Grand slams usually yield a pretty high profit for books, because in actuality, most matches with a favorite of anywhere between -120 and -200 are virtually a pick'em, and bettors flock to big name players. In this thread I'll be picking 2 dogs a day, that I feel have the most value.
No odds out yet, but here are some matches that I feel will have value off the bat.
Sela over Bellucci - Bellucci not great on hard courts, Sela is. Fitness and stamina will be an issue here for Sela, but his return game is pretty on point, and doesn't yield a ton of break points. Interesting what they odds will be.
Matosevic over Chela - More of a longshot here, Matosevic with some decent results this summer, Chela has been MIA, and will probably be a bit rusty.
Dodig over Davydenko - Not much has to be said here. Davy is in awful awful form, struggling with his first serve, and can't seem to stay in long rallies. Beaten by Fish 6-0 6-2 in Cincy, and Stakhovsky in straight sets in Winston Salem. Dodig on the other hand earned the win of his life, beating Nadal in 3 sets, and also took Monfils to 3 sets before being forced to retire from fatigue. I expect Davydenko to open around -220 or so.
Marino over Dulko - Better results since the summer started for Marino. I feel her game starting to come around, Dulko has been unimpressive as of late, will wait to see what the odds are.
Pervak over Ivanovic - Fading the has been hottie, if not in this match, surely her second round. Could go 3. Ivanovic most likely to prevail, but not without some hiccups. I could see great value with Pervak here, who is no shlub. Probably around +350 or 400.
Sevastova over Dushevina - VD has been playing a lot of tennis as of late with disappointing results. Sevastova earned a straight set win over Sofia Arvidsson a few days ago in Dallas, where she won near 70% of her first serve points, and about a 50% clip on her second serve. Has a shot.
No odds out yet, but here are some matches that I feel will have value off the bat.
Sela over Bellucci - Bellucci not great on hard courts, Sela is. Fitness and stamina will be an issue here for Sela, but his return game is pretty on point, and doesn't yield a ton of break points. Interesting what they odds will be.
Matosevic over Chela - More of a longshot here, Matosevic with some decent results this summer, Chela has been MIA, and will probably be a bit rusty.
Dodig over Davydenko - Not much has to be said here. Davy is in awful awful form, struggling with his first serve, and can't seem to stay in long rallies. Beaten by Fish 6-0 6-2 in Cincy, and Stakhovsky in straight sets in Winston Salem. Dodig on the other hand earned the win of his life, beating Nadal in 3 sets, and also took Monfils to 3 sets before being forced to retire from fatigue. I expect Davydenko to open around -220 or so.
Marino over Dulko - Better results since the summer started for Marino. I feel her game starting to come around, Dulko has been unimpressive as of late, will wait to see what the odds are.
Pervak over Ivanovic - Fading the has been hottie, if not in this match, surely her second round. Could go 3. Ivanovic most likely to prevail, but not without some hiccups. I could see great value with Pervak here, who is no shlub. Probably around +350 or 400.
Sevastova over Dushevina - VD has been playing a lot of tennis as of late with disappointing results. Sevastova earned a straight set win over Sofia Arvidsson a few days ago in Dallas, where she won near 70% of her first serve points, and about a 50% clip on her second serve. Has a shot.
