Demonatas Tennis Picks

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  • RollPlayer
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-26-10
    • 779

    #36
    Originally posted by Demonata
    If you did good money management then you will be in profit. I can provide good picks with only a couple losses or so a day but you need to manage your money well because no one picks people that will always win or we would all be rich. I can make picks that will probably win and if you manage your money well end up in profit at the end of the day.
    New tennis bettors please please please don't tail this guy. He is advocating chasing his loses all on heavy chalk. If you follow him you will make a little bit of money, but a day will come when 2-3 of his picks lose in a row and you will have NOTHING. Bet consistently each match and if you're a good capper you will make money.
    Comment
    • Gaskan
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-31-11
      • 765

      #37
      I think what most are asking is that you give weight to your plays and let the bettor know how strong your feeling is on each play. This is where you would rate them, 1 UNIT, 2 UNIT, 3 UNIT, etc...

      Otherwise each poster will assume that you bet 1 UNIT on each play and based on the odds you are betting on, your plays will turn out to be busts. The UNIT strength adds credibility to you so that you can prove you success. Posters like EP and Shari don't provide UNIT strength (well actually Shari does in her spreadsheet) because they give you plays that are close to even money or outright underdogs.
      Comment
      • ngates815
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-01-09
        • 13845

        #38
        Originally posted by ngates815
        Did you bet to win 100 dollars on each one of those?

        Seppi - 275 to win 100
        Arviddson - 330 to win 100
        Andujar - 175 to win100
        Makarova - 300 to win 100
        Originally posted by Gaskan
        I think what most are asking is that you give weight to your plays and let the bettor know how strong your feeling is on each play. This is where you would rate them, 1 UNIT, 2 UNIT, 3 UNIT, etc... Otherwise each poster will assume that you bet 1 UNIT on each play and based on the odds you are betting on, your plays will turn out to be busts. The UNIT strength adds credibility to you so that you can prove you success. Posters like EP and Shari don't provide UNIT strength (well actually Shari does in her spreadsheet) because they give you plays that are close to even money or outright underdogs.

        I tried explaining this to him, but he didn't want to hear it.

        He just likes the way his record looks when he says he went 8-2...but forgot to mention his 2 losses were -200 and -300, and last I checked that would take away a decent chunk of your profits from the 8 wins.
        Comment
        • Demonata
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 07-12-11
          • 25829

          #39
          Originally posted by RollPlayer
          New tennis bettors please please please don't tail this guy. He is advocating chasing his loses all on heavy chalk. If you follow him you will make a little bit of money, but a day will come when 2-3 of his picks lose in a row and you will have NOTHING. Bet consistently each match and if you're a good capper you will make money.
          Thanks for ruining my thread guys. If you don't like my picks than don't do them. Don't troll my thread and make sure no one ever listens to my picks. I would like to see how your sports picks threads are doing.
          Comment
          • Demonata
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 07-12-11
            • 25829

            #40
            Tell me how the hell this guys picks are so much different than mine?http://forum.sbrforum.com/tennis-han...think-p94.html
            He just does picks too and does not tell how much money he bets. Make your own Tennis picks thread if you are so much bettor than me.I have been doing this for 4 years. Been in profit for 4 years. The players I never have lost 3 in a row in my picks.
            Comment
            • Gaskan
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-31-11
              • 765

              #41
              Originally posted by Demonata
              Tell me how the hell this guys picks are so much different than mine?http://forum.sbrforum.com/tennis-han...think-p94.html
              He just does picks too and does not tell how much money he bets. Make your own Tennis picks thread if you are so much bettor than me.I have been doing this for 4 years. Been in profit for 4 years. The players I never have lost 3 in a row in my picks.

              All his pick are -120 or better. Therefore they do not need a strength rating on them because you can assume they are 1 UNIT plays. So we know by looking at his picks that if he is right more than 55% of the time he makes money. With your picks you will need 75% or better to make any profit, but all you divulge is your win loss record which is deceiving even if it is not your intent.
              Comment
              • Demonata
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 07-12-11
                • 25829

                #42
                It's not decieving because I tell who I bet on and am honest on my win loss ratio. If people don't know how to manage there money in betting than they shouldn't do it. I don't need to hold there hand while they bet. I post my picks and why I feel they will win. I also post my line. There is nothing wrong with my picks thread because it's what I post in it. If anyone has a problem with it they can just not post here or follow my picks.
                Comment
                • KARAMBA
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 07-18-10
                  • 51

                  #43
                  Ok Demonata..........don't post how many UNITS if you dont want to. But in the end, if you end up with a WIN:LOSS result like 50:20, dont be too happy; cuz you probably just broke even or worse. Playing -300 favorites, you better have a Win:Loss ratio like 60:20 or better.
                  Comment
                  • nulldah
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-10
                    • 1473

                    #44
                    so many people pointing the "flaw" on this, why not just give in?

