Strong Play on NADAL/DJOKOVIC OVER 3.5 SETS -140 .......Here's Why:

freshguy222 · 06-10-12, 02:47 AM

nadal will run all over him, the line tells you everything. i saw the match between fed and djoko and fed made so many realy easy errors due to his unclean hitting spot and granted djokovic a lot of points. nadal was -2 and -140ish in the two masters finals and now he is -5,5, that should tell you everything. look for at least one set of 6-1 or 6-2, the djoker will have huge problems on serve and rafa will get a lot of service winners. i usually agree with your plays but i dont see the djoker getting one here.

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 03:00 AM

I disagree with you strongly on this one FG222.

Even if Fed gifted him some easy errors, that still doesnt warrant a three straight setter by Djoker. There was some dominant form by Djoker. I'm positive that there wont be a 6-2 or 6-1 set and would pound it if there was some sort of line offered on that.

Djoker is locked in on his best weapon , his superb counter punching strokes which will prevent Rafa from getting those easy service winners like he did against much weaker Ferrer & Almagro. In addition, Djoker has one of the most solid second serves in the game, neutralizing any threats of easy return winners. I have yet to see any player jump on his second serves consistently throughout an entire grand slammer.

Rafa in four or five but no way in straights.

freshguy222 · 06-10-12, 03:16 AM

i dindt say rafa will get return winners, he never does, but he will bring a lot of balls back in play and he will put them there long because he got his length back an in the rally itself i see a huge advantage for rafa when he pounds novaks forehand which he will do. i think there is a huge chance that the first set will be a blowout, something like 6-2 or 6-1. i dont expect novak to be completely locked in and being down a set against rafa is the biggest disadvantage in tennis. take rafa in straights. which set do you expect novak to win? maybe the second but not for sure not the first and not the third when hes down 0-2. usually you seem to read the lines well but here i think youre off. but of course everyone is entitled to his opinion, so good luck.

maletaja · 06-10-12, 04:36 AM

market are right. Nadal could easly win djoko 3-0
If djoko wins set then it is smth wrong with Nadal
And to win +65 isnt quality bet.

Actually i have searched all day over/unders and set betting. But i cant see nothing which is valuebetting.

I think, that djoko can suprise
+410 for djoko is intresting

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 08:05 AM

This bet is gold if Djoker takes a set early. Pressure will be on Nadal to serve well or it's gonna be long day.

yisman · 06-10-12, 08:43 AM

I bet it because Heritage gave -140 (compared to -165 at 5 Dimes).

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 08:52 AM

Originally posted by yisman

I bet it because Heritage gave -140 (compared to -165 at 5 Dimes).

Yep, Heritage held steady at -140. I pounded it for the max, they wouldnt let me go more so I sprinkled some on the over 37.5 as well.

Please click on a ticket number below to view wager details.

Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
45436912-1	6/9/2012 9:38PM	Total	700.00	500.00	Other Sports - 4275 N. Djokovic (Sets)/R. Nadal (Sets) over 3½ -140 for Game
45436914-1	6/9/2012 9:39PM	Total	575.00	500.00	Other Sports - 4263 N. Djokovic (Games)/R. Nadal (Games) over 37½ -115 for Game
45436916-1	6/10/2012 0:19AM	Parlay	95.00	1,936.48	Baseball - 904 New York Yankees -1½ +110 for Game Baseball - 918 Chicago White Sox -1½ +120 for Game Baseball - 922 St. Louis Cardinals -1½ +170 for Game Other Sports - 4275 N. Djokovic (Sets)/R. Nadal (Sets) over 3½ -140 for Game

BACK

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yisman · 06-10-12, 08:56 AM

also went over games, it's a similar bet and they had a good price on that as well

if this goes 4 it very likely hits over 37.5 (and don't forget you're getting even as opposed to -140).

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 08:57 AM

Djoker breaks back.....we got a match now ladies & gentlemen.

Djoker starting to pound Rafa deep with those counter punching strokes.

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 09:02 AM

Originally posted by yisman

also went over games, it's a similar bet and they had a good price on that as well

if this goes 4 it very likely hits over 37.5 (and don't forget you're getting even as opposed to -140).

Yep, my exact thinking on the Over 37.5....almost similar bet if Djoker takes a set. Contrary to what the previous poster said about a 6-2 set, I say not today. These guys are amped up and we're going to see deep sets.

Awesome , we're in the same boat Yisman....BOL brotha

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 09:57 AM

Allright Djoker, here's your opening and best chance to win this set, up 3-2. Let's win this set and bring home the bacon.

yisman · 06-10-12, 10:15 AM

damn, down a break and now play suspended

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 10:19 AM

The break will be good for Djoker. Get in his room, masterbate, and come out refreshed. He'll be good.

crustyme · 06-10-12, 10:38 AM

its over kid.

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 11:07 AM

Yeah its over. Djoker came out flat today and played like a pansy. Congrats to all Nadal & Under backers.

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 11:25 AM

Uh-oh .......could this be a sliver of hope. Djoker breaks back. This could get interesting for the over backers.

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 11:30 AM

Djoker's got that look in his eyes again. Under backers are in deeeeep trouble now.

shari91 · 06-10-12, 11:30 AM

Come on pal let's get this... just one more bloody game Djokovic PLEASE

MagicDiceFlow · 06-10-12, 03:07 PM

Cash the Over 3.5 ladies & gents. Another big win for us.
Djoker digs deep and made it a contest. Congrats over backers.

yisman · 06-10-12, 03:13 PM

yep good wins

unfortunately I wound up live on Nadal at low prices so now hoping he wins (bet some on novak + games and over before, but in play...).