New Thread....Same Shitty Service

[Possum]

ATP Record
Favorites 17-7 +11.31
Underdogs 12-17+1.21
Game Spreads 15-8 +3.51
Totals 7-10 -2.68
Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
Parlays 10-20 -13.81
Futures 2-1 +12.00
Hedges 0-6 -2.70

Total ATP 68-72 +11.34

WTA Record
Favorites 4-9 -11.75
Undermuffs 6-10 -2.23
Game Spreads 7-15 -9.43
Totals 5-5 -.78
Set Spreads 1-1 +2.40
Parlays 3-3 -.08

Total WTA 26-43 -21.87

ATP/WTA Parlays
5-8 -.90

Big surprise to see that parlays and WTA are killing me. Parlays are a necessary evil, but in the end, square as hell.

[EaglesPhan36]

Your thread title describes several things: Tennis Betting & 99% of the serves in WTA.

[Possum]

99% past and present--Remember Sabatini's 56 MPH marshmallows that she would bend in at crunch time?

1*Granollers+130
Not going to be a popular pick but from what I saw fognini was not getting any depth on his shots during his win over baghdatis as he was regularly hitting multiple balls inside the service line point after point---granollers is more offensive minded than baghdatis and will have opportunities to dictate play if he plays with controlled aggression---he also has more fire in his belly than baghdatis and will compete much harder---as for the home crowd, outside of a few teenage girls, I am not sure anybody likes fognini

.5 youzhny +4-120
.5 youzhny over 21.5-120

Dividing this in 2 parts--youzhny has played delpo tough recently and in the past--tough match for delpo today and he did take a medical timeout for his knee

Moth to the flame wta play:1* bartoli-2-110

Bartoli coming in after a couple of early exits but she has a pair of wins of georges so she should be confident about reversing her fortunes--I might lose this bet, but I do expect bartoli to work her ass off and not mail it in and in wta, that's all you can ask

Contemplating lorenzi +6,Monaco-3, and wawrinka.

[ParlayininHTown]

your thread title describes several things: Tennis betting & 99% of the serves in wta.

this

[innn]

+1 for the Granollers play
that's how I see it as well

[Possum]

Or Bartoli won't give a rats ass

1*wawrinka/berdych/nadal-123
just trying to save a few cents on what should amount to a play on wawrinka

[Possum]

1.5~1.31 wawrinka/ferrer/the big 3
Even if Simon is not gassed after his miracle escape,anything he can do ferrer can do better---somewhat hard to gauge seppi and wawa's results--tippy offered little resistance and isner looked like he was swimming in dogshit in baseline rallies over the last set and a half-all things considered, I like Stan--I just added the other 3 to get some sort of payout

Betting this parlay is like trying to shoot fish in a barrel--if you win,big ******* deal you just bet 5 large favorites--if you lose,well you are a complete fukkshovel for betting a 5 man parlay

1* Georges+145
this is not based on the Bartoli result because I did not see it--I did see a sow in slop that resembled kerber in the first round--if she ever gets stranded in the wilderness,no worries because she can live off her thighs for months--the king match was not a good match to fade her because of vania's poor clay record so I have been waiting for this spot

1~.87 stosur/na

[Possum]

1~1.04 ferrer-1.5 sets/na -1.5 sets

[Possum]

.5 tsonga+4-130
.5 tsonga +305
i have definitely posted my last wta play so that fade train is over

[Possum]

ATP Record

Favorites 17-7 +11.31
Underdogs 14-17+4.03
Game Spreads 16-9+3.41
Totals 7-11 -3.28
Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
Parlays 11-21 -14.31
Futures 2-1+12.00
Hedges 0-6 -2.70

Total 72-74 +12.96

6*nadal to win Rome-115 pending

Erasing wta from my memory but the first post in this thread will always prove I was horrendous

[Possum]

1*klizan-150
.75 kohlshreiber-5-110
.75 kohlshreiber under 20-115
.75 stepanak-5-130
.75 stepanek under 19.5-120
.50 malisse -4.5-105
.50 malisse under 20.5-120
.50 Gonzalez+180
.50 berlocq-2.5-130
Hedge 1*joker+120/open/open

[Possum]

1*falla-135

[Possum]

.5 kukushkin/querrey over 22-130
.5 kukushkin+3-115
.5 kukushkin+175
.5 sela/dimitrov over 21.5+115
.5 sela+3.5+100
.5 sela +245
1~.93 Mayer/tomic

[Possum]

Live in play hedge 1*djokovic +310

[Possum]

ATP Record

Favorites 18-7 +12.31
Underdogs 14.18 +3.53
Game Spreads 18-10 +4.06
Totals 8-12 -3.43
Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
Parlays 11.21 -14.31
Futures 3-1 +18.00
Hedges 0-8 -4.70

Total 77-79 + 17.96

Pending:kukushkin,sela,tomic,malisse, and falla

[Possum]

4*Nadal to win French Open-120
Half asleep during today's final but Nadal was moving well and his defense was formidable from what I saw. I expect a similar scenario playing out in Paris--cakewalk to semis with maybe a set lost to someone like Ferrer and then the usual clay beat down of Roger. Plenty of opportunities to buy out if his form dips or injury arises.

[Possum]

1+baker-135
.5 roger-vasselin+115
.5 sela+4.5-130

[Possum]

.62~.50 bellucci/ferrero

[Possum]

1~.73 Serra/Munoz-de la nava
1*cervanak-140
1*olaso +130
1*navarro+105
.5 Farah +280
.

