Livebetting fav that lost 1st set

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  • PetrGasparik
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-19-10
    • 278

    #1
    Livebetting fav that lost 1st set
    It occurs often: a favourit looses first set, but then wins 2nd and 3rd.

    I try to make some profit from that in live bet. I will post here when situation occurs and try to watch if there is some profit.
  • PetrGasparik
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-19-10
    • 278

    #2
    Bellucci - Seppi, close bet: 1.5 - 2.9

    1st set: 6-7,
    Belluci to win 2nd set: 1.75 - 2u
    Belluci to win: 2.95 - 1u
    Last edited by PetrGasparik; 07-23-10, 11:47 AM.
    Comment
    • noober
      SBR MVP
      • 10-23-09
      • 2012

      #3
      what book are u suing for the live bets?
      Comment
      • beefcake
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-26-09
        • 14029

        #4
        Dam you for living outside the US,you guys have so many options! If I had live betting my fiance would leave me.
        Comment
        • noober
          SBR MVP
          • 10-23-09
          • 2012

          #5
          Originally posted by beefcake
          Dam you for living outside the US,you guys have so many options! If I had live betting my fiance would leave me.
          haha

          i heard you could access euro bookies through vpn server though
          Comment
          • beefcake
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-26-09
            • 14029

            #6
            Really,please explain that...VPN Server??
            Comment
            • ha1ogen
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 06-16-10
              • 528

              #7
              or better yet move to canada
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #8
                Yeah free health care to boot!...So when I get a heart attack from live betting,I wont go bankrupt even more!
                Comment
                • noober
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-23-09
                  • 2012

                  #9


                  i have already shorten my life by at least 5 years but who cares
                  Comment
                  • PetrGasparik
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 05-19-10
                    • 278

                    #10
                    Goerges J. (Ger) - Pivovarova A. (Rus) close bet: 1.28 - 3.50

                    Game so far: 6-4 6-7
                    Goerges to win 3rd set: 1.60 - 1u
                    Last edited by PetrGasparik; 07-23-10, 11:47 AM.
                    Comment
                    • PetrGasparik
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-19-10
                      • 278

                      #11
                      noober: still the same bwin. but I made first step to move to Bet365
                      Comment
                      • PetrGasparik
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 05-19-10
                        • 278

                        #12
                        Oh it was close, but Seppi had more luck

                        Profit so far: 1.5u - 1u = +0.5u
                        Comment
                        • noober
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-23-09
                          • 2012

                          #13
                          yeah, it was close.

                          good luck with your system
                          Comment
                          • SRBI
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-20-09
                            • 8393

                            #14
                            Just happened to Anna Chakvetadze - she bout to got smoked 6-0 in the 1st set. Was a -145 fav last time I checked.

                            EDIT: Oh wow nvm, she finally decided to win a game. 5-1 now...she's still gonna lose the set undoubtedly.
                            Last edited by SRBI; 07-23-10, 09:37 AM.
                            Comment
                            • SRBI
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-20-09
                              • 8393

                              #15
                              Originally posted by noober
                              haha

                              i heard you could access euro bookies through vpn server though
                              How you gonna get paid though when the bookies find out the mailing address for check is located in the USA?

                              Even if you wire they know where the bank is located.
                              Comment
                              • PetrGasparik
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 05-19-10
                                • 278

                                #16
                                Dushevina V. (Rus) - Chakvetadze A. (Rus) closed at 2.32 - 1.80

                                Game so far: 6-2
                                Chakvetadze to win 2nd set: 2.1, 2u
                                Chakvetadze to win : 3.75, 1u¨
                                @bet365
                                Last edited by PetrGasparik; 07-23-10, 09:50 AM.
                                Comment
                                • PetrGasparik
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 05-19-10
                                  • 278

                                  #17
                                  Goerges won
                                  Profit so far: +0.5 +1.2u = +1.7u
                                  Comment
                                  • PetrGasparik
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 05-19-10
                                    • 278

                                    #18
                                    Pavlyuchenk. A.(Rus) - Larsson J. (Swe) closed at 1.23 - 5.1

                                    Game so far: 3-6
                                    Pavlyuchenko to win 2nd set: 1.55, 2u
                                    Pavlyuchenko to win: 2.5, 1u
                                    @bwin
                                    Comment
                                    • Delgado
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 06-19-09
                                      • 224

                                      #19
                                      What i like to do is bet on a minor underdog before the match (odds maybe 1.8-2.2). If the person i bet on wins the first set i place a bet on the other guy/girl. At this point the odds are usually like +2.8. Every now and then the guy who loses the first set wins the match. I don't do this alot but sometimes it works. Takes the risk factor out of the equation.