                    It's not a matter of tailing your picks, people here on tennis subforum just dont like new bettors come in and be deceived by your PROUD records and experience of FOUR years betting and PROFITABLE and start tailing you blindly.

                    Well, at least this way with few comments every single page pointing your problems, new tennis handicappers will realize it . well, if they still can't realize it, then i guess it's their problem already
                    Comment
                    • Demonata
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 07-12-11
                      • 25829

                      #45
                      Originally posted by KARAMBA
                      Ok Demonata..........don't post how many UNITS if you dont want to. But in the end, if you end up with a WIN:LOSS result like 50:20, dont be too happy; cuz you probably just broke even or worse. Playing -300 favorites, you better have a Win:Loss ratio like 60:20 or better.
                      I get your guys points I think Ithink what I want to do is just get that thread deleted and I will only post my picks under -200. That way new users wont lose all there money if they don't manage it well.
                      Comment
                      • Demonata
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 07-12-11
                        • 25829

                        #46
                        So would guys rather me make a new thread and only put the bets I do that are under -200? Give me suggestions guys but don't outright tell people to leave, sorry that just pissed me off. I think I'm going to delete this thread or something and in my new ones just post my picks under -200. I see your points and they do seem logical. Sorry I was just mad at how many of you were outright saying for people not to follow my picks. So this thread is ruined now but in my next one I will only post when I'm betting -150 etc.

                        Sound good? Sorry for getting all mad guys it's just I do a lot of research and have been betting for 4 years now and pick a lot of winners and was getting all these negative comments. I get what you are saying though. I will only post winners that are under -200 and not -300 etc haha. So new users that don't manage there money well can still figure it out on the under -200s.

                        Sorry again guys.Thanks
                        Comment
                        • Gaskan
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-31-11
                          • 765

                          #47
                          no problem and good luck with your picks
                          Comment
                          • Demonata
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 07-12-11
                            • 25829

                            #48
                            This is just my first time posting a thread about my picks and I admit I didn't really look at others to see a good way to do it. Here's one thing that might help me make a better tennis thread. WHAT IS A UNIT? You guys keep telling me to tell how many units etc but I have no idea what a unit is? Thanks
                            Comment
                            • KARAMBA
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 07-18-10
                              • 51

                              #49
                              Goodluck Demonata
                              Comment
                              • Demonata
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 07-12-11
                                • 25829

                                #50
                                Originally posted by KARAMBA
                                Goodluck Demonata
                                Thanks can ylou or anyone else help me with this? WHAT IS A UNIT? You guys keep telling me to tell how many units etc but I have no idea what a unit is? If you tell me what it is than I can include it in my new thread. Thanks
                                Comment
                                • snufflyjoe
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 07-26-11
                                  • 476

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Demonata
                                  Thanks can ylou or anyone else help me with this? WHAT IS A UNIT? You guys keep telling me to tell how many units etc but I have no idea what a unit is? If you tell me what it is than I can include it in my new thread. Thanks
                                  a unit is whatever you want it to be it is a defined amount of money..

                                  for example
                                  start off with a bankroll of £100, people tend to use 2% of their bankroll for a unit but you can use whatever you want so if you had a bankroll of £100 and wanted a unit to represent 2% you would have 50 units @£2 per unit
                                  Comment
                                  • Demonata
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 07-12-11
                                    • 25829

                                    #52
                                    Thanks for the help man. On my next thread I will include units.
                                    Comment
                                    • ngates815
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-01-09
                                      • 13845

                                      #53
                                      If you're going to use 100 dollars as a "unit" then....

                                      Tennis 221 Marcos Baghdatis* -155 vs Somdev Devvarman

                                      You'd bet 1.55 units to win 1 unit
                                      ($155 to win $100)

                                      3.1 units to win 2 units
                                      ($310 to win $200)

                                      .72 units to win .5
                                      ($72 to win $50)

                                      If you ended up betting 1.55 units to win 1 unit

                                      You'd record the record as

                                      1-0 +1 unit.


                                      It gives the people who follow you a much better idea of where you're at as far as + or - money.
                                      Comment
                                      • Demonata
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 07-12-11
                                        • 25829

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by ngates815
                                        If you're going to use 100 dollars as a "unit" then.... Tennis 221 Marcos Baghdatis* -155 vs Somdev Devvarman You'd bet 1.55 units to win 1 unit ($155 to win $100) 3.1 units to win 2 units ($310 to win $200) .72 units to win .5 ($72 to win $50) If you ended up betting 1.55 units to win 1 unit You'd record the record as 1-0 +1 unit. It gives the people who follow you a much better idea of where you're at as far as + or - money.
                                        Thanks for the help man. Ya I never really new terms like units. So I was getting mad when everyone kept asking what units I bet and kept talking about units. haha. I will have to try that in my new thread so people understand what I'm betting. Thanks again.
                                        Comment
                                        • Allen24
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-15-10
                                          • 857

                                          #55
                                          Baghdatis beats Young!!
                                          Comment
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