Jnic 2011 tennis

[JNic]

f\*\*k tough loss... up 4-1 double break in the 5th and just loses 5 games in a row, well thats a tough loss 4 hr epic

[OperatorX]

Nice Jinx.

[OperatorX]

Look on the bright side, Leyton is playing pretty great and Gabashvilli is playing pretty well.

[JNic]

YTD 39-54: +19.15u
Wimbledon R1
Hewitt over Nishikori +120 6-1 7-6(4) 6-7(9) 6-3 Ankle looked great!
Istomin over Kohlschreiber +325 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3 Kohlschreiber played through a torn groin or something? Still great serving stats for Istomin.
Gabashvili over Andreev +135 4-6 6-7(5) 7-6(4) 6-4 3-6 No feed for this, but it's tough coming back like that and just falling in 5...
Karlovic over Tipsarevic +130 7-5 3-1 ret. Got lucky with the Tipsy injury

Conor Niland over Mannarino +220 6-4 4-6 6-7(7) 6-4 4-6 This loss was horrible. The crowd was all Irish and they were all over Mannarino, he was up 4-1 in the 5th with a double break.

YTD 42-56: +22.65u remember all 2u bets
Muller over Raonic +230 - Experienced grass courter with a tough lefty serve against a young guy with a massive serve... Muller is effective at the net, this should be decided by a few points, maybe go to some tiebreakers. I really like my chances with the odds here. -Also on a random note, don't forget Muller is the last one to beat Nadal at Wimbledon besides Federer. I'm sure he doesn't wanna face either of these guys.
Stakhovsky over Ljubicic +175 - Stakhovsky's recent losses don't concern me, he's done that his whole career where he is playing horrible for weeks and then makes a huge run. He clearly has a better grasscourt suited game imo, the question is if he can serve as consistently as Ljubicic. Stak has a nice slice backhand and he should be crowding the net a lot.

[JNic]

^I miscalculated my winnings.. lol YTD 42-56: +26.65u

[JNic]

Adding R2: Sela over Simon +150 - We all know about Sela's win streak here, I think he is gonna beat Simon at his own game here. This is Sela's best surface compared to Simon's worst.

[basic]

thanks for the picks. GL

[basson]

gl on your plays today

[yoshiments]

Play Parmentier jnic...no way she should be a dog

[JNic]

It says parmentier is the favorite?

[yoshiments]

ah yea line has moved. I bet it at +110. Still think its +ev, but less value now of course

[OperatorX]

Nice hit with Muller saved by the injury..

[JNic]

Nah unfortunately I need 1 set for it to cash...

[JNic]

Apparently Sela is receiving a medical timeout just from looking at the live odds? It's really cool that Stakhovsky and Sela match both moved to non show courts.........

[OperatorX]

Poor Sela, got spanked in 3, Stahovsky looks like he's gonna get spanked as well.. Always tomorrow!

[JNic]

YTD 42-56: +26.65u remember all 2u bets
Muller over Raonic +230 -Cancelled
Stakhovsky over Ljubicic +175 - 4-6 4-6 2-6... Moved to a non show court so no comment?

Adding R2: Sela over Simon +150 - 6-7(3) 4-6 5-7

YTD 42-58: +22.65u remember all 2u bets
Devvarman over Youzhny +240 - Youzhny will be broken many times, this is a lot closer imo than odds indicate.
Beck over GGL +160 - I know GGL is really solid on grass but this is 50-50 in my mind. GGL hasn't shown me anything special formwise for a little while and Beck also has a very strong grass game.

[JNic]

Adding: WTA Tanasugarn over Kirilenko +100 - I really don't trust Kirilenko on grass... I saw Tanasugarn play a little and she hits the ball really flat. The match is on Tanasugarn's racquet imo

[JNic]

Boy does Florian Mayer at +135 look solid against Malisse. I'm not ready to pull the trigger on this one though, thoughts?

