Federer vs Murray

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  • Cheetahponti
    Restricted User
    • 12-09-09
    • 377

    #1
    Federer vs Murray
    Line is not out yet obviously, but you'd have to say Fed at anything below -140 will be a call for a potential big bet.
  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #2
    Murray has shown no mercy here in shanghai and hes going to have that aussie final in his head for some payback...Fed of course will be favored but I personally will wait to let it rise then take murray maybe..

    Either way cheetah good luck!!
    Comment
    • Cheetahponti
      Restricted User
      • 12-09-09
      • 377

      #3
      Agreed Murray has played super here. Good enough I'm hoping to get a decent line on Fed!

      The way he handled the Joker today was mighty impressive and his forehand was on song. Anything below -140 and I'm in for a 10U style bet.

      BOL to you too beef whatever you play
      Comment
      • Shonner
        SBR MVP
        • 09-05-10
        • 1361

        #4
        I love Fed here.
        Comment
        • shari91
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-23-10
          • 32661

          #5
          Bad lines for Fed here in Australia anyway.

          Murray +170
          Fed -200
          Comment
          • Cheetahponti
            Restricted User
            • 12-09-09
            • 377

            #6
            Fed is -208 on Pinny, books have that about spot on - no value unfortunately. Might consider the -3 play at -108 but only small and to make watching the game interesting.
            Comment
            • INDIANOPERATOR
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-15-10
              • 158

              #7
              Even though Murray has had a superb week of tennis, so has Fed. Track record is against Murray and I expect it to stay the same. Very generous handicap by the bookies.

              Going big on Fed -3
              Comment
              • JNic
                SBR MVP
                • 01-03-10
                • 4272

                #8
                Originally posted by Cheetahponti
                Fed is -208 on Pinny, books have that about spot on - no value unfortunately. Might consider the -3 play at -108 but only small and to make watching the game interesting.
                exactly my thoughts on this, but you gotta cut out the betting just to watch games - thats what hurt me at least
                Comment
                • gators0708
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-07-10
                  • 2318

                  #9
                  The value is with Murray go with him
                  Comment
                  • y2kr1000
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 04-12-10
                    • 692

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Cheetahponti
                    Fed is -208 on Pinny, books have that about spot on - no value unfortunately. Might consider the -3 play at -108 but only small and to make watching the game interesting.
                    Its still value if you are confident he will win. I didnt expect Federer to be this much of a favourite but that wont stop me from betting him. I wouldn't play the -3 just incase its a 7/6 7/6 game as they are both in fantastic form going into this game. Feder straight on the ML in this one for me.
                    Comment
                    • Jrod124
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-31-09
                      • 5622

                      #11
                      Fed 2-0 for me, good luck everyone
                      Comment
                      • Cheetahponti
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-09-09
                        • 377

                        #12
                        Yes I still might make a straight play as I really can't see Fed losing here. Can't lay the -3 as a tie break or three setter could kill it
                        Comment
                        • pavyracer
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 82785

                          #13
                          Federer should destroy that clown.
                          Comment
                          • Wilforth
                            Restricted User
                            • 05-10-08
                            • 16309

                            #14
                            Originally posted by gators0708
                            The value is with Murray go with him
                            Looks that way but I doubt he can beat the Fed in this one.
                            Comment
                            • Mikail
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-19-09
                              • 21689

                              #15
                              Fed ML @ -210 Love it but chalky. On it anyway.
                              Comment
                              • paciophobia
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-02-10
                                • 734

                                #16
                                Fed will be schooling this little baby murray
                                Comment
                                • colout
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-11-09
                                  • 772

                                  #17
                                  Fedex line is juiced to much.. value is on Murray! Good luck everyone
                                  Comment
                                  • Mthorn
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-29-09
                                    • 588

                                    #18
                                    Lets go Fed! Dropping alot on him.
                                    Comment
                                    • rav_himself
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 03-15-10
                                      • 992