                                      Example: Yesterday i bet on Julian Reister to win the match against Denis Istomin (odds 2.00) (tennisbabes pick). Reister wins the first set and Istomin has 2.95 odds to win the match. At this point i bet on Istomin and after a tight match i rake in one unit.
                                      Comment
                                      • PetrGasparik
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 05-19-10
                                        • 278

                                        #20
                                        Sevastova A. (Lat) - Meusburger Y. (Aut) closed at 1.44 - 3.3

                                        Game so far: 5-7
                                        Sevastova to win 2nd set: 1.65, 2u
                                        Sevastova to win: 2.55, 1u
                                        @bet365
                                        Comment
                                        • PetrGasparik
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 05-19-10
                                          • 278

                                          #21
                                          Pavlyuchenova lost, Chakvetadze won 2nd set
                                          Old profit: +1.7u
                                          Change: - 3u + 2.2u


                                          Profit 07/23: +0.9u
                                          Last edited by PetrGasparik; 07-23-10, 11:03 AM.
                                          Comment
                                          • ha1ogen
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 06-16-10
                                            • 528

                                            #22
                                            i dont think it will work that well in wta
                                            Comment
                                            • PetrGasparik
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 05-19-10
                                              • 278

                                              #23
                                              yeah i am shifting my mind the same way
                                              Comment
                                              • PetrGasparik
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 05-19-10
                                                • 278

                                                #24
                                                do you know a site where to take closing bets on challenger plays? for atp/wta I am usinf livescore.in.
                                                I tries to find it on tennis-data.co.uk but in vein
                                                Comment
                                                • PetrGasparik
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 05-19-10
                                                  • 278

                                                  #25
                                                  Chakvetadze won
                                                  Old profit: +1.7u
                                                  Change: + 2.75u

                                                  Profit 07/23: +4.45u
                                                  Last edited by PetrGasparik; 07-23-10, 11:28 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PetrGasparik
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 05-19-10
                                                    • 278

                                                    #26
                                                    Sevastova lost 2nd set
                                                    Old profit: +4.45u
                                                    Change: -3u

                                                    Profit 07/23: +1.45u
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SRBI
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 10-20-09
                                                      • 8393

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by SRBI
                                                      Just happened to Anna Chakvetadze - she bout to got smoked 6-0 in the 1st set. Was a -145 fav last time I checked.

                                                      EDIT: Oh wow nvm, she finally decided to win a game. 5-1 now...she's still gonna lose the set undoubtedly.
                                                      This one worked out well huh? Nice come-back by Anna
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MUHerd37
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-23-09
                                                        • 12816

                                                        #28
                                                        You can't bet with those books even through a vpn. You still have to give them an address of where to send the check.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Kraghen
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-08-10
                                                          • 2509

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                          You can't bet with those books even through a vpn. You still have to give them an address of where to send the check.
                                                          That's right, I live in Europe, and I have to valid my address to be able to use the bookmaker, once I receive my validation code, I can withdraw money.

                                                          I prefer American Bookmakers thought, the odds are higher, especially for American sports.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MUHerd37
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-23-09
                                                            • 12816

                                                            #30
                                                            Yeah I tried to make an account at bet365 just for the live streaming. didn't want to bet, just wanted the streaming. They need an address when you make your account so Americans can't even do that. This is one of the dumbest laws we have.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • OozingFunk
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 03-14-10
                                                              • 28

                                                              #31
                                                              that's too bad MUHerd, I did the same for bet365. They have so many games that they stream but I'm in Canada so I can do it.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • fixxer
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-13-05
                                                                • 1877

                                                                #32
                                                                bet365 is one of the worst bookies for tennis live betting....if you place a bet, and an odds decreases while the accepting of the bet is pending - it accepts your bet with the decreased odds. If it increases , it rejects your bet - or accepts it with the lower odds
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PetrGasparik
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 05-19-10
                                                                  • 278

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Just for record, I won twice with this rule -
                                                                  Baczinszka 2.4 to win 2nd set (2u bet), 2.1 to win a match (1u bet) = +3.9
                                                                  Chakvetadze 2.7 to win 2nd set (2u bet), 2.3 to win a match (1u bet) = +4.7

                                                                  also, it happened in Roddick/Malisse match, but I was sleeping

                                                                  I am not counting this to total profit
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tsonga
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-12-09
                                                                    • 2349

                                                                    #34
                                                                    its not a bad system to try - you could get some good value doing it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BettingHedgehog
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 07-12-10
                                                                      • 667

                                                                      #35
                                                                      hi Petr
                                                                      this is a good system that you offer
                                                                      you can use Betfair with the price fluctuations
                                                                      it would be enough for you to make profit if the fav breaks beginning the second set
                                                                      Comment
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