Dmoneytx Daily Tennis Picks

[Dmoneytx]

8/20
Play #1

Robredo -160
Querrey -330


Total = apprx +111
1.25u / 1.39u

[Dmoneytx]

Yesssir!

Good luck with that sir I finally finished my degree here in Houston at University of St Thomas. I left Merrimack College in Andover, Mass after 3 years. I was recruited to play soccer for them, Div II. I wish you the best, I know how hard school can be. And fun

[Dmoneytx]

First play to start the morning is with Robredo. I feel that this line is reflected bec of the injury to Kubot. He pulled out of doubles his last tment & in his singles, he lost the second set pretty bad. Something tells me that he is not 100%. And I think this line would of been very close, but now favors Robredo for sure. Robredo played a Challanger last week & lost in 3 in quarters. He had not played in a month, so it was good for him to get court time. Kubot could still be affected by whatever pulled him out of the last tment.

Querrey should be looking to really do some damage this week. Giraldo played a scrappy match against ERV last night. He saved 12 of 15 break points!! And that will not cut it against Querrey. Sam should win in straights I think. Giraldo was not serving great either, ERV had 17 break opportunities!! He just couldn't win a ton of those points in the third set. Querrey will serve big I think and prob only need about 2-3 break points to win this match. I can't see Querrey losing tonight, I actually hope he makes a run to the quarters or semis.

[Dmoneytx]

8/20:
Play #2

Haase -110


Total = -110
1.0u / 0.91u


***With Davydenkos injury last tment & not even being able to serve, this is going to be a win for Haase or a close match. No way its an easy win for Davydenko. I really don't like Haas, but in this spot I will back him small for the win.

[Dmoneytx]

8/20
Play #3

Becker -150
Querrey -330


Total = apprx +117
1.25u / 1.46u


***Becker has been playing alot of tennis & won 3 rounds in qualies here, so he should be feeling his feet under him pretty good! Ito has played TWO matches in two months! He lost both of those & hasn't played a tment match in over 4 weeks. I look for Becker to have more court time & get thru this match. Querrey as explained above...

[Demonata]

Good Luck man. I'm already screwed for betting Challenger. Never betting challenger again.

[Dmoneytx]

8/20
Play #4

Querrey -330


Total = -330
3.0u / 0.91u

[Dmoneytx]

Good Luck man. I'm already screwed for betting Challenger. Never betting challenger again.

Thanks D! I know Challangers can be tough. Players are so streaky. And besides, who the hell knows when the fix is in on these small tments that not alot of people pay attention to. Good opp for some players to tank some matches for some cash. Hope the rest of the day shapes up for ya. Good luck!!

[gators0708]

Good luck with that sir I finally finished my degree here in Houston at University of St Thomas. I left Merrimack College in Andover, Mass after 3 years. I was recruited to play soccer for them, Div II. I wish you the best, I know how hard school can be. And fun

Gonna be a bitch this semester I can already tell, but it is what it is!!

[Hangoverblack]

8/20:
Play #2

Haase -110


Total = -110
1.0u / 0.91u


***With Davydenkos injury last tment & not even being able to serve, this is going to be a win for Haase or a close match. No way its an easy win for Davydenko. I really don't like Haas, but in this spot I will back him small for the win.

With you on Haase here. Problem is my book which requires two full sets to cash a play. I get the sense Davy bails after a bagel-ing here.

So far so good. Davy looks willing to stay on court and complete his beatdown!

[matt711]

[Dmoneytx]

With you on Haase here. Problem is my book which requires two full sets to cash a play. I get the sense Davy bails after a bagel-ing here.

So far so good. Davy looks willing to stay on court and complete his beatdown!

I just got home from the Waterpark with my kiddos I am glad you got on the FADE Davy train with me. I'm sure alot of people were fading him this match, but I was shocked to see Haase at -110. Thought he should of been -200 with what happ to Davy last week. I just checked all the scores & saw he kicked his arss! SWEET!! Glad we both hit that one! Good luck to you the rest of the night!!

[Dmoneytx]

Also saw that Robredo easily won the second & was actually serving to start the third. He lost, but I am really surprised he didn't use that momentum to really kick arss in the third set Big let down there. Damn!

Also, Becker went three set, but pulled out the third set pretty smoothly. Way to go Benji!! Sets up the parlay on that ticket!!

