Wednesday Australian Open Picks

[caboman]

Vania King +140 against A. Pavlyuchenkova
Lisicki -130 against S. Peer
Gilles Simon -150 against Benneteau
Bogomolov Jr. -140 against Llodra

Any thoughts on these? King beat Pav. on hard courts last year. Simon is 3-1 against Benneteau, 2-0 on hard courts. Lisicki lost against Peer last year on hard courts, but Lisicki usually brings up her game in majors.

Haven't made any bets yet, but looking at Simon for sure, and probably Lisicki too.

[caboman]

Also thinking about a half or full unit on Michaella Krajicek, simply because Ivanovic is on the auto-fade list. Also, Krajicek actually beat Ivanovic a few years back on hard courts, so it seems like too much value to give up at +645.

[caboman]

Andujar at +140 against Chela seems like a good value too. Andujar has beaten Chela in their last 2 meetings, and won their only meeting on clay.

Updated Leans:

Andujar +140
M. Krajicek +645
Vania King +140
Lisicki -130
Gilles Simon -150
Bogomolov Jr. -140

[gregm]

I was just about to post some of these same picks, I am glad to see someone looking at these numbers early.

Lisicki worries me as she did not look good in the first match but you are getting some gerat numbers because of that for the better player. Simon has dominated the H2H over Benneteau though they havent played since 2009 but he had a tough 5 set match int he opening round and Benneteau has been playing well. I like the simon and lisicki picks, I will probably be on pavly here.

[gregm]

Looking at mahut over ito as well right now, looking at some stats .