Lucie Hradecka +6.5 vs Serena Williams

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  • Sport_Fish
    SBR MVP
    • 12-06-10
    • 4079

    #1
    Lucie Hradecka +6.5 vs Serena Williams
    Williams has been undoubtedly playing extremely well on clay but I think this a good spot to take Hradecka with the handicap. I can easily see a straight set victory for Williams but Hradecka has been serving extremely well, being broken only 3 times total in her last 3 matches on this surface. So I think she will be able to hold serve enough times for the +6.5 to hit. A 6-3 6-3 type victory for Williams will cash this, but might need her to keep atleast one of the sets much closer, as Williams is capable of taking a set in a 6-1 6-2 fashion
  • baskets
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-24-11
    • 11691

    #2
    you just talked yourself out of your own side

    I had wagers like this in the past.... and after the match was over and I read what I wrote, I would say to myself:

    'fuk, I was right on. I even wrote it up in the preview... and I bet against my own proper analysis'


    that's what you did



    I can easily see a straight set victory for Williams
    but Hradecka has been serving extremely well, being broken only 3 times total in her last 3 matches on this surface. So I think she will be able to hold serve enough times for the +6.5 to hit. A 6-3 6-3 type victory for Williams will cash this, but might need her to keep atleast one of the sets much closer, as Williams is capable of taking a set in a 6-1 6-2 fashion



    the animal is in beast mode. she won't get 4 games in either set. just pray she can knab 3 games per set
    Comment
    • maletaja
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-09-12
      • 319

      #3
      I dont like these bets. Today is a new match. We dont know could H save such a serves

      Serena could crush H 6-1 6-1, but If H has good day there could be more play

      In other words we dont have edge

      Only bet that i like is H to win S 1:10,5 upset
      If S has bad day and H good day, anything can happen


      PS When u offer some idea, why dont u show us bookie odds? It extremely important is 6,5 payoff +100 or +1000...
      Comment
      • baskets
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-24-11
        • 11691

        #4
        bit of gamesmanship here. this girl faking injury
        Comment
        • baskets
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-24-11
          • 11691

          #5
          -220/+206 odds for 10th game

          no breaks yet


          good chance on the break for Serena here.
          Comment
          • Pride
            SBR MVP
            • 04-12-10
            • 4238

            #6
            where did you find +6.5?

            huge juice or what?
            Comment
            • baskets
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-24-11
              • 11691

              #7
              yeah, think it was 5.5
              Comment
              • baskets
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-24-11
                • 11691

                #8
                what a lucky oyster

                escaped 15-40 twice

                tb


                no more fake injury. whta a bitch
                Comment
                • baskets
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-24-11
                  • 11691

                  #9
                  all of a sudden her injuries demands a wheelchair again. lol, that white bitch is a joke

                  serena up 2 breaks in 2nd.... shot here for a bagel... which is what I need. serena wont' be broekn



                  game 4 and 5 odds.... -1100 and +141

                  would serve in g6
                  Comment
                  • baskets
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-24-11
                    • 11691

                    #10
                    4-0

                    break here... and it's golden
                    Comment
                    • baskets
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-24-11
                      • 11691

                      #11
                      15a

                      30a

                      need thsi point....
                      Comment
                      • baskets
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-24-11
                        • 11691

                        #12
                        30-40

                        here it is
                        Comment
                        • baskets
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-24-11
                          • 11691

                          #13
                          ace.. fuk me

                          bp again

                          come on, bitch
                          Comment
                          • baskets
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-24-11
                            • 11691

                            #14
                            FUKKK YESS!!!


                            5-0

                            just hold and it wins. ha ha
                            Comment
                            • nathanAU
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 01-23-12
                              • 10

                              #15
                              Why are you cheering against him?
                              Comment
                              • AceKingHigh
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-23-09
                                • 3888

                                #16
                                unreal, I had the Over 19.5 ! ******* RIGGED SHIT! WTFFFF 7-6 first set and 2nd set 6-0 LOLOLOLOLOLOL ******* me overrrr
                                Comment
                                • Sport_Fish
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-06-10
                                  • 4079

                                  #17
                                  I got the line last night, and it was +6.5 at that time, on bet365. Might have moved by game time.

                                  Can't believe Williams was able to bagle her....such a good first set for the bet, then a classic WTA meltdown
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #18
                                    I hate it when books look smart. Terrible beat.
                                    Comment
                                    • Sport_Fish
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-06-10
                                      • 4079

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                      I hate it when books look smart. Terrible beat.
                                      Yeah, its unreal how often these games land precisely on the line
                                      Comment
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