Finally, I see that Haase easily won against Davydenko. Should of went bigger there & I knew it, but I have a personal thing against Haase. If it was someone else playing Davy, I might of went really big. But today, just an average unit, which I will take glady.

Querrey to round out the night! Hoping he plays really tough tonight, serves well & makes Giraldo pay for not having his serve clicking at the moment. His serve isn't big anyways & Sam has been playing so well lately. That match to come up in about an hour or less. Come on Sam!!

PS. I see that Roddick was down 4-5 with Blake serving. LOL!!! Then Blake chokes to win the set on serve. LOL!!! Now they are in a tiebreaker at 4-4. LOL!!! No way I was touching Arod at -300!! I hope Blake finds a way to beat him, that would be epic......

[Dmoneytx]

8/20
Play #5

Querrey -330
Oakland A's ML -186


Total = apprx +100
1.0u / 1.0u

[Dmoneytx]

Todays Record 8/20:

Parlays (0-0) 0.0 units
Straights (1-0) +0.91 units


Total = (1-0) +0.91 units

***I am putting the other 4 plays with Querrey, which is pending for tomm, on tomm's plays. If Querrey finishes strong, it should give me a slight winning start to tomm




Overall Record as of 8/20:

Parlays (117-98) +1.08 units
Straights (63-53-7) -10.41 units


Total = (180-151-7) -9.33 units
Total Win % = 54.9%

[Dmoneytx]

8/21
Play #1

Istomin -200
Tsonga -400


Total = apprx -114
1.0u / 0.87u

[Dmoneytx]

8/21
Play #2

Istomin -200
Isner -1200
Berdych -700


Total = apprx -114
1.0u / 0.87u

[Dmoneytx]

8/21
Play #3

Istomin -200


Total = -200
1.0u / 0.5u

[Dmoneytx]

8/21
Play #4

Tsonga -400
Isner -1200
Berdych -700


Total = apprx -180
1.6u / 0.89u

[Dmoneytx]

8/21
Play #5

Melzer -250
Tsonga -400


Total = apprx -134
1.0u / 0.75u

[Dmoneytx]

8/21
Play #6

Melzer -250
Isner -1200
Berdych -700


Total = apprx -138
1.0u / 0.73u

[Rose']

8/21
Play #1

Istomin -200
Tsonga -400



Total = apprx -114
1.0u / 0.87u

[Demonata]

So you make this post after he loses the first set. Istomin can still win. Name why Darcis should win? You have the confused smiley. So name why Istomin should lose to Darcis easy? Or are you some troll?

[Rose']

I tailed on Istomin smh

[Rose']

So you make this post after he loses the first set. Istomin can still win. Name why Darcis should win? You have the confused smiley. So name why Istomin should lose to Darcis easy? Or are you some troll?

Troll These nuts

[Brian891]

any idea why line is dropping on tsonga? i know he took a wild card to be here per ep so he should come out strong, but down to -330. is bellucci in good form? also, is isner worth -1000 against klizan? thinking about pulling trigger.

[Demonata]

any idea why line is dropping on tsonga? i know he took a wild card to be here per ep so he should come out strong, but down to -330. is bellucci in good form? also, is isner worth -1000 against klizan? thinking about pulling trigger.

Bellucci is a good player in my opinion and already upset baghdatis as big underdog. So I'm guessing that's the reason.

[Dmoneytx]

Sorry ev1, I have been teaching on the court all day.
Hey Demonata, Rose is cool. Just sucked we both lost on Istomin. I have no beef with Rose, and def not a troll. I just don't want any confusion. Thanks for backing me up. But Rose is a good person. Has helped on some plays & I think tailed some winners.
Sorry Rose, D is a really good guy, he was just backing me up I think. Sucks on Istomin!!! He has been playing SO well!!! Shocked he didn't show up today! If he won, I could be looking at a HUGE day! ARG!!

And about Tsonga, I have NO clue why the line is dropping! He should win this match IMO. Bags had Craplucci down a break & was serving at 5-4 in the first set. In my opinion, Bags should of taken the first set 6-4! So if Bags can get Bellucci to 30 all's & deuces AND get a break, then Tsonga can as well.
The only thing I see with Tsonga is that his motivation level is unknown going into these smaller tments! If he wants to win, he will win this match, IF he gives 110% Rhein Bellucci should not be able to hang with him. If he just goes thru the motions, he can lose tonight. I am hoping he comes out fired up, Bellucci is in trouble I think. THAT is why the line is so low around -350.
Again, just my opinion.

