xtrzor tennis picks

[xtrzor]

how are you guys doing today?hope you cashed yesterdays matches. i just had perfect day, won tennis, won nba and won the mlb !

have 2 picks for today, playing with small units, because i'm not so sure in them, but they are worth trying.

pick ANDERSON against Fognini : odds 2.35 0,5 unit
the match opened at even odds and it should stayed liked this. I have to take Anderson now at such odds, because fognini really isn't a favorite like this. I'm a little bit on fading Fognini, because he struggled a lot just a week ago in Casablanca.

pick GULBIS TO WIN 2:0 AGAINST RAONIC: odds 2.35 0,1 unit
Raonic has zero experience on clay, but don't want to underestimate him too much, because he can play risky and meybe get a set or match against Gulbis, but i doubt it. On the other side you have Gulbis playing very good tennis, if we remember him last year when he beat Federer and almost beat Nadal.

[xtrzor]

if anyone is asking himself why i'm playing such a small units...because the tennis season is very long, and i want to make a lot of profit like i did last season in long term...and if i'm not sure about the play i go rather small.

i know i could just play a big units, like a lot of people do, and then my record it would be much bigger, but i really don't care about that...i'm not that all in guy, and i really try to stay disciplined and stick to my money management.

and on the other side, my units are meybe little bigger, i use 5 % for 1 unit...but i never make a play bigger than 5 units(once or 2 times a year). I'm not saying that i'm playing for a really big money, but it's pretty big for me, coz i'm just started with my college.

if you have any questions or comment about the picks, they are more than welcome.

i will try to post 1 or 2 plays in 4-5 hours...just so you guys can checked the thread later.

my total: plus 7.2 units (10-4)

[xtrzor]

ANDERSON LOST 1:2 AGAINST FOGNINI. -0,5 UNITS SO FAR TODAY. I SHOULD PLEACE A LITTLE BIT ON FOGNINI AFTER 1 SET.

hope that the next one will hit. good luck

[xtrzor]

will do recap later.

feder vs cilic under 20 games. odds 1.9 1 unit

[xtrzor]

recap: 1-2 in last 2 days ...but still made 0.3 units profit...didn't had time to post plays here, had two winners in the morning. anyway, made the profit, that's what it cound at the end.

total : plus 7.6 UNITS (11-6)

[xtrzor]

medina to win 2:0 against rezair ? yes ! 1,5 units odds 1.9

[xtrzor]

cibulkova to win 2:0 against jovanovski? yes! 1 unit odds 1.95

[xtrzor]

hello guys. i have 1 play for now, but there will be 2-3 of the in a hour...will do recap later after all plays are finished. i had to do some thing over the weekend and didn't had much time to cap.

golubev vs hanescu...take golubev odds 1.85, 1 unit

good luck and be on lookout for more picks

[xtrzor]

big card for me today...might add 1-2 later


garcia lopez-istomin +1,5 sets, take istomin +1,5 for 1.25 unit odds 1.85

cuevas -anderson +1,5 sets, take anderson +1,5 for 1.25 unit odds 1.85

monaco to win 2:0 against dimitrov ? yes! 1,5 units odds 2.00

na li to win 2:0 agaist sevastova? yes! 1 unit odds 2.35

as i said, might add 1 or 2. good luck
(if anyone wants to get write-ups...just ask)

[xtrzor]

recap of 16.4.2011: both lost (just no comment...don't know why i even bet womans tennis :S )...one day she is playing almost perfect, next day she can't hit fuckin serve...just want to ask what is here excuse ? pms lol ? oh,will stop crying.

-2,5 units...

so total is :+5,1 units

[xtrzor]

recap of 18.4.2011: lost on golubev and istomin = -2,25 units

won anderson, monaco, na li = +3,9 units

so total of today is : +1,7 units

[xtrzor]

so now my record is : +6.8 units (14-10)

will post picks in the morning (in next 10-15 hours, when my bookie give me the lines out..be on lookout) good luck

[marzenabudzinska]

bol

[xtrzor]

here we go:

starace - gimeno pick starace odds 1.67 for 1 unit

greul to win 2:0 agaist kendrick? yes odds 1.75 for 1.25 units

[xtrzor]

georges - krajicek +1,5 sets, take krajicek odds 2,34 for 1 unit

mallise - ferrero, take ferrero odds 2,25 for 1 unit

[xtrzor]

almagro - andujar pick andujar odds 2,8 for 1 unit

take under 18,5 (or if you get 19) safina - craybas for 1,25 units

soler espinosa - flipkens , pick flipkens odds 2 for 1 unit

[xtrzor]

and i'm fading rezai agaist rus : so take rus for 1 unit odds 2,1

[xtrzor]

if i will like sth i will post it later...but probably this is it for now, pretty big card.

good luck

[xtrzor]

one question...what should i do with my record here ?i placed a bet on starace against gimeno today...starace won 6:4 the first set, then he lost 6:1, and in third set it was 0:2 then starace retired...i played the match on bet 365, so i got void...but not all bookies would do the same... ? if there won't be no answer or sth i will coun't it as void...thx..

