I will be risking all or most of my stack in this tourney on ML parlays. Goal is to double or triple my stack. I hope you dudes can help out with opinions on who to include, exclude and possible upsets.
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use wozniacki at any priceComment -
I have a 2 match parlay 2nite with Monfils and FishComment -
I like a bit of parlay fun too.
$7 -> $50
C. Wozniacki v G. Dulko UNDER 18.00 (+107)
Z. Ondraskova v J. Dokic J. DOKIC PICK (-218)
A. Molik v R. Vinci OVER 19.50 (-101)
A. Kerber v D. Cibulkova D. CIBULKOVA PICK (-260).Comment -
ive got heavy chalk
roddick -5000
federer -10000
kanepi -250
wozniacki -1200
pironkova -450Comment -
So my opening stack is around 1500, heres my first parlay:
15 Team Parlay :
$89.37 to win $186.43
Tomas Berdych -2750
Fernando Verdasco -610
Novak Djokovic -3600
Andy Roddick -6000
Stanislas Wawrinka -1150
Gilles Simon -765
Roger Federer -5000
Caroline Wozniacki -820
Marion Bartoli -1545
Justine Henin -1610
Francesca Schiavone -990
Andrea Petkovic -965
Maria Sharapova -960
Na Li -1025
Victoria Azarenka -2205Last edited by jsmithj88; 01-16-11, 07:10 PM.Comment -
All I do is pretty much ML parlays. GL to you!Comment -
crappy bodogComment -
7 Team Parlay -
$1,000.00 to win $482.12
Tomas Berdych -2750
Andy Roddick -6000
Stanislas Wawrinka -1150
Roger Federer -5000
Caroline Wozniacki -820
Marion Bartoli -1545
Justine Henin -1610
Comment -
14 Team Parlay
$10.00 to win $45.62
Chicago Bears -475
Nikolay Davydenko -435
Fernando Verdasco -545
Novak Djokovic -2750
Andy Roddick -4845
Stanislas Wawrinka -960
Gael Monfils -430
Roger Federer -8100
Caroline Wozniacki -750
Marion Bartoli -1250
Francesca Schiavone -985
Venus Williams -400
Maria Sharapova -710
Na Li -790Last edited by jsmithj88; 01-16-11, 09:16 PM.Comment -
Books love Slams where players load up on these ML parlays. Good luck to you guys, but these are tough to hit even when they look like money. I think sticking to 2-3 players max in a parlay yields you a much better shot to win even if the return isn't as high.Comment -
8 Team Parlay #202... (Placed by Web)Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total
(115) New York Jets vs. (116) New England Patriots Over 46 Sun@4:30p
Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline
ATP - Men's - Australian Open, Melbourne
If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Roddick, A -5000 Sun@8:30p
Competitor:Hajek, JTennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline
ATP - Men's - Australian Open, Melbourne
If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Federer, R -10000 Sun@9:45p
Competitor:Lacko, LTennis - All tournaments for women (Game) Moneyline
WTA - Women's - Australian Open, Melbourne
If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Kanepi, K -250 Sun@7:00p
Competitor:Rybarikova, MTennis - All tournaments for women (Game) Moneyline
WTA - Women's - Australian Open, Melbourne
If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Wozniacki, C -1200 Sun@8:15p
Competitor
ulko, GTennis - All tournaments for women (Game) Moneyline
WTA - Women's - Australian Open, Melbourne
If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Pironkova, T -450 Sun@8:15p
Competitor:Parmentier, PFootball - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
(115) New York Jets +10 Sun@4:30p
Competitor
116) New England PatriotsBasketball - College First Halfs (1H) Total
(825) Iowa vs. (826) Minnesota Under 63½ Sun@6:00p (30-19)
Risk US$ 25.00 to win US$ 307.19Comment -
5 big favs to finish my day.... and naturally kanepi is getting spanked 2-6 first setLast edited by ATP123; 01-16-11, 08:02 PM.Comment -
5 Team Parlay
$500.00 to win $129.39
Tomas Berdych -2750
Andy Roddick -6000
Roger Federer -5000
Caroline Wozniacki -973
Justine Henin -1610Comment -
This is a fuckin lock and i never say the word lock. Play them all against their first round opponents together in a parlay. It comes out to be roughly -130 odds on big time players that get up big for grand slams. $1300 wins $970 and change and this is getting crappy late lines. You can thank me later.
Wozniacki
Williams, V.