[Brian891]

dmoney i agree based on what ep said too about taking a wild card spot to play in this. why would he do that and then tank? just to keep fresh for us open? ur thinking seems very logical at this point.

[Demonata]

Sorry ev1, I have been teaching on the court all day.
Hey Demonata, Rose is cool. Just sucked we both lost on Istomin. I have no beef with Rose, and def not a troll. I just don't want any confusion. Thanks for backing me up. But Rose is a good person. Has helped on some plays & I think tailed some winners.
Sorry Rose, D is a really good guy, he was just backing me up I think. Sucks on Istomin!!! He has been playing SO well!!! Shocked he didn't show up today! If he won, I could be looking at a HUGE day! ARG!!

And about Tsonga, I have NO clue why the line is dropping! He should win this match IMO. Bags had Craplucci down a break & was serving at 5-4 in the first set. In my opinion, Bags should of taken the first set 6-4! So if Bags can get Bellucci to 30 all's & deuces AND get a break, then Tsonga can as well.
The only thing I see with Tsonga is that his motivation level is unknown going into these smaller tments! If he wants to win, he will win this match, IF he gives 110% Rhein Bellucci should not be able to hang with him. If he just goes thru the motions, he can lose tonight. I am hoping he comes out fired up, Bellucci is in trouble I think. THAT is why the line is so low around -350.
Again, just my opinion.

Ya I got no beef with Rose. Just thought he was taking shots at you but he was just mad cuz he tailed and lost.

[Rose']

Sorry fellas I was just mad I lost! Had a nice parlay and I let it get to me. Won't happen again

[Brian891]

r we all in agreement that querrey will stomp lopez tom at -250?

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

r we all in agreement that querrey will stomp lopez tom at -250?

Hell yeah, thats my biggest play of the day tomorrow. I used to kill Tennis last year. This year I'm still hitting at a high clip but not rollin like I was just a year ago. Shit man I remember when I once went 19 straight before losing a match in Tennis. Querrey is ma fuckin dude, he's got this

[Demonata]

Sorry fellas I was just mad I lost! Had a nice parlay and I let it get to me. Won't happen again

Man it was my fault. I read the icons wrong you were just mad you lost and not taking any shots at anybody. You cool rose.

r we all in agreement that querrey will stomp lopez tom at -250?

If Querreys serve is off than he has a chance if not no chance.

[Dmoneytx]

dmoney i agree based on what ep said too about taking a wild card spot to play in this. why would he do that and then tank? just to keep fresh for us open? ur thinking seems very logical at this point.

Ya know, I was thinking that Tsonga might want to get just one match under his belt, feel the knee out a bit & then maybe just tank it away. Get over to the Open early, settle in & get ready to play some big tennis. But now I am seeing it slightely different. I think if the match is there to take, he is going to take it. If the set is open for him to win, he is going to win it & win the match. I was thinking about it & it is not a bad thing to win a title going right into the Open. He might not go as deep in the Open, maybe he will though and just keep it rolling & maybe he will just have the best few weeks of his life..... who knows. So I honestly think, that he is going to serve big & play the rallies aggresive & if he is firing, he is freaking hard to beat. Its Tsonga, its not some mid level pro, when this guy is on he can beat any player in the world. Winning a title at any level tment on the ATP is really good to have next to your name for the year. I am SURE Tsonga would not mind having this title next to his name, regardless of how he does in the Open. I don't think we are going to see him just go out there & slap balls on the first shot every point, just wanting to get off the court. I think he will try (as long as the knee feels good & yesterday he looked good). I think he cares. And if he does & he is playing really good, he is a damn good player. Against anyone I mean. I think the only thing he MIGHT do is, if he is down in a set bad, he will just tank it off. And if he is down a set and a break, he might just try to get off the court. If that makes any sense. If he goes down, he might bail out. But if he stays on serve and gets breaks, he is going to try to win the match. And getting him at -400 or -300 as he finished, are great prices. I might stay away from his matches, but it depends on the lines. Would not surprise me at all to see him in the final IF the knee feels ok.