ATP Dubai Final - Muray vs Federer - lets tallk..

EaglesPhan36 · 03-02-12, 04:48 PM

Think you meant +110 for Murray.

Good win for Murray, but as many said - Djokovic did not look good this tournament, so a little tempered on how big the win should rate for him. Federer has not been broken on-serve in Dubai nor dropped a set. If Federer serves as well as he has all week, it could come down to tie breaks and Federer has been better than Murray when they have played in breakers head-2-head at least. Also should have massive confidence for coming back against Del Potro, down 0-5 in the 2nd tie break today. Really comes down to Murray's serve for me. If he serves well, he can win - but if his serve slips into it's sometimes iffy mode, Federer wins.

baskets · 03-02-12, 06:25 PM

A lot of times value monsters will babble on... like Nadal vs Djoker... tremendous value on Nadal... this time he gets it done... then Djoker goes out there and owns Nadal's pooper. In those instances it's hogwash.

However, in this case, this match is a terrific value spot. Fed is playing fantastic and you're getting him at almost EVENS (-1.5 HC).

Fed w/ a blitzkreig on Murray in the first set.... then Murray forced to win the last 2.

Fed wins

Sport_Fish · 03-02-12, 06:29 PM

Vegas has done a good job with the price here IMO. Not enough on Murray to quite pull the trigger, while taking Fed with that juice is still not easy.

Murray hasn't really been put to the test thus far in this tour so we have yet to see how he plays through it when he does get challenged. Neither did Federer until today but he managed his returns well and pulled through in straights.

Tough one but I'll go small on Federer simply because I'm convinced Murray will have a much more difficult time breaking Fed's serve than vice versa

goblue12 · 03-02-12, 08:26 PM

Vegas does not dictate prices for any tennis market.

Unless you are at the Hilton on select weekends, the only tennis you will ever see in this town are Majors from RD16 to the Finals.