The Cheetahs Tennis Plays

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  • Cheetahponti
    Restricted User
    • 12-09-09
    • 377

    #1
    The Cheetahs Tennis Plays
    US Open time and we're all giving it a shot - so I'm starting my own tennis picks threads too dammit! Lines are from Pinnacle, though at the time my bet was placed not what they are now, and units played are given

    WED, 1 SEP

    3 units: Bondarenko, -125
    Line has WAAAY overadjusted for Oudin and odds are too good to pass up for Bondarenko. Bondarenko has not been spectacular on hard courts, but has been losing only to good or in form players. Oudin is neither right now, large play of the day on Bondarenko.

    2 units: Malisse, -142
    The line on Malisse is this low because Sela beat him just over a month ago. Malisse showed at the Legg Mason though he is in fine form, beating Berdych before losing to a hot Baghdatis in the semis.

    1 unit: Almagro -6, -102
    Starace truly sucks on hard courts and is a perennial first round flopper. Almagro hasn't yet translated clay success to hard courts but is 10-6 this year on the surface - that's enough for me to think this one becomes a rout.

    BOL everyone.
  • Cheetahponti
    Restricted User
    • 12-09-09
    • 377

    #2
    Little time to post but thanks to the fine members of this forum had been making a good winning week off the US Open - that is until I gave it all back yesterday on Gasquet and Sharapova.

    Today is a big day of betting and I like four plays:

    TUESDAYS PLAYS

    10 UNITS: Youzhny/Williams (parlay) @ -102
    Can't see either player losing in their current form and Venus in particular seems to be a woman ready to give her all to win this tournament

    5 UNITS: Venus Williams @ -208
    Yes this is very high juice, which is usually to be avoided but Schiavone is just not the same player on Hard courts as on Clay as her 10-6 results this year show. With the home crowd support Venus should be unbeatable here

    5 UNITS: Verdasco -2 @ -120
    Yes Nalbandian was tired last match but he has been a hot player, and Verdasco was aggressive and simply outplayed him. Look for that to continue against Ferrer who lost in the first and third round in his last two hard court tournaments and only has a 11-7 record this year

    2.5 UNITS: Querrey @ -120
    This is a home court bet on someone who I would otherwise bet against given Wawrinka's form and dismantling of Murray. I see a 5 set match here but with Querrey coming through in a tight one.

    I'm off to drink some Vodka in preparation for tonight - good luck everyone!
    Comment
    • Cheetahponti
      Restricted User
      • 12-09-09
      • 377

      #3
      Winner winner chicken dinner! Some nights you just feel you are going to win big and this was one of them, even if Verdasco really had to fight hard.

      +17UNITS on the night and could have been a sweep if Querrey had broken again late in the 4th to be serving first in the 5th - was the crucial point of the game IMO.

      Will be back with todays picks in 5-6 hours time.
      Comment
      • Cheetahponti
        Restricted User
        • 12-09-09
        • 377

        #4
        Not much I like today, I think all the favourites roll, with the closest game being the Monfils one. Federer is a man on fire this tournament and I can't see him losing to Soderling.

        TUESDAYS PLAYS

        2 UNITS: Djokovic/Federer/Zvonereva parlay @ +102
        I essentially see this as a +102 play on Djokovic which is the right odds to make a play.

        BOL today everyone!
        Comment
        • Cheetahponti
          Restricted User
          • 12-09-09
          • 377

          #5
          A much easier win on the parlay today than expected! Fed was on fire, hard to see anyone stopping him in this slam. I have a future on Nadal but I really can't see him beating Fed this time around.

          Most likely no plays for me today, I think Youzhny vs Wawrinka is a coin flip and may play the over but that will be all. Am definitely looking at a big play on Williams though and may even lock in odds soon as I expect them to drop.

          As always - BOL!
          Comment
          • Cheetahponti
            Restricted User
            • 12-09-09
            • 377

            #6
            Yes, I'm locking it in now, currently Williams is +175 at Pinnacle which I think is very good odds given how well Williams has been playing and that this is her home turf.

            FRIDAYS PLAYS

            3 UNITS: Williams @ +175
            Comment
            • Cheetahponti
              Restricted User
              • 12-09-09
              • 377

              #7
              Adding also:

              3 UNITS: Verdasco/Nadal over 33.5 @ -130
              Verdasco has a great chance to at least take one set, and if not can keep the sets tight to have a chance of winning in 3.
              Comment
              • actionaddict86
                SBR Sharp
                • 02-13-09
                • 464

                #8
                like this play. gl
                Comment
                • Fthenorm
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-20-07
                  • 712

                  #9
                  no money to be made on that lame verdasco match
                  Comment
                  • Cheetahponti
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-09-09
                    • 377

                    #10
                    Yes Verdasco had his chance in the 1st set then right royally got outplayed from then on in. I'm still liking the Williams play today, I just think Venus will feel this is one of her last chances to take home her home open and will give it her all.

                    I have a future on Zvonerava so will be cheering her on but leaving that match alone. The value is cleary with Zvon though at those odds - Woz should no way be a -360 favourite.

                    One other bet placed today, Federer to remain unbeatable in this tournament.

                    FUTURE PLAY
                    5 UNITS: Federer to win US Open @ +132
                    Comment
                    • Cheetahponti
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-09-09
                      • 377

                      #11
                      Disappointing end to the US Open with Federer being knocked out like he did - going from being up about 16.5 Units to down to around 7.5. Still will take that any day, and I successfully tailed quite a few other plays on the board - thanks Goat and Excellence in particular.

