David Ferrer Vs Novak Djokovic ( Big Play on David Ferrer Games WON OVER 12.5 @ -110)

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  • Laker_crazy
    Restricted User
    • 02-08-09
    • 9669

    #1
    David Ferrer Vs Novak Djokovic ( Big Play on David Ferrer Games WON OVER 12.5 @ -110)
    LAKER_CRAZY'S MEN'S QUARTER FINAL PLAY FOR TONIGHT ( 25/01/2012)

    ( 3 UNIT PLAY)


    1) David Ferrer Vs Novak Djokovic ( Pick David Ferrer Total Games WON OVER 12.5 @ -110) : This is going to be my third consecutive high stake play,after cashing the two previous ones and i have every reason to believe that this should cash as well. I was going through this match up carefully,the head to head statistics between the two is quite misleading with Djokovic holding a 7-5 record.However,what this does not take into account is the surge of Novak in this last few years,he has looked like a beast on court and at times,almost unplayable.Ferrer,on the other hand is a very hard working player and he is also in top form at the moment,going about this business in a relatively quite manner in this year's event.

    Novak Holds a huge edge in their hard court meetings having won 6 out of the 7 times they both have played each other,Ferrer's wins have come thrice on clay,once on carpet and the last one being the hard court.These two have been in quite good form on the hard court recently with Novak having won 8 out of his last 10 matches on this surface and Ferrer,having won 9 of his 10 matches played. Joker did lose his focus midway in the 3rd set when he was cruising against hewitt and i see Ferrer as a younger version of hewitt and any such mistake can easily lead to trouble for Djokovic. I think the market that has been set here is just right for us to cash.I think Ferrer will cause Djokovic problems today and he should get over this line.

    I am hoping for a good match here today,and i am going to be taking a chance with ferrer's handicap as well.Lets get this third in a row tonight. Good Luck everyone betting on this match.


    Cheers,

    Laker_crazy

    Australian Open record 2012 ( 4-0-2) ( + 6.10 Units)

    1 unit = 100 USD
  • zacharyj53
    SBR MVP
    • 08-07-10
    • 2514

    #2
    So basically you think this goes 4 sets?
    Comment
    • Sport_Fish
      SBR MVP
      • 12-06-10
      • 4079

      #3
      I agree with everything...but wouldn't Djokovic Games won OVER 19 be a safer play? Its juiced a bit higher but still might be a better way to go.

      If Ferrer wins just one set, its an auto win. And even if he just gets to a tie-break in one set, u can push.
      Comment
      • Laker_crazy
        Restricted User
        • 02-08-09
        • 9669

        #4
        Originally posted by Sport_Fish
        I agree with everything...but wouldn't Djokovic Games won OVER 19 be a safer play? Its juiced a bit higher but still might be a better way to go.

        If Ferrer wins just one set, its an auto win. And even if he just gets to a tie-break in one set, u can push.
        That's true,but i have been sticking with betting the games won on dogs since the start and it has paid off quite well.I thought of the same though,that ferrer would have to reach at least 5 games in one set for this to cash,but then like you said Djoker Over is juiced and i thought of rolling with what has given me success,lets hope it cashes,good luck !
        Comment
        • Laker_crazy
          Restricted User
          • 02-08-09
          • 9669

          #5
          Originally posted by zacharyj53
          So basically you think this goes 4 sets?
          Not necessary for the bet to cash,Ferrer can play a few solid sets staying on course with Joker,and the bet can still cash,but on second thought's it might be worth a go if Joker wins the first set because you ll find the odds for ferrer to win a set would be quite high after that,I feel Joker is in for a fight,ferrer is not going to be quitting.
          Comment
          • SlickRick1382
            SBR MVP
            • 10-15-11
            • 3838

            #6
            Originally posted by Laker_crazy
            Not necessary for the bet to cash,Ferrer can play a few solid sets staying on course with Joker,and the bet can still cash,but on second thought's it might be worth a go if Joker wins the first set because you ll find the odds for ferrer to win a set would be quite high after that,I feel Joker is in for a fight,ferrer is not going to be quitting.
            5 Dimes doesn't allow match betting. Any books you know of other than BetFair or who ever it is you use that allows this?
            Comment
            • Laker_crazy
              Restricted User
              • 02-08-09
              • 9669

              #7
              Originally posted by SlickRick1382

              5 Dimes doesn't allow match betting. Any books you know of other than BetFair or who ever it is you use that allows this?
              Bet365 allows you in play betting,the market for the games won will be back on 15 minutes before the start of the match,so i d advice you to bet here if you need these markets,good luck!
              Comment
              • shari91
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-23-10
                • 32661

                #8
                GL LC! I'm on the Ferrer handicap... didn't have any time to look at this one in depth so I'm just going with my gut. I feel comfortable putting my money on a scrappy little fighter like Ferrer to hang in there with Djoko. Just takes one brain fade from Djoko to let Ferrer get close or even take a set. If I lose, so be it but at least I know he'll give it 110% on the court.
                Comment
                • Laker_crazy
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-08-09
                  • 9669

                  #9
                  Originally posted by shari91
                  GL LC! I'm on the Ferrer handicap... didn't have any time to look at this one in depth so I'm just going with my gut. I feel comfortable putting my money on a scrappy little fighter like Ferrer to hang in there with Djoko. Just takes one brain fade from Djoko to let Ferrer get close or even take a set. If I lose, so be it but at least I know he'll give it 110% on the court.
                  One of the reasons why i am also riding on ferrer hun,he is a fighter,i don't mind losing the bet,but at least we are assured that the man will put in everything he has and compete for each and every point,fighters will always win in the long run,he is up against the number 1 player in the world no doubt,but i think he is good enough to take those 13 games and cash my bet and your handicap too,Good luck hun,lets get this !
                  Comment
                  • Laker_crazy
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-08-09
                    • 9669

                    #10
                    The Games won market for ferrer is now available at bet365 in play at O/U 11.5,so you guys can get on it if you are associated with that sportsbook.Good luck!
                    Comment
                    • H1Cypher
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-25-11
                      • 1494

                      #11
                      Hey LC what country you live in dude? First time i've caught one of the plays before hand and it's not available at 5dimes =/.
                      Comment
                      • Laker_crazy
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-08-09
                        • 9669

                        #12
                        Out for now,Lets get this one in the bag as well.Good luck to all betting on this match
                        Comment
                        • pimike
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-23-08
                          • 37140

                          #13
                          Took Ferrer + 7 games
                          Comment
                          • UpsetSpecial09
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-01-10
                            • 1438

                            #14
                            Joker looks great out there. I expect him to break Ferrer early in the 1st set and never look back. I took Joker -1.5 sets
                            Comment
                            • Laker_crazy
                              Restricted User
                              • 02-08-09
                              • 9669

                              #15
                              3 More games to cash another BIG winner,GO FERRER !!!!!!
                              Comment
                              • shari91
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-23-10
                                • 32661

                                #16
                                Comment
                                • Sport_Fish
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-06-10
                                  • 4079

                                  #17
                                  Pls dont have a meltdown now Ferrer !!
                                  Comment
                                  • Sport_Fish
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-06-10
                                    • 4079

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Sport_Fish
                                    Pls dont have a meltdown now Ferrer !!
                                    wow -.-'
                                    Comment
                                    • Yezzir
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-29-10
                                      • 933

                                      #19
                                      How unlucky
                                      Comment
                                      • Big Bear
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 11-01-11
                                        • 43253

                                        #20
                                        go ferer
                                        Comment
                                        • Tmuston Beltics
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-14-13
                                          • 1253

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                                          go ferer


                                          nice bump
                                          Comment
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