                                      #19
                                      colout there is no value in a losing bet
                                      Comment
                                      • mqm
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 08-06-10
                                        • 55

                                        #20
                                        federer will win this one
                                        Comment
                                        • colout
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-11-09
                                          • 772

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by rav_himself
                                          colout there is no value in a losing bet
                                          You have clearly not understood valuebetting!
                                          Comment
                                          • Rod1010
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-01-10
                                            • 6208

                                            #22
                                            murray is 7-5 vs federer. ouch
                                            Comment
                                            • Mikail
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-19-09
                                              • 21689

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Rod1010
                                              murray is 7-5 vs federer. ouch
                                              I noticed this as well. In all actuality this matchup statistically is close to a Pickem but given Fed's recent play the line adjusts accordingly.
                                              Comment
                                              • rumple
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-19-07
                                                • 2499

                                                #24
                                                Fed's throwing this one like the French open a few years ago.
                                                Comment
                                                • Cheetahponti
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 12-09-09
                                                  • 377

                                                  #25
                                                  Last time they played Murray won but don't think Fed hasn't remembered that. It was the same against Djokovic there was a distinct - albeit more recent and pronounced - revenge factor for the loss at the US.

                                                  Unlike other players Fed often plays much better when rested and giving 100%, and Murray has been on the circuit consistently for the last few months. He also lost to Ljubicic this time last week.

                                                  I've decided to play Fed 4U to win 2U. I'm also putting 2U on a 2-0 win with 0.5 UNIT on a 2-1 win as a hedge.

                                                  Obviously if Murray wins I'm up shit creek
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ROYAJA8
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                    • 2069

                                                    #26
                                                    The bet is FED 2-0. Fed takes this easily
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MUHerd37
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-23-09
                                                      • 12816

                                                      #27
                                                      Federer got broken the very first game of the match
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Cheetahponti
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                        • 377

                                                        #28
                                                        Not a good start but Murray can't possibly play better than he is - Fed just needs to hold tight and hope the 1st serve % of Murray drops to get some break chances.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • biff
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-10-10
                                                          • 1806

                                                          #29
                                                          Tennis homers? never thought i would see that. These 2 Brit announcers have been on murrays nutsack in every damn match in this tourney. It really takes the fun out of it.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • colout
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-11-09
                                                            • 772

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by biff
                                                            Tennis homers? never thought i would see that. These 2 Brit announcers have been on murrays nutsack in every damn match in this tourney. It really takes the fun out of it.
                                                            Fed fan stop the whine... Murray just play some great defence!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cheetahponti
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 12-09-09
                                                              • 377

                                                              #31
                                                              RIP Fed 2-0, kudos to Murray he's playing like superman. Those last two winners of the first set were superstar quality.

                                                              Never rule out the Fed express though.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • biff
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-10-10
                                                                • 1806

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by colout
                                                                Fed fan stop the whine... Murray just play some great defence!
                                                                Uhhh... read my post. I have listened to these clowns ALL tourney. I'm not a fed fan nor do i give a damn about who wins.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Cheetahponti
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 12-09-09
                                                                  • 377

                                                                  #33
                                                                  You can't go 0-6 on break points and beat Murray. This one is all over
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • biff
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-10-10
                                                                    • 1806

                                                                    #34
                                                                    further example: they just called this a good match... yeah maybe for murray but i'm pretty sure the fans wanted to see a close game.

                                                                    done ranting. sorry Cheetahponti, don't mean to spam your topic.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shari91
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 02-23-10
                                                                      • 32661

                                                                      #35
                                                                      These announcers do suck. Almost as bad as Aussie ones calling a Hewitt match.

                                                                      Hate seeing Fed lose to Murray again. I really, really, really don't like Murray. Not sure why. He always looks like he's a mess out there - frizzy hair all over the place, socks pulled up to his chin. Sorry, just being a bitch.
                                                                      Comment
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