am i only one giving ferrer

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  • ATP123
    Restricted User
    • 10-30-10
    • 1094

    #1
    am i only one giving ferrer
    a punchers chance at the upset tonight?
  • ATP123
    Restricted User
    • 10-30-10
    • 1094

    #2
    hes 6-1, ill bet my 15pts on this side for 6-1 odds with anyone if they think its a lock. my 15 for whomevers 90. they dont seem to have the lines up for tennis for some reason
    Comment
    • ACoochy
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-19-09
      • 13949

      #3
      Nadal -7.5 here. Only playing it as was able to get +137 and think that he will roll as besides the mini tomic hiccup, nadal really hasnt given a reason not to wager him....GL regardless ATP
      Comment
      • ATP123
        Restricted User
        • 10-30-10
        • 1094

        #4
        not staying up til morning to watch but if anyone wants that action before they start ill take it.
        Comment
        • gti175
          SBR MVP
          • 11-06-08
          • 1192

          #5
          I don't think he's got a chance, I'm gonna play Murray though in the semis
          Comment
          • HeeeHAWWWW
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 06-13-08
            • 5487

            #6
            Didn't see his match with Raonic, but Ferrer was striking it beautifully in the earlier rounds - best form since 2007 it seemed.

            Hard to see how he harms Nadal on courts like these though. Even if hits pretty aggressively, Nadal has plenty time to get there and return an even more powerful hit.
            Comment
            • yisman
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-01-08
              • 75682

              #7
              I think he has a chance.
              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
              [/quote]

              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
              Comment
              • dwaechte
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-27-07
                • 5481

                #8
                Probably won't win, but this line on Rafa seems inflated to me. Ferrer has been in complete control all tournament, and even though Nadal hasn't yet lost a set he's looked far from unbeatable in his last 2 matches to me. Will be on Ferrer +7.
                Comment
                • Phillth
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-09-09
                  • 1785

                  #9
                  All Hard court matches H2H have had a tiebreak. Take Ferrer plus the games
                  Comment
                  • gators0708
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-07-10
                    • 2318

                    #10
                    Small play for me
                    Comment
                    • JOHON8
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-28-10
                      • 7712

                      #11
                      Thinking about waiting for Nadal to win the first set then ride a lottery ticket on Ferrer hoping his fitness outweighs Nadal.
                      Comment
                      • PingPong
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-10-08
                        • 988

                        #12
                        i wonder how rafa's hair loss plays into this...
                        Comment
                        • senseionline
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-20-10
                          • 1819

                          #13
                          like the odd on ferrer going to put some on him
                          Comment
                          • AzNDooM
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-29-08
                            • 1611

                            #14
                            going to put Nadal 3-1, i reckon Ferrer will get one set, btw SEnseionline, nice avatar =))
                            Comment
                            • 757sFinest
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-23-10
                              • 885

                              #15
                              Straight set winner 6-2, 6-2, 6-3...nadal
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #16
                                No chance overall for Ferrer, but hoping he takes a set.
                                Comment
                                • JOHON8
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-28-10
                                  • 7712

                                  #17
                                  Anyone following Nadal's condition and who would have a slight advantage if this was to be a long match?
                                  Comment
                                  • Mikail
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-19-09
                                    • 21689

                                    #18
                                    Based upon the odds I take that the oddsmakers believe that there is a slight chance Ferrer could pull of the upset here. I am considering making a play on Ferrer ML but waiting til right before the match starts. I'm sure the price on Nadal will jump making the Ferrer odds much better.
                                    Comment
                                    • JOHON8
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-28-10
                                      • 7712

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Mikail
                                      Based upon the odds I take that the oddsmakers believe that there is a slight chance Ferrer could pull of the upset here. I am considering making a play on Ferrer ML but waiting til right before the match starts. I'm sure the price on Nadal will jump making the Ferrer odds much better.
                                      I think I might risk waiting until Nadal wins the first set, odds would easily triple on Ferrer. I remember the young Canadian almost bullied Ferrer in the first set so I feel it would be value lost taking Ferrer before the first set.

