate! Another solid pick, appreciate the sharing
                                                    Comment
                                                    • good2go2mexico
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-25-11
                                                      • 791

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by silvap
                                                      Cheers mate! Another solid pick, appreciate the sharing
                                                      Thanks for the support. I'm going to create a new thread and just post my plays in one place.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Inovated
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 04-17-12
                                                        • 45

                                                        #28
                                                        Good Job looking forward to your next picks
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hougigo
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-01-12
                                                          • 3665

                                                          #29
                                                          Good Call on the Malisse.... blew a unit on the underdog Babos, it's fine though.... you win some you lose some. I'll tail you on your next one
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Blax0r
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 10-13-10
                                                            • 688

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by good2go2mexico
                                                            Sorry forgot to post last night when I officially locked in the play but I had said I was going to hit it at 7 1/2 units.

                                                            Pending:

                                                            6/27/12 11:59 Pm $750.00 $ 900.00 Pending 6/28/12 6:30am ATP Tennis 145Xavier Malisse +120* vs Gilles Simon
                                                            Sending over more of my respects.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • hougigo
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-01-12
                                                              • 3665

                                                              #31
                                                              Sooooooo, any more you like tomorrow?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • good2go2mexico
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-25-11
                                                                • 791

                                                                #32
                                                                Thanks again guys. I started a new thread and I'll just post my plays there. I am initially liking Youzhny a lot and I mean a lot. I'll post something official in the new thread later. Thanks again for the support.
                                                                Comment
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