Nadal vs Djokovic: Three Plays

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  • Sport_Fish
    SBR MVP
    • 12-06-10
    • 4079

    #1
    Nadal vs Djokovic: Three Plays
    I think Nadal is either the easiest bet in quite some time or a big 'trap', and if it's the latter, I guess I unfortunately fell for it. I don't see the reasoning behind Nadal being only -140. The only explanation I can think of is the recent past H2H of these two and how Djoker has gotten the best of Nadal. But not only does Nadal's record in Monte Carlo speaks for itself, but his current performance has been much more impressive than Djoker's. Although this will be Nadal's first real challenge at Monte Carlo this year, I still believe he will take care of business. After that heart-breaking loss to Djoker at the AO, this is Nadal's best chance to finally pull off a win against Novak and he desperately needs to do this in order to gain confidence going into the upcoming grand slam(s).

    1. Nadal (-140)

    2. Nadal vs Djokovic OVER 23.5 (+100)

    3. Nadal vs Djokovic - No Tie Break (-120)

    First time playing the tie-break prop but I believe there's value here. Based on his recent performance, I just don't see Djoker being able to hold serve all the way in a set, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a few breaks in each set in this match. Just hope it doesn't turn into a WTA break-fest and the breaks end up pushing it to 6-6.
  • MagicDiceFlow
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-12
    • 4585

    #2
    Like all these except that 3rd one. If Nadal wins this match(which he probably will), one of those sets will be a barn burner. Djoko wont go down without clawing. You're safer putting that extra unit on the over 23.5
    Comment
    • Sport_Fish
      SBR MVP
      • 12-06-10
      • 4079

      #3
      Yeah very possible, but personally, I'm simply making a play on that prop based on what I've seen in the past few matches. Djoker has had some 2-6 3-6 type sets against far inferior opponents and I think there's a good chance we don't see a 13-game set being played with these two.
      Comment
      • Jerm3462
        SBR MVP
        • 11-09-09
        • 4454

        #4
        Hard to make a living betting against the #1 player in the world.

        Good luck though. Should be a good one.
        Comment
        • Demonata
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 07-12-11
          • 25829

          #5
          About time people brave enough to bet Nadal. This is his surface. I don't care if Djoker is number 1. Djoker has not looked good thw e whole tournament and Nadal has. I'm taking Nadal first set Since Djoker has struggled with the first set. Best of luck.
          Comment
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