will hit semi hard at the real book but wait for live lines because these big chalks are ALWAYS screwing up. I will wait to see if it gets to -200 at some point and SLAM.
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jjaycuny
SBR MVP
07-01-11
1617
#4
I put 465 points on it, I was thinking of going all in but i wasn't sure. You may have just given me the confidence
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baskets
SBR Posting Legend
11-24-11
11691
#5
both guys playing like shit
anything can happen
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good2go2mexico
SBR Wise Guy
11-25-11
791
#6
If Seppi can take him to 5, why not Tsonga? I'd bet the over.
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EaglesPhan36
SBR Aristocracy
12-06-06
71662
#7
On a different surface, Tsonga would rate a better shot. On clay, Djokovic. Djokovic had one bad match, not uncommon for anyone in a Grand Slam .... Tsonga has little chance to win this unless Djokovic has two of his worst matches of the season back-2-back. Djokovic in four MAX, would not be surprised for a straight setter.
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ParlayininHTown
SBR Hall of Famer
06-27-10
7561
#8
Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
On a different surface, Tsonga would rate a better shot. On clay, Djokovic. Djokovic had one bad match, not uncommon for anyone in a Grand Slam .... Tsonga has little chance to win this unless Djokovic has two of his worst matches of the season back-2-back. Djokovic in four MAX, would not be surprised for a straight setter.
See, that's what I'm thinking. I see Djokovic in 5 sets listed at +750. It's actually more likely that Tsonga wins in 4 sets, according to the odds I see (+650). Djokovic in straights is -125, and Djokovic in 4 is +250 ...
I'm tempted to take Djoker ML, Djoker in 4 sets, Djoker against the spread and see if I don't hit all three. If I put enough on the ML, I can still make a decent profit if Djokovic wins in straight sets or wins in 4 and doesn't cover.
Maybe the easiest thing to do is just put all of it on Djokovic ML and hope he doesn't play like crap again. He handled Tsonga relatively easily at Rome one day after struggling mightily against Juan Monaco.
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EaglesPhan36
SBR Aristocracy
12-06-06
71662
#9
I think if you think he is going to win, don't get cute just bet the ML.
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MCherry281
SBR MVP
05-09-09
2318
#10
On a hard court this would be scary but on clay Tsonga has absolutely no chance to pull this off. Djokovic will probably mess around and hit 100 errors again and go deep into a 4th set (none of these big favs are winning easy anymore) but in the end Djoker wins.
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good2go2mexico
SBR Wise Guy
11-25-11
791
#11
If you're going to do moneyline, try live betting and hope Tsonga gets off to a decent start. I got Djokovic at -120 live betting against Seppi. I still think Tsonga can push him to at least 4 though.
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motabl50
SBR Hustler
02-25-12
76
#12
Dj with seppi was fake game......Dj want better odds because he bet on hemself
and tsonga not shit player like seppi....he just normal.... and Dj know that....so dj will not give any chance to Tsonga
and will be easy game