Difference between Djoker -7.5 (-125) and Under 16.5 (-110)

[baskets]

at Pinny these are -117 on both

[Nikigreat]

Assumed that Djoko wins in 2, it doesn't change anything. To pick the handicap or to pick the under is the same.
Handicap would be better if Stebe can win a set; because if for example Stebe wins first 7-6, the under is gone, while there would still be some chance for the handicap: Djoko could win the other two 6-2 6-1 or something like that and make the handicap winner.
But today there is no way Stebe wins a set so those plays are the same thing.

[baskets]

agreed.

not a chance in hell Stebe wins a set. that's why I took the under at the lower price.

at pin these have been joined at the hip at the same price

[baskets]

after first 3 games will be able to tell if this covers or not

Stebe serving first

[baskets]

15-40
dc

got one of those german fighters. not good news

[baskets]

*3-2

this is toast. the Germans aren't the French

[showtiime]

taking joker to roll in his first competitive match in a month in the 1st round against someone he knows he doesn't have to push too hard to beat is definitely a bad spot to back an under.

[MagicDiceFlow]

-7.5 games is hard as hell to cover in only a two set win format....no matter who you are. That's like spotting 25 points in baskets.

[baskets]

not really w/ joker

he had bp's in 3 separate games in the first set... would've cleared it 6-2.... and then he took the 2nd set 6-2

the difference is that he played a german with a will. he plays a french or a russian.... and they would've wilted their vagina and give djoker the spread