Future on Bartoli in commonwealth bank tourney

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  • sportman1313
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-10
    • 2752

    #1
    Future on Bartoli in commonwealth bank tourney
    She's only +210 but think she's a great pick here as she'll most likely get through her first match, then play lisicki/hantuchova and then most likely either ivanovic or petrova in the finals...she'll be favored in all these matches with possibly less of a favorite against ivanovic but her draw is quite a bit better than ivanovic's (who is the defending champ) and has been playing better than all the other players as of late. Her serve really worries me though but think even at +210 her odds are nice.

    Any thoughts???
  • babar1000
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-08-11
    • 174

    #2
    I have always bad surprises when i bet on Bartoli.
    Very hard to understand his mind.
    I think she is going to win this week.
    Comment
    • horja1
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-13-11
      • 5646

      #3
      I think you will win a lot more if you bet on all of her matches ... you bet on her first match and then put all the money on sec match and so on ... you'll get more than +210 this way
      Comment
      • sportman1313
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-10
        • 2752

        #4
        You do realize she'll be heavily favored in the first match with heavy juice right? There is far more value taking her right now by far with less risk. Thanks though bro
        Originally posted by horja1
        I think you will win a lot more if you bet on all of her matches ... you bet on her first match and then put all the money on sec match and so on ... you'll get more than +210 this way
        Comment
        • sportman1313
          SBR MVP
          • 12-31-10
          • 2752

          #5
          she is indeed quite unpredictable at times and her serve can be so off it's not even funny...but when she's on, man she is on. I like her in this tourney and think she can win it, but hedge opportunities will also exist in both the semis and finals. bol to you
          Originally posted by babar1000
          I have always bad surprises when i bet on Bartoli.
          Very hard to understand his mind.
          I think she is going to win this week.
          Comment
          • beefcake
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-26-09
            • 14029

            #6
            Dam she played in Turkey late last week and now is in Bali..A little travel fatigue?
            Comment
            • beefcake
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-26-09
              • 14029

              #7
              Marion is the poster child for the WTA...Never know who will show up..
              Comment
              • horja1
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-13-11
                • 5646

                #8
                Originally posted by sportman1313
                You do realize she'll be heavily favored in the first match with heavy juice right? There is far more value taking her right now by far with less risk. Thanks though bro
                You're right ... I didn't realize there are only 3 matches to be played ...
                Comment
                • sportman1313
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-10
                  • 2752

                  #9
                  Not sure if that will make all that big of a difference....as long as she wins her first match against garrigues, I can nearly guarantee a good profit hedging on her opponent both in the semis and finals. I got her at another book for +225, 400 to win 900...let's hope she doesn't lay an egg against garrigues, bc although a claycourter the spaniard can be dangerous. And I do agree, you never know which bartoli will show up but hopefully it's the good one
                  Originally posted by beefcake
                  Dam she played in Turkey late last week and now is in Bali..A little travel fatigue?
                  Comment
                  • goblue12
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-08-09
                    • 1316

                    #10
                    Choked in the 2nd set after several break points at 5-5, lost the tiebreak, was broken in her first service in the 3rd set, then retired.
                    Comment
                    • beefcake
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 14029

                      #11
                      Marion the Coo Coo Head..
                      Comment
                      • babar1000
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 08-08-11
                        • 174

                        #12
                        Comment
                        • sportman1313
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-31-10
                          • 2752

                          #13
                          what a chokejob by bartoli...in theory, I could have hedged for guaranteed profit from this first match of hers up until the finals if she had made it but figured she would atleast beat garrigues, who is quite pitiful at best on hard courts. Bartoli should be embarrassed, no excuse for losing this match...oh well, it's all good though. Bad beat but regardless it would have been a solid play...shame on bartoli.
                          Comment
                          • babar1000
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 08-08-11
                            • 174

                            #14
                            I know she hates Azarenka, perhaps this is the reason why she won in Turkey.

                            But this week, i can't understand Bartoli.


                            Originally posted by sportman1313
                            what a chokejob by bartoli...in theory, I could have hedged for guaranteed profit from this first match of hers up until the finals if she had made it but figured she would atleast beat garrigues, who is quite pitiful at best on hard courts. Bartoli should be embarrassed, no excuse for losing this match...oh well, it's all good though. Bad beat but regardless it would have been a solid play...shame on bartoli.
                            Comment
                            • sportman1313
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-31-10
                              • 2752

                              #15
                              No no, the ONLY reason she beat azarenka is bc azarenka tanked that match...if you watch it, you'll know what i'm talking about. She still struggled in that match, despite the fact azarenka wasn't trying......this match, she 'apparently' hurt her ankle pretty badly and started crying on court. Whether it was an act or for real, I don't know...nonetheless, she had a match point in 2nd set and double faulted. She had no business losing this match, oh well though...she made serious money and had an okay season, so even losing her isn't that big of a deal. She's a nutjob for real though
                              Originally posted by babar1000
                              I know she hates Azarenka, perhaps this is the reason why she won in Turkey.

                              But this week, i can't understand Bartoli.

                              Comment
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