EP36's Tennis Elbow

EaglesPhan36 · 04-29-12, 10:49 PM

Told myself parlays only and only what I initially like. No add-ons.

gators0708 · 04-29-12, 10:58 PM

Been in a HUGE slump, I like the parlay only rule I need to start doing that.

Pew Pew · 04-30-12, 06:08 AM

haven't bet wta in a long time until today. thanks zakopalotwat for reminding me why i took a break from women's tennis. bitches can't hold serve

EaglesPhan36 · 04-30-12, 08:35 AM

Well the first legs of both parlays win, so hedge opps there is need be. May take a small one on the WTA match.

Dmoneytx · 04-30-12, 11:18 AM

GL today EP!!!
I won my first parlay today at +110, also had Ramirez-Hidalgo in it. Can't believe he was only -300, what a great value we got there. Also won the first leg of two parlays & waiting for 2 plays to come in for +106 and -120 ish. Any advice you have would be greatly appreciated. Feel free to swing by sometimes & leave your comments or opinions on any plays or discussions. Hope we tear em up today!!!

EaglesPhan36 · 04-30-12, 01:48 PM

Split the parlays. Cirstea of course crapped out. Feels good not being in a hole by Tuesday. Gotta remember to try and be disciplined every damn day. Make those original picks and let the chips fall where they may.

tevari · 04-30-12, 01:51 PM

Thats the right attitude. I remember going on a 3 grand chasing spree when wawa fukked me in 3 parlays by losing to Bolelli. Never again. Slow and steady, imo.

Dmoneytx · 04-30-12, 03:06 PM

Couldn't agree more tevari. Its a marathon, not a sprint. Thats why almost all of my plays are only 1 unit (100). I remember you losing that match with Wawa. Personally, I hate the guy. Left his family & wife to put in a few more good years on tour?? What a loser if you ask me. I always pull against Stan. GL for the rest of the day ya'll

Hit the sweep todady, 3-0. Hoping for a good day tomm.

EaglesPhan36 · 04-30-12, 11:53 PM

Tuesday, May 1st

ATP Munich: Stebe -110
Stebe and Stakhovsky are in pretty much shit form, but the home standing German really turned his clay game on last year in the German clay swing. If he's going to rediscover some magic, this is the place.

ATP Munich: Petzschner +185
Petz is coming back from a wrist injury, but obviously was geeked to get a go in front of the home fans in Germany. Youzhny is a tough nut, but has been susceptible to injury this year also. This tournament has been good to both. Petz beat Youzhny here last year in a good one. Have a feeling if Petzschner is healthy, he can compete and win and if not, he may retire before this becomes official.

Parlay: Kukushkin (Munich) + Harrison (Belgrade) [+105]

tevari · 05-01-12, 12:04 AM

GL my brotha'

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 05:29 AM

Kicking myself. I usually fade Malisse when they overload his price, but thought maybe even he couldn't lose to Gulbis ... wrong.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 05:38 AM

Meh. No home country help for Stebe, the guy has just regressed to being unbackable unless he goes back to playing some Challengers. Guy simply doesn't look like he's capable of winning consistently at this level. Seems like he was another one who blew his wad with a good run last year and has fallen off the map.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 05:52 AM

Adding this based in principle ...

WTA Estoril: Hradecka +105
She draws Heather Watson who has pushed through qualis into the main draw. That may give her an early edge, but I cannot look past Charleston where Watson lost to Melanie Oudin in qualis. Anyone who cannot beat Little Moo Moo, draws a large red flag in my book. Hradecka has had a pretty :meh: type of year, but she's got some chops on clay. She won an ITF level tourney last year and made the Barcelona final.

brettels · 05-01-12, 05:59 AM

Cipolla?

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 06:51 AM

Seems the easy pick, but the price is barely useful for parlay purposes.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 08:15 AM

Well guess you talked me into it. Last play today, maybe something will win.

ATP Parlay: Cipolla (Estoril) + Kubot (Belgrade) [-115]

MatI · 05-01-12, 08:19 AM

EP, I was eyeing off Fognini for a play, but can't work out why his odds have drifted out so much. Do you have any idea of he has any issues?

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 08:24 AM

Probably people going with the Championship hangover factor. Since he played the Bucharest final and lost, many like to fade those guys in their next match on a quick turnaround.

MatI · 05-01-12, 08:29 AM

Thanks for the reply, I was wondering if that might be the angle. Might be a stupid question, but do you think the quick turnaround will be an issue for him? He seems in good form...

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 08:43 AM

Not sure. Paire is a capable guy if he serves well, so I left it alone - then again, everything I liked today is in the shitter thus far. Friggin' Hradecka driving me nuts. So many breaks and she can't hold any of them.