                      Have looked at today's challenger plays and like one in particular:

                      TUESDAY 14TH SEPTEMBER

                      1.5 UNITS: Lucic @ -108
                      With Lucic beating Molik and pushing Jankovic in the second round, and Cirstea with a 5-10 hardcourt record and being thrased in the US Open first round, I'm playing with the form player here.
                      Comment
                      • sportscash
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-16-09
                        • 2894

                        #12
                        Nice pick hope it hits
                        Comment
                        • Spanks
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 2040

                          #13
                          Comment
                          • ramink
                            Restricted User
                            • 07-13-10
                            • 254

                            #14
                            Bell Challenge - Quebec
                            Lepchenko +5 +100
                            Comment
                            • Cheetahponti
                              Restricted User
                              • 12-09-09
                              • 377

                              #15
                              Thanks Sportscash, Spanks.

                              And BOL with your play Ramink, Lepchenko kept Petrova to within the +5 game handicap so let's hope she does it again here.
                              Comment
                              • ramink
                                Restricted User
                                • 07-13-10
                                • 254

                                #16
                                5-7 3-6
                                draw for me

                                today China
                                Camerin +125
                                Comment
                                • Cheetahponti
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 12-09-09
                                  • 377

                                  #17
                                  0-6 6-1 6-1 win of Lucic, LOL, god I love the WTA sometimes. Good luck with the Camerin play ramink, I think both of them suck about as equally and feel it's a bit of a crapshoot.

                                  WEDNESDAY 15TH SEPTEMBER

                                  2 UNITS: Goerges @ -116
                                  If you look at the Goerges hardcourt record she has had Wickmayer and Wozniacki as her two bogey women this year - but hardly bad quality to be losing to. She took a set off Wozniacki at the Sony Ericsson Open, and has been in great form of late. Mattek-sands can play against anyone on her day and took Klijsters to 3 sets at the Rogers Cup, but I think Goerges is the better player here and takes it today.

                                  BOL all.
                                  Last edited by Cheetahponti; 09-15-10, 09:45 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • ramink
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 07-13-10
                                    • 254

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ramink
                                    5-7 3-6
                                    draw for me

                                    today China
                                    Camerin +125
                                    6-4 3-6 6-4
                                    hard win, but win
                                    Comment
                                    • Cheetahponti
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-09-09
                                      • 377

                                      #19
                                      Congrats Ramink, unfortunately Goerges didn't show up to play. No plays for me today, BOL all.
                                      Comment
                                      • ramink
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 07-13-10
                                        • 254

                                        #20
                                        Today Guangzhou China
                                        Han +4 -120
                                        Bye
                                        Comment
                                        • saske
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 08-26-10
                                          • 203

                                          #21
                                          Nice picks... Good luck!)
                                          Comment
                                          • coilinsud9
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 07-22-10
                                            • 215

                                            #22
                                            I'm on
                                            Safarova -4 +112
                                            Bell Challenge
                                            Comment
                                            • orlandito
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 06-29-10
                                              • 103

                                              #23
                                              good Goerges
                                              Comment
                                              • tytticarrol
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 07-20-10
                                                • 28

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by ramink
                                                Today Guangzhou China
                                                Han +4 -120
                                                Bye
                                                it seems you won
                                                han lost but 6-3 2-6 4-6
                                                good call
                                                Comment
                                                • Matu_est
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 05-07-10
                                                  • 48

                                                  #25
                                                  wta IS DUMM SPORT typical no mental womens whit 6-1 set then lose another of couse. Mirza you useless moron
                                                  Comment
                                                  • coilinsud9
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 07-22-10
                                                    • 215

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by coilinsud9
                                                    I'm on
                                                    Safarova -4 +112
                                                    Bell Challenge
                                                    tie 4-6 6-2 6-4
                                                    today again safa -3 +110
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ramink
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 07-13-10
                                                      • 254

                                                      #27
                                                      I too on safarova
                                                      even if she can be a little tired from yesterday
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ramink
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 07-13-10
                                                        • 254

                                                        #28
                                                        wow
                                                        2-6 1-6 lost
                                                        she was very tired!!!!!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Cheetahponti
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 12-09-09
                                                          • 377

                                                          #29
                                                          Three smallish plays today:

                                                          MONDAY 20 SEPTEMBER

                                                          0.5 UNIT: Kleybanova -5 @ -128
                                                          0.5 UNIT: Berrer -3 @ +103
                                                          1 UNIT: Istomin -3 @ -106


                                                          Adding one further play:

                                                          2 UNITS: Istomin/Robredo @ +108

                                                          BOL all!
                                                          Last edited by Cheetahponti; 09-19-10, 10:58 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Wilforth
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 05-10-08
                                                            • 16309

                                                            #30
                                                            They all look good. BOL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cheetahponti
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 12-09-09
                                                              • 377

                                                              #31
                                                              Thanks Wilforth. Early win on Kleybanova, hopefully a good omen for the day.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • eSTOXX
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-25-08
                                                                • 1866

                                                                #32
                                                                I think
                                                                0.5 UNIT: Berrer -3 @ +103
                                                                1 UNIT: Istomin -3 @ -106

                                                                In any case GL!!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ramink
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 07-13-10
                                                                  • 254

                                                                  #33
                                                                  No bet for me today
                                                                  see you tomorrow
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nathan.thomasson
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 09-10-10
                                                                    • 113

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Cheetahponti
                                                                    0.5 UNIT: Berrer -3 @ +103


                                                                    Let's hope the Istomin/Robredo one hits aswell.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dlw902
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 332

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by nathan.thomasson


                                                                      Let's hope the Istomin/Robredo one hits aswell.

                                                                      Is it over yet? Mine says the match is still being played.
                                                                      Comment
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