Strong Play on SHARAPOVA -4.5 games over ERRANI ....and here's why :

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  • MagicDiceFlow
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-12
    • 4585

    #1
    Strong Play on SHARAPOVA -4.5 games over ERRANI ....and here's why :
    Sharapova will win tomorrow..... but the question is, can she cover the -4.5 to -5 games handicap? The answer from me is a convincing YES.

    I've been very impressed with Errani's game so far. She moves very well on clay, has above average groundstrokes, and plays with a lot of heart. However, her run at Roland Garros ends tomorrow in a big way and here's the glaring reason why......Errani's weak service game in particular her second serve.

    Sharapova is not someone that you bring a weak serve game to the table. She has THE best return game in the WTA imo. Matter of fact, her favorite shot is to step into opponents with weak serves and crushed that ball like no tomorrow. Errani's second serve is dreadful. With the big spotlight on the final, she will be under tremendous pressure today to put in that first serve. I don't think she can handle it. Especially not against Sharapova.

    Now depending on your book, you can get -5 at -115 or -4.5 at -140. Dont get too greedy here , lay the juice and take the -4.5 .....4.5 games is a vital KEY number in woman's tennis which is why you see the drastic increase in juice. Don't let the books fool you with that .5 game , its very important in WTA!

    ---------------take Sharapova -4.5 games , its a strong play--------------


    GL tomorrow!
  • ParlayininHTown
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-27-10
    • 7561

    #2
    Don't be afraid to listen to this guy, people ... He gave a great tip about Almagro in the Nice final.

    Hope it cashes.
    Comment
    • gaebiskon
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-10-12
      • 869

      #3
      -4.5 sounds ok but better hope there's little wind and maria doesnt serve 2 df per game
      Comment
      • MagicDiceFlow
        SBR MVP
        • 01-15-12
        • 4585

        #4
        Sharapova wins first set 6-3. As expected, she pounds on Errani's weak serve. Errani can only win 55% of first serves and a measly 33% on second serves.

        Pova is taking control of the second set. Up a break and consolidate 2-0.
        Comment
        • MagicDiceFlow
          SBR MVP
          • 01-15-12
          • 4585

          #5
          Errani's service game:

          Click image for larger version

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          • MagicDiceFlow
            SBR MVP
            • 01-15-12
            • 4585

            #6
            Cash it boys ...will have a couple of strong plays for tomorrow's final


            Ticket Details : # 45404695-1
            Wager Type : Spread (or run line)
            Wager Status : WinRisk / To Win Amount : 626.00 / 447.14(USD)
            Accepted : 6/8/2012 11:25PM - PST


            Won : 447.14
            Amount Paid : 1073.14
            Sport / Period : Tennis Other Sports / Game
            Selection : M. Sharapova (Games)
            Time : 6/9/2012 6:05:01AM - (PST)
            Line : -4½ -140

            Comment
            • Pew Pew
              SBR MVP
              • 12-21-10
              • 2267

              #7
              what book do you use? good job
              Comment
              • Hangoverblack
                SBR MVP
                • 01-27-12
                • 1900

                #8
                Really nicely done.

                Tailed at -125 and appreciate the win!
                Comment
                • MagicDiceFlow
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-15-12
                  • 4585

                  #9
                  Congrats guys for any that tailed. I use Heritage, 5Dimes, and Betislands.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #10
                    Comment
                    • Dmoneytx
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-09-12
                      • 6450

                      #11
                      Nice Hit MDF!!! I went super safe with ML play, but I was 75% sure she would cover games too. I just hate womens tennis & I thought a small ammount of free money was good enough. Next womens tennis play for me............MAYBE finals of Wimbledon, LOL!!! BOL brotha! Great hit today
                      Comment
                      • MagicDiceFlow
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-15-12
                        • 4585

                        #12
                        I've got some plays listed for baseball if interested. Let's try and keep this train rolling:

                        Comment
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