Lots of dogs hitting early. Davydenko is going to lose in straights to friggin Farah. Kukushkin going down as a big favorite. Harrison already lost.

MatI · 05-01-12, 08:49 AM

Thanks EP, and yeah, lots of dogs hitting. You can never trust those women, they are all so hit and miss. And I was surprised about Harrison as well, I was eyeing him off earlier to throw in a parlay but I decided to lay off. Glad I did. Sounds like the smart thing to do is lay of Fognini as well, best play sometimes is no play!

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 02:00 PM

Brilliant 0-fer-5. I should probably know if I make more than three plays, I probably have no chance for success.

Dmoneytx · 05-01-12, 03:48 PM

Stay positive EP. Some days are just rough in tennis betting. Tomm in a new day, a lot of matches I think (gotta be some sleepers in there). How ya been doing on NBA?? I can't complain one bit.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 04:42 PM

Props going well for NBA. Part of my problem was I was away at dinner until really late last night, so my homework started really late for the matches which probably meant less thinking about the picks than I usually do. Probably should have just played a couple parlays and said fukk it since I didn't have a lot of prep time. Still liked most of what I took, just some terrible performances today: Harrison and Kubot especially looking at you two putzes.

shimeon40 · 05-01-12, 09:40 PM

Eagle..try one bet today..recoup day for eagle..post it eagle.

Optional · 05-01-12, 09:53 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Brilliant 0-fer-5. I should probably know if I make more than three plays, I probably have no chance for success.

I had a 0fer yesterday too EP. Feel your pain, but I found this time of the year hard in 2011 and 2010 too. So many players not on their preferred surface is part of it I think.

We'll be back!

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 10:01 PM

Alright. I always think of Wednesday's as Moving Day as in your bankroll is moving in the right or wrong direction for the week depending on your outcome. So let's get on the right track.

May 2nd

Tunis Challenger Parlay: Gensse + Ramirez-Hidalgo [+102]
Galvani has been an injury worry as he goes up against Gensse. It would be an accomplishment for him to make it through a match at this stage. He's 1-4 this season. Gensse has been consistent on the Challenger circuit on dirt with two finals appearances in April, losing both. He's coming in off the loss in the Savannah Final. He's had adequate rest and recovery though, so not concerned with the hangover if he brings his solid game. Ramirez-Hidalgo was on fire in April on dirt at this level with back-2-back finals appearances and one title. He had slipped a little heading into this tournament, but opened nicely. Robert isn't a hack, but this isn't his best surface and he struggled some to open.

Parlay: Medina-Garrigues (Estoril) + Zakopalova (Budapest) [+121]
Ah the insanity of WTA tennis. ** gets country woman Soler-Espinoza. ** is the defending champ at this event and on a day-2-day basis, a better dirt baller. Will she show up and prove that? Who the fukk knows. Zakopalova made a deep run at this event last year and survived her opener. Strycova is the opponent who won when her opponent retired after the 2nd set. Strycova got whipped in the opening set though 6-1 and has not played well on dirt lately.

WTA Estoril: Voskoboeva +135

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 10:02 PM

I have no fukking idea why shortening Medina Garrigues to M-G goes to ** ... guess they think I was saying moneygram?

shimeon40 · 05-01-12, 11:13 PM

so voskoboeva your best eagle?

EaglesPhan36 · 05-01-12, 11:37 PM

Nah all about even. Usually I list them in the order of which I like best. The Challenger parlay would be my "best bet" I guess. I bet the same size on all of them.

shimeon40 · 05-01-12, 11:38 PM

is this clay eagle? i see why zheng favourite..2 head to head wins...zheng beat kerber recently..but she doesn't play that great on clay..guess voskobevar gets her chance here or it will be 3-0 h2h.

shimeon40 · 05-01-12, 11:41 PM

gees zheng made a mess of makarova eagle 1st rd.

QuangX · 05-02-12, 12:51 AM

Hey EaglesPhan.

I have a question concerning JO wilfred match today. Is he injured in anyway? Is his moneyline a good bet to close a parlay? A $300 parlay.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-02-12, 05:29 AM

Shocker. Galvani retires after dropping a set and a game. Gensse wins by retirement.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-02-12, 05:55 AM

Originally posted by QuangX

Hey EaglesPhan.

I have a question concerning JO wilfred match today. Is he injured in anyway? Is his moneyline a good bet to close a parlay? A $300 parl
ay.

I dont know of any issues other than whether or not he is motivated. He probably beats Haas nine times out of ten but in Haas' home country and clay being Tsonga's worst surface you never know. If you're looking for a lock to finish a parlay there might be better options, but also not a bad try + you could hedge with the big price on Haas.