I think Nadal is either the easiest bet in quite some time or a big 'trap', and if it's the latter, I guess I unfortunately fell for it. I don't see the reasoning behind Nadal being only -140. The only explanation I can think of is the recent past H2H of these two and how Djoker has gotten the best of Nadal. But not only does Nadal's record in Monte Carlo speaks for itself, but his current performance has been much more impressive than Djoker's. Although this will be Nadal's first real challenge at Monte Carlo this year, I still believe he will take care of business. After that heart-breaking loss to Djoker at the AO, this is Nadal's best chance to finally pull off a win against Novak and he desperately needs to do this in order to gain confidence going into the upcoming grand slam(s).
1. Nadal (-140)
2. Nadal vs Djokovic OVER 23.5 (+100)
3. Nadal vs Djokovic - No Tie Break (-120)
First time playing the tie-break prop but I believe there's value here. Based on his recent performance, I just don't see Djoker being able to hold serve all the way in a set, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a few breaks in each set in this match. Just hope it doesn't turn into a WTA break-fest and the breaks end up pushing it to 6-6.
1. Nadal (-140)
2. Nadal vs Djokovic OVER 23.5 (+100)
3. Nadal vs Djokovic - No Tie Break (-120)
First time playing the tie-break prop but I believe there's value here. Based on his recent performance, I just don't see Djoker being able to hold serve all the way in a set, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a few breaks in each set in this match. Just hope it doesn't turn into a WTA break-fest and the breaks end up pushing it to 6-6.