[Possum]

1*baker/Monfils over 20.5-110

[Possum]

1~1.06 Mayer/Sousa/brands

[Possum]

1*baker to win nice +1200

While Waiting for 5 dimes to post a total on his match with kukushkin i decided to play this--he is a favored tomorrow and if victorious, would face isner or davydenko in the semis ---isner could be halfway to Paris at that point and davydenko is certainly beatable--almagro or Simon would be heavily favored in the final but one could easily hedge at that point--worth a shot at this price,especially with almagro and Simon on the other side

[Possum]

.75 dutra silva+110
.75 alund -110
serra at-130 so alund serves as underdog when I update my record--like anyone gives a flying ass ratfuck how I categorize my plays

[ParlayininHTown]

1*baker to win nice +1200

While Waiting for 5 dimes to post a total on his match with kukushkin i decided to play this--he is a favored tomorrow and if victorious, would face isner or davydenko in the semis ---isner could be halfway to Paris at that point and davydenko is certainly beatable--almagro or Simon would be heavily favored in the final but one could easily hedge at that point--worth a shot at this price,especially with almagro and Simon on the other side

Looks like this is starting to fall into place

[Possum]

Hedge:davydenko-170/open
wondering how much baker has left

.50~.43 devilder/Munoz de la nava
.50~.35 zeballos/kuznetsov
.25~.50 above 4
.50 kohlschreiber+140

[Possum]

Hedge on baker to win nice futures play which isn't working out as I had hoped with the astronomical price on almagro--fully expect almagro to win comfortably but this allows some wiggle room on in play betting if baker does win first--

1*almagro to win first set-380/open/open
1*almagro to win first set-380/open/open

[Possum]

1*krajinovic-135
1*wawrinka/cipolla over 30.5-110
1*cipolla+8.5-120
1*hanescu/andujar over 38.5 -100
1*souza+145
.5 kuznetsov +8-112
.5 Munoz de la nava +8-110
.5 ferrero under 32.5-105
1*kukushkin-165
2*hewett-115
Fill one parlay with melzer and roger-Vasselin at+101

[Possum]

ATP Record

Favorites 19-10 +9.21
Underdogs 18-24 +2.58
Game Spreads 22-13 +4.84
Totals 11-16 -3.68
Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
Parlays 17-23 -12.97
Futures 3-2 +17.00
Hedges 0-9 -5.70

Total 96-99 +13.88

Hard to believe a 5 setter doesn't go over 38.5 but that what happened with the twin retards andujar and hanescu--graded the melzer meltdown as a parlay loss and not a hedge--like tomorrows card and playing accordingly--I know about Lopez's history at the French and Hewett not playing,etc.,etc...

2*lopez-170
2*lopez-3.5-115
2*hewett-115
1*kukushkin-165
1*kukushkin-3.5-122
1*jaziri+105
1*baker-2.5-110
1*raonic over 30.5-110
1*falla/giraldo over 37.5-119
1*isner/dutra silva over 34-110
.50 llodra +160
.50 llodra/GAGgle over 38.5-122
.25 dutra silva +730

[Possum]

1*djokovic over 25-110
1*mayer-4-123
1*stepanek/goffin over 37.5-110
1*Mathieu/phau over 36.5+110
1*ebden +9-110

Too many plays today but why not on memorial day

[Possum]

ATP Record

Favorites 20-11 +7.91
Underdogs 20-25 +4.18
Game Spreads 24-15+ 4.39
Totals 16-18 -1.18
Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
Parlays 17-23 -12.97
Futures 3-2+17.00
Hedges 0-9 -5.70

Total 105-105 +16.13

Picked up 2 and change today-lucky Lopez retired because it was an idiotic wager--

1*rufin+8-120
1*zopp+8.5-135
1*andreev/nieminen over 38.5-120
1*querrey/tipsaravic over 33.5-140
1~1.28 berlocq/Ramos/soeda

[Possum]

ATP Record

Favorites 20-11 +7.91
Underdogs 20-25 +4.18
Game Spreads 26-15 +6.39
Totals 17-18 -.18
Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
Parlays 17-24 -13.97
Futures 3-2+17.00
Hedges 0-9 -5.70

Total 108-106 +18.13

3-1+2.00 today with no action on andreev retirement

1*baker/Simon over 36.5-122
1*seppi/kukushkin over 35.5-128
1*djokovic/kavcic over 25-135
1*klizan/goffin -106

Really like klizan and coffin tomorrow-just haven't decided if I want to bet games or total-favoring the unders on both--leaning berrer,ervasselin+9,over cilic/ferrero, and over in wawrinka/andujar

[Possum]

Taking my leans and boxing them up in 5s and a 6 for a little action
.5~10
berrer
wawrinka over 36
mahut/klizan under 38
clement/goffin under 37.5
llodra/berdych over 32.5
Vasselin +8.5

[Possum]

ATP Record

Favorites 20-11 +7.91
Underdogs 20-25 +4.18
Game Spreads 26-15 +6.39
Totals 20-18 +2.82
Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
Parlays 17-26 -15.47
Futures 3-2+17.00
Hedges 0-9 -5.70

Total 111-108 +19.63

I grade the lottery tickets as 1 play---totals now in the black,great parlay record continues--eying several but like this the best

2*tipsaravic/chardy over 34-105
Even with the frog's near meltdown against Lu,I think he is good for one set here in what seems to be a
somewhat low total for this matchup

[Possum]

1*kohlschreiber/Mayer over 36.5-130
1*granollers -1.5 sets -175

[Possum]

1*fmayer-1.5 sets -145
1*stakhovsky/haas over 3.5 sets -160
I could bet the total for less juice but haas could let a set go like he did against volandri--I can see some tiebreakers here but I could also see a couple of 6-3s and since I lost the only 5 setter in tennis history to not go over 38.5 games,I feel safer with this