The key is finding out when and who nadal will tank against in a tourney leading up to a major. Kohly always plays well in Germany. Def worth a shot @+550 imo.
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holy shit, i was thinking of starting a thread like this one; glad im not the only one giving nadal/kohlschreiber a hard look.
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Nadal is 8-0 lifetime against Kohl though.Comment -
... The match in Madrid is still vivid in the mindComment -
Price is obviously a bit stretched out - but Kohlschreiber hasn't been overly impressive in this tournament. Also think it's risky to think that Nadal is going to "tank" - surely based on previous history in between the French & Wimbledon, right? It might be worth a small play, but I think Nadal's previous seasons he was legitimately run-down from over playing during the clay season and nagging injuries. This year, I think he's about as healthy as he's probably been in a while and this being the only Grass tournament he'll play before Wimbledon, these matches are quality practice time against live competition. He may well lose somewhere in this tournament, but I think he's going to have to be outplayed. Maybe Kohly steps up and does that tomorrow, but I'd give Berdych in the round after and potentially Federer after that a better shot. Just my two cents as if I know shit from shit.
The Madrid match has absolutely nothing to do with this theory either. Nadal and Djokovic were both very vocal about not wanting to play on that surface and even that being said, Nadal played a terrible end to that match. People who think he tanked that match are absolutely insane. He was at match point I believe with a 5-2 lead or something along those lines ... you think even the best of the best of the best can play that close to winning and then deliberately lose all those games in a row without their opponent screwing it up?
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Just hate it when there is a well thought out and intelligent response to set me straight. Like my wife.Originally posted by EaglesPhan36Price is obviously a bit stretched out - but Kohlschreiber hasn't been overly impressive in this tournament. Also think it's risky to think that Nadal is going to "tank" - surely based on previous history in between the French & Wimbledon, right? It might be worth a small play, but I think Nadal's previous seasons he was legitimately run-down from over playing during the clay season and nagging injuries. This year, I think he's about as healthy as he's probably been in a while and this being the only Grass tournament he'll play before Wimbledon, these matches are quality practice time against live competition. He may well lose somewhere in this tournament, but I think he's going to have to be outplayed. Maybe Kohly steps up and does that tomorrow, but I'd give Berdych in the round after and potentially Federer after that a better shot. Just my two cents as if I know shit from shit.
The Madrid match has absolutely nothing to do with this theory either. Nadal and Djokovic were both very vocal about not wanting to play on that surface and even that being said, Nadal played a terrible end to that match. People who think he tanked that match are absolutely insane. He was at match point I believe with a 5-2 lead or something along those lines ... you think even the best of the best of the best can play that close to winning and then deliberately lose all those games in a row without their opponent screwing it up?
laying off Nadal/ Kohl it is.Comment -
You only think that because he is only worthy of beating nadal but being worthy doesn't exactly exceed confidence in placing a wager on himComment -
Lolhi lost a set to kubot yesterday
That should end the upset possibilityComment -
I don't think it's stupid to take a shot as anything can happen in this intermediate tourneys between Slams, but I would suggest going for maybe half your normal wager size. If it wins, you obviously make money no matter what. I won't be surprised if Kohlschreiber maybe snags a set if he serves really well, but I think he's been a little lazy this week.Comment -
No chanceComment -
i don't know, nadal could eat a sandwich and play with one hand and still win i thinkComment -
Don't see Nadal upset this early at all. If anything I see Fed upset.Comment -
This. He is just that good regardless of what type of courtOriginally posted by faceComment -
Remember Nadal vs. Lopez? same scenario. on grass. Lopez hadn't beaten hiim... odds? -1000 or something like that
Lopez took him down in 2 straight sets
decent spot. if not tomorrow, then likely the Sat matchComment -
I'll give anyone +600 on kohlschreiber for up to 300 points if you want. It would be great for Kohli to get this win, i dont really got an angle on the play but I like to **** around with my sbr points. If anyone wants action just send the points at least before youzhny/stepanek is overComment -
What ya think about Haas +250?Comment -
well, first meeting was 2003... Lopez beat Nadal... thereafter.... Nadal won 5 straight... then grass loss in 2010 to Lopez following the French.. then Lopez never beat hiim again.
I thought the odds were -1000... but they were actually around -300 or something like that. must've remembered it wrongComment -
paco, what u think of Dodig > Q tomorrow?
coin flip match, imo... and getting >180Comment -
I think dodigs confidence is sky high now after beating that choke fake TsongaOriginally posted by basketsComment -
Mahuts confidence was high after beating murray and than loses to dimitrov. Q wins that match.He is serving amazing ace after ace after ace.Originally posted by pacoComment -
U might be right. I'm still "amateur" In tennis wagering. Doing well, but alot to learn still. Enjoy all ya veteran tennis posters inputsOriginally posted by DemonataComment -
Nadal will get the job done tomorrow.Comment -
HAHA it's all good man. Main thing is making money and having fun doing it.Originally posted by paco
Querrey is getting a ton of easpy points with how many aces he's getting each match. Also you have to watch out for the letdowns after big wins.
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2-0 kohlyComment -
3-0 you might be on to something here. Hope you hit this my man. I just couldn't back a guy that was for 0-8 lifetime against Nadal.Comment -
Nadal in full tank mode and im going to laugh my way to the bank.Comment -
Tennis=situational betting.Comment -
And betting against Tsonga.Originally posted by tevariComment -
First set done, 6-3, Kohl. The first couple of games in the second set will determine where Nadal's mind is - the here & now, or Wimbledon. My guess is the latter.Comment -
Told you bro. Rafa don't tank. He might get beat when he plays bad, but dude efforts almost every time outside of injury.Comment -
Do you really think that if this was Wimbledon, he'd be down 3-6, 2-2 to Kohlschreiber? I'm watching a stream, he's giving it about 75%.Comment -
I still see Nadal winning this match.He's playing bad though.Comment -
Kohly breaks in the second set. Up now 6-3, 4-3, and serving. I'm sharp.
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what?Originally posted by Imsmarterthanu[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment -
wow, +600 looking like a winner.[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment
