Monaco or Fish? Thinking of taking Monaco +160

EaglesPhan36 · 11-10-11, 09:13 AM

Fish all day for me. I used it in a parlay as I will not lay that much chalk, but Fish needs this win to clinch a spot in the ATP Finals. Monaco has had a nice run the last week plus, but all things equal with a healthy and focused Fish .. he should take this.

GasperTheGambler · 11-10-11, 09:20 AM

you got a good point, monaco is +185 now would u lay -250 on Fish though or its not worth touching it

EaglesPhan36 · 11-10-11, 09:27 AM

Pretty chalky. I'd only use that in a parlay, but that's a big shift at this point from what was around -185 to open I think.

gunslinger572 · 11-10-11, 09:27 AM

Correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't Fish clinch a spot with the Tipsarevic loss?

gators0708 · 11-10-11, 09:29 AM

Yes he did clinch with the Tipsy loss.

EaglesPhan36 · 11-10-11, 09:35 AM

Yeah my bad ... was trying to forget about that flake. Still think motivation is there for Fish though to play well and get some momentum.

GasperTheGambler · 11-10-11, 09:39 AM

crazy movement on my website, monaco back down to +140 and mardy is -170. ODD

gators0708 · 11-10-11, 09:39 AM

I don't know if it means anything, but iv seen them talk on twitter before there friends I guess haha

EaglesPhan36 · 11-10-11, 09:42 AM

Originally posted by GasperTheGambler

crazy movement on my website, monaco back down to +140 and mardy is -170. ODD

I would guess that is a correction for people who think he might lack motivation now. I think if he lacks motivation, he won't play and could just cite his hamstring as the reason.

TennisProFrance · 11-10-11, 09:43 AM

Talk of fish being ill (food), hence market move. Becareful.

CorkyThatcher · 11-10-11, 09:50 AM

Hey TPF- How credible are your sources?

EaglesPhan36 · 11-10-11, 09:53 AM

I think that is bullshit personally. Fish tweeted after the Tipsarevic loss about making London. See nothing about any illness and the line should not have been as high as it was anyway, simple recorrection IMO. Now the drop is simply people guessing about motivation IMO.

TennisProFrance · 11-10-11, 09:54 AM

Just what I heard, most of the time the info is correct. Not sure how much it will effect him, we will see, but that was behind the price movement.

EaglesPhan36 · 11-10-11, 09:57 AM

What you heard? From whom exactly I think is the question.

CorkyThatcher · 11-10-11, 10:02 AM

For some reason, I trust him. That's a HUGE line move and Tips lost hours ago. M/L moved tremendously in last 10 minutes...

TennisProFrance · 11-10-11, 10:03 AM

"Fish had some bad food, made him ill". Like I said, no idea how this will effect him but its what caused the price change on BetFair which in turn effects other bookies. Could be BS ofc, but most whisphers I hear like this have some substance but not always 100% on the mark. Take it or leave it.

gators0708 · 11-10-11, 10:06 AM

Fish had bad fish..

CorkyThatcher · 11-10-11, 10:08 AM

Now down to -150. He ate some bad escargot. Hitting the Monaco line hard...

TennisProFrance · 11-10-11, 10:16 AM

Guys, I dont know if it will even effect him, it is however what caused the price change on BF. Im goign to see if it does effect him before taking a position. He could still play 100% and blow him away.

jrw · 11-10-11, 10:19 AM

Fish already broken. Could see a 1 set retirement, if not sooner.

jrw · 11-10-11, 10:19 AM

Remember, Fish retired after one game against Blake. I wouldn't put an early retirement past him.

jrw · 11-10-11, 10:22 AM

Wow, Fish broke right back.

gators0708 · 11-10-11, 10:26 AM

Hes fine ...

jrw · 11-10-11, 10:27 AM

Yeah I read way too much into that quick break. Can't believe Monaco got broken back like that either.

gators0708 · 11-10-11, 10:32 AM

I hate people who say they have inside info f****n bs

CorkyThatcher · 11-10-11, 10:33 AM

Monaco looks like the sick one. Good tip, douchebag...

ronaldo922 · 11-10-11, 10:36 AM

why do u guys believe things from no-name people on sbrforum. If you were competent bettors, you would not to take info but from a few handful of people. eaglesphan and shari are two you can rely to at least do their due diligence.

If fish wins, blame yourself for listening to a nobody. if he loses, consider yourself lucky

CorkyThatcher · 11-10-11, 10:40 AM

Line move was pretty crazy. It made sense. I'm an effing idiot!!!

EaglesPhan36 · 11-10-11, 10:41 AM

Unless someone gives you a relevant link to somewhere verified for any injury info, I never believe a word of it. Plenty of crooks who are out to manipulate the market and fukk us all over.

As far as the line movement .. #1, never trust it in tennis. #2, it was as likely to be because Fish wrapped up his spot in London and people think he would be unmotivated as it is that he got an STD yesterday and is on medication.

jrw · 11-10-11, 10:42 AM

I amazed at how many straight set victories there have been in this tourney with so many evenly matched players. Only Djokavic has gone to 3 sets the last two days. The rest have been in straights. Unreal.

TennisProFrance · 11-10-11, 10:47 AM

Some of you people are retards, read what I said again.

EaglesPhan36 · 11-10-11, 10:50 AM

I read it. You covered your ass after the match started saying it might not effect him. That you say this supposed food illness is 100% what changed the market ... give me a break. Now you're an insider with Betfair too?

To be fair, you never did say to pick this player or that player ... but your suggestion is that you knew something that would effect the outcome of the match yet have no actual proof of anything - so it's very misleading to people who come in here and simply trust posters because they think this is a safe place to share info.

gators0708 · 11-10-11, 10:55 AM

You call someone else a retard when you come on here saying Mardy Fish had bad food that made him ill

TennisProFrance · 11-10-11, 10:55 AM

Did I ****, and you have no idea. If you ever come to monaco come see me (or London).