[gregm]

I had this Mayer circled tonight on the spreadsheet as a potential dog, looking at his results and numbers more closely, I am really wondering at this last performance Mayer had against Daniel Evans. He really struggled.


Daniel Evans??????????????????

Maybe the over on this, anyone of these aging mugs could win this, Mayer had a good year and is coming off a good showing at Halle, but Malisse made it to the semis in the Netherlands on grass. I am looking alot more at the total.

Good luck whatever you choose.

cheers

[basic]

thanks for the picks!

[OperatorX]

Well I accidentally bet Beck first set instead of match, but it worked out favorably, so I still count that as a winner in my books!

[OperatorX]

I can't believe Hewitt is beating Soderling, Hewitt won his first match but looked pretty horrible, I was planning on betting against him but forgot about it, good thing I did.

[OperatorX]

I played the over in the Mayer match and lost and Tanasugarn aint looking good.. lets go Dev Varman to save the day

[OperatorX]

Too bad, Tanasugarn and Dev Varman both took a good beating today, onto tomorrow..

[face]

jnic- is pironkova worth a shot vs. zvonereva at +315? their history is 1-1, zvonereva won on grass in 3 sets but pironkova beat her on hard surface. i just don't know how well zvonereva is playing i haven't watched her. nevermind,i just saw her year to date record is 6-15, while zvonereva's is 30/11

[JNic]

YTD 42-58: +22.65u remember all 2u bets
Devvarman over Youzhny +240 - 2-6 4-6 4-6 Devvarman had the momentum in the 3rd, really close to breaking but then rain delay and Youzhny came back and dominated like the 1st 2 sets...
Beck over GGL +160 - 7-6(5) 6-4 3-6 6-4 Big time win, good idea to fade GGL

Adding: WTA Tanasugarn over Kirilenko +100 - 5-7 5-7 - Thai was up a break both sets, had set point on her serve in the 1st and saved 5 match points in the 2nd. Tough loss but Kirilenko had really nice stats.

YTD 43-60: +21.85u remember all 2u bets


^^ I think Pironkova has a hell of a good chance, Zvonareva is clearly out of form imo. Vesnina choked away that tiebreak against Zvonareva, I just think Zvonareva is gonna come back strong and take out Pironkova. Obv take Pironkova at 4.15 or just dont play it at all

[JNic]

K. Bondarenko over Petrova +265 - Petrova does have the big serve but Pavlychenkova just could not keep the ball in play at all. She failed to return a majority of the kick 2nd serves and this is where Bondarenko will excel, I think Bondarenko will get most of the returns back and force Petrova into tough positions. Petrova is rated so high because of her doubles prowess, when she gets to net she is lethal but it really is easy to keep her on the baseline. Petrova barely got to net against Pavlychenkova and she basically won off a nervy performance where Pavlychenkova simply could not keep the ball in the court. Bondarenko has a big shot imo and I disagree with these odds

[basic]

Better today. Good luck

[JNic]

K. Bondarenko over Petrova +265 - 3-6 2-6

YTD 43-61: +19.85u remember all 2u bets
Almagro over Youzhny +130
Pennetta over Bartoli +210

[basic]

With you on Pennetta Good luck

[makman]

YTD 43-61: +19.85u remember all 2u bets
Almagro over Youzhny +130
Pennetta over Bartoli +210

I like Almagro, but i do not agree with Bartoli play, in anyway BOL

[aerinho]

I agree with <<makman>> . Almagro seems to be in a very solid period and i believe will overcomes but this match maybe will go the distance . But i totally disagree with Pennetta's pick . She is playing very bad the last 2-3 months and i am sure that bartoli will crush her very easily in straits sets . I think is the 100% bet of the day . Let's see .

[PickApprentice]

Good luck!

[JNic]

Adding: Melzer over Malisse +125

[JNic]

f\*\*k this with Pennetta... lemme just catch a break