Henin
Clijsters
Stosur
Roddick
Federer
Djokovic
Nadal
Soderling
MurrayComment -
Nice start jsmith!.Comment -
5 Team Parlay
$500.00 to win $129.39
14 Team Parlay
$10.00 to win $45.62
7 Team Parlay -
$1,000.00 to win $482.12
15 Team Parlay :
$89.37 to win $186.43
1500 ----> 2400
60% return on betting big favorites.Comment -
Nice job. I bet slams the 1st few days pretty much with only money line parlays on the big players like you do. I know you had awesome results the 1st day, but I would try to mix up your parlays instead of putting all your eggs in one basket. I try to keep those parlays to only 5-7 plays mixing it up with NFL and basketball. You had great results because there was no big upset. Only one was Davydenko losing. But if you had watched the Henin match, she really could have gone down. Losing the 1st set and was 1 point away from being broken at 2-2 in 2nd set Mirza totally screwed up at 40-10 with unforced errors and Henin got on track from there. I learned this the hard way in the French Open when Nadal went down to Soderling as a -1000 favorite.Comment -
I did a bunch today.
Jan 17MU [4001] R NADAL -12000 (R NADAL vrs M DANIEL) Jan 17MU [4011] R STEPANEK -599 (R STEPANEK vrs D GREMELMAYR) Jan 17MU [4023] J CHELA EV (J CHELA vrs M LLODRA) Jan 17MU [4027] R BERANKIS -249 (R BERANKIS vrs M MATOSEVIC) Jan 17MU [4033] R SODERLING -3499 (R SODERLING vrs P STARACE) Jan 17MU [4064] A MURRAY -7999 (K BECK vrs A MURRAY) Jan 17MU [4586] L TSURENKO +199 (P SCHNYDER vrs L TSURENKO) Risking 150 SBR To Win 1390.55 SBR
also:
PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
[4011] R STEPANEK -599
(R STEPANEK vrs D GREMELMAYR)
[4023] J CHELA EV
(J CHELA vrs M LLODRA)
[4575] A KREMER +184
(A KREMER vrs S HALEP)
72.00 / 405.23[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
[/quote]
[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment -
5 Team Parlay Bet Details
Zvonareva, V -2500
Tennis - All tournaments for women WTA - Women's - Australian Open, Melbourne - Moneyline
Mon@7:00p If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Kvitova, P -2000
Tennis - All tournaments for women WTA - Women's - Australian Open, Melbourne - Moneyline
Mon@7:00p If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Chakvetadze, A -160
Tennis - All tournaments for women WTA - Women's - Australian Open, Melbourne - Moneyline
Mon@7:00p If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Pennetta, F -800
Tennis - All tournaments for women WTA - Women's - Australian Open, Melbourne - Moneyline
Mon@8:30p If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Stosur, S -5000
5 girls even moneyComment -
that henin match was painful to watch early on. she had a lot of trouble holding serve as mirza was smacking the ball all over the court. but as an elite player, henin hung in there and mirza just started to slowly fall apart. that match shuda been over a lot earlier if henin was able to hold serve and close out the first set @ 6-4.
i have done this the last couple years and there are rarely major upsets on the mens side early on. the women tend to have more upsets within the top seeds. women like henin, clijsters, the williams sisters, and maybe wozniaki are usually good at the beginning of majors. every1 else is a toss up ........Comment -
@beagle25 and jsmith, i don't think that Henin was in serious danger in that match, though she was sloppy in the first set. She is one of the best gamers in tennis on the women's side and all around the strongest mentally tough player in the game men or women imo. She also has the best 1 handed backhand in the game imo and it is a joy to watch her play. She just got off to a slow start as some top players do in the first round of tourneys and at the beginning of the season. The bottom line is she won the match and rather easily too in the final 2 sets. The stats were lopsided in that first set the amount of breaks and winners that her opponent got. Basically her opponent played out of her ass in that first set so you knew that she would not be able to sustain that kind of form as a low level player. She was going for it on nearly every shot. Aside from serving, Mirza played as well as she is capable in that first set and still only one by 1 break due to Henin's sloppy service and slow start. I remember last year i believe Federer was down a set and a break to Andreev before turning it on and playing his game, but people were saying that Fed was going to go down. These top level pros are just that, professionals. Just because they lose a set or a break doesn't mean much to them because they can look past it and take their game to another level whereas a mid level or low level player can't and that is partially why they don't win. Along those lines i can't believe that some folks drop money on mid level and low level players in parlays. If I'm going to drop money on a big parlay and run the risk of potentially losing if 1 person slips up, I'm damn sure going to put my money on the players that are the elite and that i trust and not someone who is a mid level pro falling in the rankings due to their half ass play. At least imo if i have money on say Djokovic for instance and he were to go down i can say i went down with my guns blazing as opposed to throwing money on say Querrey and