26 DAYS till July 8th WIMBLEDON FINAL..... and Fed won't be there.

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  • baskets
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-24-11
    • 11691

    #1
    26 DAYS till July 8th WIMBLEDON FINAL..... and Fed won't be there.


    Tue, Jun 12:

    Wimbledon
    :

    Djoker:....................+149
    Rafa:.......................+248
    Fed:........................+543 (wow!!!)

    Olympics:

    Djoker:....................+186
    Rafa:.......................+386
    Fed:........................+353 (wow!!!)
    Massu:....................+6,000,000


    Oddsmakers giving Fed shit chance, really. And to be frank, I don't think he'll make it to the final. Nothing more that I'd like to see than that.... but here is who can knock him out on the way to the final:

    Djoker, Nadal, Del Potro, Berdych, Murray (yep, I said it), Tsonga.

    I can tolerate anybody winning Wimbledon EXCEPT Nadal and the animal. Well, I may puke once or twice if Murray wins, but just don't let Nadal or the savage win it.

    And, yes, Murray has a shot here.

    Let's see how these odds develop.
  • baskets
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-24-11
    • 11691

    #2
    Interesting how the odds are for the Olympics.... re the 3-set matches. If Slams were 3-set matches, we'd have a shitload of different slam winners every year and lots of great players would be susceptible to quick eliminations.

    This is part of my reasoning why Nadal has such jacked odds for the Olympics. ATP pros are so soft mentally they can't sustain it against Rafa in 5-set matches ... and they just go belly down and then Rafa moves in for the anus pumping.
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    • MagicDiceFlow
      SBR MVP
      • 01-15-12
      • 4585

      #3
      My boy Berdych gonna tear it up at Wimbledon. No one expected him to do good on clay but he did. On grass with his killer serve, watch out.
      Comment
      • gaebiskon
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-10-12
        • 869

        #4
        by savage, you mean who?
        oh, nadal will win wimbledon, no worries
        Comment
        • baskets
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-24-11
          • 11691

          #5
          Sun night, Jun 17:

          Wimbledon
          :

          Djoker:....................+134
          Rafa:.......................+287
          Fed:........................+440

          Olympics:

          Djoker:....................+187
          Rafa:.......................+388
          Fed:........................+345


          Fed's odds improved? I think Raonic could beat him in Wimbledon if they face off. I don't think there's any way Fed can win Wimbledon. I could even see an early exit. This has to be the worst outlook for Fed going into Wimbledon ever. He can pretty much get beat by a whole slew of top 10 players... and could get toasted by some top 50 player.

          Think it was 2 yrs ago going down 2-0 to the Colombian.... this time I don't think he'd come back. And chances against Rafa or Djoker ... not good at all.

          Sad day for tennis.

          Hope he wins, though.
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          • Sport_Fish
            SBR MVP
            • 12-06-10
            • 4079

            #6
            Man Djoker at +134 looks really good. I think we can safely take Fed out of the picture, which leaves Nadal. And Djoker would've come really close to beating Nadal on his best surface if it werent for the rain delay, and I feel confident Djoker can take care of business against him on Grass.

            Hopefully Djoker's draw isnt too hard, but even then, hard to see him being knocked out early. Fed, I agree he could be knocked out before semi's, but even if not, he's not gonna beat Djoker.
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            • Goat Milk
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-24-10
              • 25850

              #7
              Federer will never lose to anyone outside the top 10 at wimbledon.

              Fed will win the olympics too.
              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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              • JNic
                SBR MVP
                • 01-03-10
                • 4272

                #8
                Originally posted by Goat Milk
                Federer will never lose to anyone outside the top 10 at wimbledon.

                Fed will win the olympics too.
                Yea don't forget Olympics is best of 3 until the final which is best of 5. And it's the same venue as wimbledon (I think?) and that's why the odds are so different because it just takes away the absolute grind it out type win Djokovic and Nadal can get and someone like Fed can serve his way through any best of 3 much easier
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                • MagicDiceFlow
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-15-12
                  • 4585

                  #9
                  Fed at +543 is a decent number but I've never been a big fan of futures. So much crap can happen from now til the final. Although it's highly unlikely, at Fed's current age, a simple injury isnt by any means out of the question. Pulled groin, twisted ankle, heck even a simple flu bug can ruin your chances. We saw what happened with Fat Dave yesterday. So many factors have to align just right for you to hit a future. I would rather take that money and bet him straight up starting from the round of 16 and on. I personally think thats a much safer bet.
                  Comment
                  • baskets
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-24-11
                    • 11691

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JNic
                    Yea don't forget Olympics is best of 3 until the final which is best of 5. And it's the same venue as wimbledon (I think?) and that's why the odds are so different because it just takes away the absolute grind it out type win Djokovic and Nadal can get and someone like Fed can serve his way through any best of 3 much easier
                    In a 2-set match anybody can beat Fed nowadays.

