Dubai Final Analysis - Saturday

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  • tevari
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-07
    • 4959

    #1
    Dubai Final Analysis - Saturday
    Radwanska vs Goerges. My two favorite players on the women's tour, with extremely contrasting games. I watched the entire Goerges/Woz match and was thoroughly impressed with Goerges, particularly with her forehand & 2nd serve. I think she had something like 27 forehand winners in the match, and Woz often hit Goerge's second serve long. Radwanska needed 3 to get past Jankovic, but I think she will present Goerges with more problems than Woz did, especially if Goerges can't hit past her. The match should come down to who makes less errors, and I have to go Radwanska here. On a side note, Ag-Rad demolished her 6-1, 6-1 last month @ the Aussie Open. IMO, her game is tailored to players like Goerges, 'Pova, Gajdsova, etc. odds aren't out yet, but when they are I'll be playing Radwanska on the handicap.
  • Sport_Fish
    SBR MVP
    • 12-06-10
    • 4079

    #2
    I was so looking forward to this final and pounding Radwanska against Woz - but with Georges in the finals instead I'm positive Rad will be juiced a little too much.

    Handicap is probably the way to go in this one.
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #3
      I've been fading Radwanska ... losing money all week. She struggled early, but reall outclassed Jankovic today and in a finals situation ... I'd fully expect her to come through.
      Comment
      • tevari
        SBR MVP
        • 02-02-07
        • 4959

        #4
        Preliminary odds out on the ML - Radwanska is -280, so that should be about a 4 or 4.5 game handicap which I will gladly take. Probably something like 6-3, 6-2, and that's being generous to Goerges.
        Comment
        • SFGiants93
          SBR MVP
          • 12-03-11
          • 1186

          #5
          I think I'll parlay Rady with someone else. I don't like laying 4 or 4.5 in the finals.
          Comment
          • tevari
            SBR MVP
            • 02-02-07
            • 4959

            #6
            Seems pretty safe IMO. I'd be pretty shocked if Rad lost straight up. Then again, stranger things have happened. Won't be a huge play for me or anything, probably wagering 200-300 on the 'cap.
            Comment
            • Sport_Fish
              SBR MVP
              • 12-06-10
              • 4079

              #7
              Rad -335 on Bodog. A bit too much.

              Anyone getting -280 on their book?
              Comment
              • tevari
                SBR MVP
                • 02-02-07
                • 4959

                #8
                Took Radwanska -4.5 games @ -110. 330 for 300.
                Comment
                • tevari
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-02-07
                  • 4959

                  #9
                  Underway.
                  Comment
                  • 2fast4u
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 02-10-12
                    • 22

                    #10
                    when julia is not making errors shes a tough out for any player
                    Comment
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