                                      The + side is that you'd have a much better chance of Ferrer winning the whole thing if he can pull of the 1st.
                                      Comment
                                      • Mikail
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-19-09
                                        • 21689

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by JOHON8
                                        I think I might risk waiting until Nadal wins the first set, odds would easily triple on Ferrer. I remember the young Canadian almost bullied Ferrer in the first set so I feel it would be value lost taking Ferrer before the first set.

                                        The + side is that you'd have a much better chance of Ferrer winning the whole thing if he can pull of the 1st.
                                        Good idea. Only way that can backfire is if Ferrer wins the 1st set but to offset that you can just throw something small on him now and add later. Although if Ferrer does take set 1 I'm sure Nadal will still be a big favorite. I know it's a long shot but it could happen. Either way Best of luck to you.
                                        Comment
                                        • yisman
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-01-08
                                          • 75682

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by JOHON8
                                          I think I might risk waiting until Nadal wins the first set, odds would easily triple on Ferrer. I remember the young Canadian almost bullied Ferrer in the first set so I feel it would be value lost taking Ferrer before the first set.

                                          The + side is that you'd have a much better chance of Ferrer winning the whole thing if he can pull of the 1st.
                                          if you wait to bet on Ferrer and he wins the first set, you're kinda screwed

                                          BTW, career ATP matches on non-clay surfaces:

                                          Nadal 3-2

                                          clay: Nadal 8-1
                                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                          [/quote]

                                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                          Comment
                                          • kingsr
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-23-10
                                            • 1983

                                            #22
                                            Wishful thinking, money down the drain here.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mikail
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-19-09
                                              • 21689

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by kingsr
                                              Wishful thinking, money down the drain here.
                                              You sound as if Nadal winning is a guarantee. C'mon Kingsr Ferrer upsetting Nadal could happen right?
                                              Comment
                                              • kingsr
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-23-10
                                                • 1983

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Mikail
                                                You sound as if Nadal winning is a guarantee. C'mon Kingsr Ferrer upsetting Nadal could happen right?

                                                I dont think so, not tonight anyway, not in a GrandSlam. Could jag a set though, hopefully he covers for your bet
                                                Comment
                                                • tankman777
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 04-03-10
                                                  • 330

                                                  #25
                                                  ferrer is nadal's biatch
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JOHON8
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-28-10
                                                    • 7712

                                                    #26
                                                    GL everyone here we go.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • A.M.S.
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 06-26-10
                                                      • 835

                                                      #27
                                                      jus put ferrer in..... gotem at +625

                                                      hes my big dogg for the day
                                                      Comment
                                                      • A.M.S.
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 06-26-10
                                                        • 835

                                                        #28
                                                        anybody watch how long nadal takes pre game?
                                                        how he likes to make his opponent wait .....
                                                        wonder who will be the first to make nadal wait?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hawley
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 05-10-10
                                                          • 14270

                                                          #29
                                                          ferrer has started pretty impressively

                                                          early break would of been ideal for him
                                                          Comment
                                                          • A.M.S.
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 06-26-10
                                                            • 835

                                                            #30
                                                            C'monnnnn ferrer
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 757sFinest
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-23-10
                                                              • 885

                                                              #31
                                                              Ferrer is stroking the nicely
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 757sFinest
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-23-10
                                                                • 885

                                                                #32
                                                                2nd game is taking forevvver
                                                                Comment
                                                                • A.M.S.
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 06-26-10
                                                                  • 835

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Lets get this break ferrer
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • A.M.S.
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 06-26-10
                                                                    • 835

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Nice!!!!! Here we go
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hawley
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-10-10
                                                                      • 14270

                                                                      #35
                                                                      just cant get broken straight back here
                                                                      Comment
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