                    Raonic can beat Fed in a 2-setter. Slams down the serves... and it's 2 tb's and it's gsm.

                    A 3-set win is what stops a lot of guys from beating Nadal.... but Rafa just wears those guys out when they have to beat him 3 sets. They can't finish.

                    Can always get a surprise in a 2-set match. Lose the 1st set and then you're in trouble.
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                    • Goat Milk
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 25850

                      #11
                      Originally posted by baskets
                      In a 2-set match anybody can beat Fed nowadays.

                      Raonic can beat Fed in a 2-setter. Slams down the serves... and it's 2 tb's and it's gsm.

                      A 3-set win is what stops a lot of guys from beating Nadal.... but Rafa just wears those guys out when they have to beat him 3 sets. They can't finish.

                      Can always get a surprise in a 2-set match. Lose the 1st set and then you're in trouble.
                      No way I'll bet you anything if Fed plays Raonic in any of these tourneys. Fed is amazing bro you guys are trippin. He's in his prime right now. His best tennis is better than Nadal's or Djokovic's best tennis. Only Djok and Nadal play their best tennis consistently.
                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                      Comment
                      • JNic
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-03-10
                        • 4272

                        #12
                        Originally posted by baskets
                        In a 2-set match anybody can beat Fed nowadays.

                        Raonic can beat Fed in a 2-setter. Slams down the serves... and it's 2 tb's and it's gsm.

                        A 3-set win is what stops a lot of guys from beating Nadal.... but Rafa just wears those guys out when they have to beat him 3 sets. They can't finish.

                        Can always get a surprise in a 2-set match. Lose the 1st set and then you're in trouble.
                        Yea that's what I'm saying, best of 3 is way better for Fed to be able to take out Rafa or Djokovic in semi's or for like Raonic like you said to take one of them out.

                        Yea I just have a feeling Fed will win either Wimbledon or Olympics, if he loses both then idk what to say lol
                        Comment
                        • baskets
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-24-11
                          • 11691

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                          No way I'll bet you anything if Fed plays Raonic in any of these tourneys. Fed is amazing bro you guys are trippin. He's in his prime right now. His best tennis is better than Nadal's or Djokovic's best tennis. Only Djok and Nadal play their best tennis consistently.

                          you even see the Fed/Raonic matches this year?

                          It's bomb serve, point won. Bomb serve, point won. Fed lost the 1st set in each of their meetings.... and unless he breaks in the 2nd he's at the mercy of a coin-toss TB... w/ a guy who drops bomb serves.

                          I'd back Raonic SU in the Olympics as a heavy dog vs Fed.

                          Hell, in Halle Fed was about -330 vs Raonic and -1000 vs Haas. That tells a story right there
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                          • baskets
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-24-11
                            • 11691

                            #14
                            Sun night, Jun 24:

                            Wimbledon
                            :

                            Djoker:....................+173
                            Rafa:.......................+216
                            Fed:........................+471

                            Olympics:

                            Djoker:....................+180
                            Rafa:.......................+283
                            Fed:........................+420
                            Comment
                            • baskets
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-24-11
                              • 11691

                              #15
                              Rosol did Fed a big favor. Rafa out.... and now Fed sphincter has unwound from maximum tightness.

                              Could also potentially free up Muggay on his side... so if Fed made it to the final, could give him a shot at another slam by beating Muggay
                              Comment
                              • gaebiskon
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 03-10-12
                                • 869

                                #16
                                djok vs murray in the final
                                after 90 mins, djok will repeat as a champ and murray will cry his eyes out
                                Comment
                                • baskets
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-24-11
                                  • 11691

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by gaebiskon
                                  djok vs murray in the final
                                  after 90 mins, djok will repeat as a champ and murray will cry his eyes out
                                  most likely accurate

                                  altho w/ Djoker off a little bit year (doesn't have that same level of excellence), we could still get Fed in the final.. which is what I'm hoping for
                                  Comment
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