Na, Li to win 2 - 1 +350

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  • El Sol
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-17-08
    • 876

    #1
    Na, Li to win 2 - 1 +350
    Dont need to hear how good Clijsters is and how she will destroy Na Li, we all know this, but If Li Na wins this it will probably be in three sets giving +350 (and rising) tremendous value here. I've watched both players throughout the years and both are in great form. Although Kim is certainly the better all around player, Li Na has the ability to frustrate the best of players with her crafty play like no other I've observed.

    My model gives Li Na a 38% chance of winning this match which even makes taking the ml at +260 (greek) a good bet, but i went with (Li) 2 - 1 as it is highly unlikely that she could do it in two.

    My philosophy on gambling is its less stressful (and arguably more profitable) to bet a little to win big than betting big to win a little...
  • labrador
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-29-10
    • 132

    #2
    I put a very small bet on her to win 2-1 as well. It's more for fun, as I like her a lot. Not professional at all on my part, I know.
    Betfair offeres a much better odd, at 7.6 at this moment.
    Comment
    • MickeyMan
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-20-09
      • 5091

      #3
      bol but I think you can get much better odds if you can shop around
      Comment
      • El Sol
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 05-17-08
        • 876

        #4
        Originally posted by MickeyMan
        bol but I think you can get much better odds if you can shop around
        agree completely but I;m U.S. and our options are limited
        Comment
        • El Sol
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 05-17-08
          • 876

          #5
          Originally posted by labrador
          I put a very small bet on her to win 2-1 as well. It's more for fun, as I like her a lot. Not professional at all on my part, I know.
          Betfair offeres a much better odd, at 7.6 at this moment.
          oh, im certainly not professional, but I been doing this for years and have learned a few things
          Comment
          • MickeyMan
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-20-09
            • 5091

            #6
            I definitely like your idea of betting less to win more instead of betting big to win little...the latter is bad for the heart
            Comment
            • labrador
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-29-10
              • 132

              #7
              And if we don't win this time, there will be other times. The key words are: less stressful, higher value,...
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                5Dimes has it at +561. If you're about "value" - you're not really getting value for this pick.
                Comment
                • John Morrison
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-31-09
                  • 1531

                  #9
                  clijsters should take it good luck to all who bet
                  Comment
                  • D3 Mighty Ducks
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-17-09
                    • 11939

                    #10
                    Giving the underdog a shot in this one. Hopefully in the morning I wake up to a winner.

                    Comment
                    • moses27
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-01-09
                      • 1190

                      #11
                      im going to try li two
                      Comment
                      • Jrod124
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-31-09
                        • 5622

                        #12
                        he must have played this at the DSI/Bookmaker group. They are a joke for set betting. I hate playing tennis there. Its really ML or Spread there. Set Betting lines are adjusted in their favor. If u like Clijsters 2-0 thats not to bad at -120
                        Comment
                        • El Sol
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 05-17-08
                          • 876

                          #13
                          na li up to +500 to win 2 - 0 or 2 -1 right now
                          Comment
                          • El Sol
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 05-17-08
                            • 876

                            #14
                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                            5Dimes has it at +561. If you're about "value" - you're not really getting value for this pick.
                            well thats what it was at the time i posted with the books I have funded, I did not make my bet yet. Still waiting, I knew it was going to go up, I like it even more now though I'm still keeping it at one unit
                            Comment
                            • Jrod124
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-31-09
                              • 5622

                              #15
                              just play the +245 too. Li cld win this in 2. Its women's tennis
                              Comment
                              • AribaAriba
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-03-09
                                • 2922

                                #16
                                Click image for larger version

Name:	coin flip.jpg
Views:	2
Size:	38.9 KB
ID:	29106794Lets the coin flip begins
                                Comment
                                • El Sol
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-17-08
                                  • 876

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Jrod124
                                  just play the +245 too. Li cld win this in 2. Its women's tennis
                                  I thought about it, I decided to take Ni 2 - 1 +550, and over 21.5 games for -115.

                                  Good luck all, match is starting
                                  Comment
                                  • Jrod124
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-31-09
                                    • 5622

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by El Sol
                                    I thought about it, I decided to take Ni 2 - 1 +550, and over 21.5 games for -115.

                                    Good luck all, match is starting
                                    good luck bud, Lil ML and +4.5 here
                                    Comment
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