[xtrzor]

one question...what should i do with my record here ?i placed a bet on starace against gimeno today...starace won 6:4 the first set, then he lost 6:1, and in third set it was 0:2 then starace retired...i played the match on bet 365, so i got void...but not all bookies would do the same... ? if there won't be no answer or sth i will coun't it as void...thx..

i asked shari for help, and she gave me the best possible answer to my question : i will copy it from her thread (post 11164) :

shari : With mine right now, I bet at books that void all retirements so that's how I record them. Even though others would have won or lost the bet depending on their book.

If you bet at a few different books with different rules, maybe state the book when you post your bet so no one can question you. If you're like me and all of your books void retirements, then I'd just record them as a push. In the long run I think it evens out for us and sometimes we're saved by retirements

so i will count it as void.

[xtrzor]

i will do recap later.

ferrero to beat 2:0 zverev? yes odds: 1.8 1,5 units

one or two coming in an hour or two for sure. good luck

[xtrzor]

recap of 19.4.2011:

starace void
kreul won 2:0 +0,9375 unit
krajicek lost - 1unit
ferrero +1,25 unit
andujar lost -1 unit
safina under 18,5 won +1 unit
flipkens won +1 unit
rus lost -1 unit

total is + 1,1875 unit for yesterday. too bad that rus won first set, then lost other two, andujar lost 7:5 7:6, krajicek wasn't even close so it was a really bad pick starace took first set, then i don't know what happened to him that he lost the second one, and start with 0:2 the third the retired. but anyway, we made profit!!


so now my record is : +8 units (18-1-13)

[xtrzor]

sory guys, i had problems with phone logging into sbr, so couldn't post 2 more picks.

but anyway, hope you played as i said.

ferrero won 2:0. adding profit +1,2 units

my updated record is : + 9,2 units (19-1-13)

[xtrzor]

today i'm playing:

almagro and ferrero under 20,5 for 1 unit, odds : 1.85

flipkens to beat 2:0 lalami ? YES. for 1 unit, odds : 1.80

good luck if anyone is tailing.

[xtrzor]

damn, i've been busy and didn't managed to post more picks..

recap of yesterday:

both plays won, so + 1,65 units

so total record is : plus + 10,85 units (21-1-13)

[xtrzor]

today i'm taking under 20 games odds 2.0 for 0,5 units in Nadal vs Ferrer match. good luck

[xtrzor]

nadal won 2:0 (6:2, 6:4) total: 18. that is plus 0,5 units for today

total record is : plus + 11,35 units (22-1-13)

[rafa martin]

nice run man!!!,,wish you the best of luck,,,spanierds are awesome in clay,,hope you profit grom them,,nice picktoday i though the game would be a close one.

[xtrzor]

nice run man!!!,,wish you the best of luck,,,spanierds are awesome in clay,,hope you profit grom them,,nice picktoday i though the game would be a close one.

thx man ! hope you cashed too !

[xtrzor]

picks for today:

larsson - de lattre under 18,5 for 1,25 units, odds: 1.7

baghdatis - bennetau pick bennetau for 0,75 units odds 2.0

rodina - camerin pick camerin for 0,5 units odds 2.7

take vesnina -7,5 against luz for 1,5 units odds 1.7

tipsarevic - nishikori , take tipsarevic -2 (or just take the win if you don't have this option) for 1 unit odds 1.85

if you have option, play it on bookmarker, where all the retired matched would count as void. good luck. may add some later, will see how these will go.

[sharlataans]

picks for today:

larsson - de lattre under 18,5 for 1,25 units, odds: 1.7

baghdatis - bennetau pick bennetau for 0,75 units odds 2.0

rodina - camerin pick camerin for 0,5 units odds 2.7

take vesnina -7,5 against luz for 1,5 units odds 1.7

tipsarevic - nishikori , take tipsarevic -2 (or just take the win if you don't have this option) for 1 unit odds 1.85

if you have option, play it on bookmarker, where all the retired matched would count as void. good luck. may add some later, will see how these will go.

Why are you so sure about Tipsarevic win?

[xtrzor]

larsson won 6:3 and 6:1, nice start!

[xtrzor]

i'm so sure because i watched Nishikori in the finals of Delray and he just didn't convinced my his claycourt abilities. I think hat he doesn't stand chances agaist a solid claycourt player, and Tipsarevic is for sure a good claycourt player. Tipsarevic won both h2h meetings this year, and he won in straight sets. He is playing at home crowd in Belgrade, which will be his extra motivation. Although i don't thing that he will lose in first round infront of the home crowd.

if anyone has any question about any of the incoming games...feel free to ask, i'll be here for 1 hour, then i have some things to take care of, and i will be back in 6-7 hours. good luck

[rafa martin]

tipsarevich is a nice call..but benneteu against the chipriot i do not see it,,,anyhow best of luck for you,, i will take a rest for a while.

[xtrzor]

tipsarevich is a nice call..but benneteu against the chipriot i do not see it,,,anyhow best of luck for you,, i will take a rest for a while.

playing him because baghdatis lost 6 matches in a row, he didn't won a game from a start of February this year, even h2h in favour of benneteau (2:1 for benn). And benn is playing much better tennis right now than baghdatis..so in my opinion the favourite should be benneteau.