having him cost me a parlay by just not even showing up for real. That's the stuff that would leave a bad taste in my mouth. I guess at the end of the day whatever happens happens though and anything is possible especially in sports. Aside from Davydenko going down i thought the next highest ranked player under some distress yesterday was Monfils but he pulled it off. One person i can't figure out is Verdasco. I don't know what to make of this guy, one match he will look great and another he will look horrible. I try to stay away from the players that you never know what you are going to get and also any Russian player. If i had to guess I'd say some Russian players are payed off to lose certain matches from what i have seen in recent history. Watch a bunch of matches throughout the year involving Russian tennis players and you will see what I'm talking about. It resembles the Italians from a few years back. I'm not letting my money get dirty. I would have told you to lay off Davydenko if i had seen this thread earlier but i got home late like right before the first matches were starting and had to get my bets in didn't have much time to read or analyze certain matches that i wasn't interested in betting. Good luck tonight everyone.Comment -
Crap, i missed out on the 7pm games, but this is wat i got:
Pending 4 Team Parlay
$2,400.00 to win $207.43
Rafael Nadal -13500
Robin Soderling -4850*
Andy Murray -9250
Samantha Stosur -2205Comment -
this one is for fun:
Pending 17 Team Parlay
$3.52 to win $212.83
Portland Trailblazers -360
R.Nadal Games Won/M.Daniel Games Won Under 25½ -128*
John Isner -380
David Ferrer -645
R.Soderling Games Won/P.Starace Games Won Under 27½ -118*
Ernests Gulbis -210
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -820
Jurgen Melzer -1550
Juan Martin del Potro -250
Marcos Baghdatis -730
K.Beck Games Won/A.Murray Games Won Under 26½ -120*
Ana Ivanovic -437
Kim Clijsters -987
Samantha Stosur -2205
Flavia Pennetta -667
Shahar Peer -1180
Maria Kirilenko -967Comment -
@easywinners, i totally agree with most of ur comments. that henin backhand was sweet all night long. mirza was blasting it in the beginning and she tried to hang in there. even with that effort, henin shud have won that first set. she had set point on her serve and got broken. i wasnt really worried cuz mirza was unable to hold her own serve. once henin was able get her service game on it was over.
i think an easy rule of thumb for these parlays is to only bet on people that have a legit shot to win the tourney. that is where u want to put most of ur cash. then i will have a riskier parlay but at a minimal amount, as to not affect my profits.Comment -
I'm not gonna disagree about putting a chunk of cash on the line with these caliper of players, but I'm just cautioning that shit does happen. I know in the end Henin pulled that match out easily, but there was real danger there of her going down in that match. Who knows what would have happened if Mirza had broken her at 2-2. After she threw away that 40-15 advantage, her game went to hell. I know Henin is one of the strongest women's players on tour. Unlike a lot of the other women on the tour, she's not a head case. But this was her 1st real match coming off of the elbow injury from last year so that's why she was rusty. Her forehand was long all night. This wasn't a case of a top player just starting off slow and then just turning it on.Comment -
obviously there will be upsets somewhere along the line. i remember ivanovic was beaten as the top seed in the first round of a major not too long ago. i think safina lost as a top seed in round 2 as well. hell, even federer almost lost in the first round of a major last year. that costed me a shit load of cash since i bet for him to win in straight sets. but thats y u bet on championship caliber players, because the competition at the first round is not that great. they will almost always find a way to beat those lower tiered players.Comment -
Cashed. Didn't sweat any of these matches. The only one that even lost a set was Henin. I had 2 of my friends and my brother on this shit too so we got some quick money in roughly 24 hours. Watching the Hewitt/Nalbandian match now and rooting for a 5 setter as a tennis fan, no money on this match.Comment -
opinions on this parlay?
only a 19% return
any1 u would add or subtract?
thinking about adding azarenka, venus or monfils
Novak Djokovic* -4800
Andy Roddick* -4900
Roger Federer* -1800
Caroline Wozniacki* -2121
Justine Henin* -2567Comment -
Risking $10.00 To Win $68.57
20 Team Parlay
Miami Heat* -240
Chicago Bulls* -370
Tomas Berdych* -340
Novak Djokovic* -4800
Andy Roddick* -4900
Gael Monfils* -1600
Roger Federer* -1800
B.Bryan/M.Bryan* -1500
M.Mirnyi/D.Nestor* -2150
Caroline Wozniacki* -2105
Marion Bartoli* -820
Justine Henin* -2667
Svetlana Kuznetsova* -973
Venus Williams* -1560
Andrea Petkovic* -827
Maria Sharapova* -305
Na Li* -1378
Victoria Azarenka* -2667
L.Huber/N.Petrova* -2000
E.Vesnina/V.Zvonareva* -2525Comment -
$2,600.00 to win $283.30
3 Team Parlay
Andy Roddick* -4900
Caroline Wozniacki* -2105
Justine Henin* -2667Comment -
Risking $10.00 To Win $68.57 20 Team Parlay
$2,600.00 to win $283.30 3 Team Parlay
1500 ---> 2400 ---> 2600 ---> ~2900
1400 in profit so far ......Comment
