ATP Seeded Underdogs vs Unseeded System...

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #1
    ATP Seeded Underdogs vs Unseeded System...
    30-34 +5.48 Units..YTD

    Other thread was getting long in the tooth.Just so you know Im tracking this on a hypothetical 1 unit risk on every play.Rules are simple..

    Play on all ATP seeded players in tourneys that are +100 or higher vs favored Unseeded players.I usually take the stated price from Pinnacle or 5 dimes,whichever is higher.Over the course of the year Im sure that will add up due to they have the best prices by far.

    One play for Monday..

    Florent Serra.. +155 ...#8 seed vs Potio Strace who is unseeded.

    NOTE:Im not taking nor have taken any consideration to playing surface,H2H,injuries,the whole season.Im just blindly taking the seeded dogs vs unseeded to see how it would do.

    Questions,comments,suggestions...welcome d..
  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #2
    You can do better by not doing them "blindly".
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-11-10, 11:31 PM. Reason: Typo
    Comment
    • samgurt
      SBR MVP
      • 05-31-10
      • 2980

      #3
      well it's kinda workin so far...hopefully it pays off in the long run
      Comment
      • birdmanweezy
        SBR MVP
        • 04-18-10
        • 4635

        #4
        good luck like serra tomorrow
        Comment
        • beefcake
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-26-09
          • 14029

          #5
          Serra sure sucked today..

          30-35 +4.48 units.
          Comment
          • PetrGasparik
            SBR Sharp
            • 05-19-10
            • 278

            #6
            yeah. no resistence
            Comment
            • beefcake
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-26-09
              • 14029

              #7
              Well I missed 2 today..and they both lost..

              Simon +110
              Dogopolov +165

              YTD 30-37 +2.48 Units..
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #8
                1 for tomorrow..

                Berrer..+260
                Comment
                • acestreet
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-08-09
                  • 139

                  #9
                  sounds good hope you cash it
                  Comment
                  • beefcake
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 14029

                    #10
                    30-38 +1.48..The cushion has vanished!
                    Comment
                    • beefcake
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 14029

                      #11
                      Missed the boat on Zeballos today +120 vs de german..He lost so

                      30-39 +0.48

                      4 Pack for tommorrow...never seen 4 in one day..Wouldnt it be a sweet payout if all 4 hit?

                      Hanescu..+140
                      Mathieu..+140
                      Petzschner..+155
                      Stakhovsky +245
                      Comment
                      • beefcake
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-26-09
                        • 14029

                        #12
                        And the roof Caved in today...

                        30-43 -3.52 units..Well at least we might be due now
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          You should add in a weasel filter. That would have eliminated the first two plays.
                          Comment
                          • beefcake
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 14029

                            #14
                            Dogopolov.. +243..Pulled hamstring or not...cant argue with the price...
                            Comment
                            • beefcake
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-26-09
                              • 14029

                              #15
                              bout time...

                              31-43..-1.09
                              Comment
                              • beefcake
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-26-09
                                • 14029

                                #16
                                Dam I have to go against James Blake? Oh crap...

                                LOPEZ +112..
                                Comment
                                • beefcake
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-26-09
                                  • 14029

                                  #17
                                  Oops..Forgot Ivan Ljubicic +123..tough back to back vs starace but a system is a system..
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #18
                                    Weasel filter.


                                    Lopez-Blake should be interesting.
                                    Comment
                                    • beefcake
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-26-09
                                      • 14029

                                      #19
                                      32-44 -0.97 units..
                                      Comment
                                      • beefcake
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-26-09
                                        • 14029

                                        #20
                                        Time to grab....................Benneteau +131..
                                        Comment
                                        • JNic
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-03-10
                                          • 4272

                                          #21
                                          looks like you got stan the man wawrinka coming up next
                                          Comment
                                          • Goat Milk
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-24-10
                                            • 25850

                                            #22
                                            you are taking Wawrinka?
                                            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                            Comment
                                            • JNic
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-03-10
                                              • 4272

                                              #23
                                              haha nobody should play him but he's gotta for his system
                                              Comment
                                              • beefcake
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-26-09
                                                • 14029

                                                #24
                                                Yep its Stan the man tomorrow,hopefully Fat Dave turns into Fat Dave. I will wait to get a better line.One thing Ive noticed is that in tourneys where the seeded dog has had a bye they DONT do very well.In the ATP 250's the do alot better,where they play each other right off the bat.Dont have any concrete numbers on that,but I think it is so.
                                                Comment
                                                • beefcake
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                  • 14029

                                                  #25
                                                  Well I was out all day and wasnt around for all the Michael llodra/Sweeting fiasco..

                                                  So loser on Llodra +220

                                                  YTD 32-46 -2.97 units..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • beefcake
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 14029

                                                    #26
                                                    Wawrinka...+115
                                                    Comment
                                                    • beefcake
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                      • 14029

                                                      #27
                                                      Streaks like this make me glad im not betting these..

                                                      32-47 -3.97
                                                      Comment
                                                      • beefcake
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-26-09
                                                        • 14029

                                                        #28
                                                        Giles Simon...+250
                                                        Comment
                                                        • beefcake
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-26-09
                                                          • 14029

                                                          #29
                                                          32-48 -4.97

                                                          Cilic +115..Fat Dave can Suck it...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • beefcake
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-26-09
                                                            • 14029

                                                            #30
                                                            32-49 -5.97

                                                            Nalbandian is killing the record..

                                                            baggy +270
                                                            Comment
                                                            • beefcake
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-26-09
                                                              • 14029

                                                              #31
                                                              Had ferrer today at +130..He lost of course..

                                                              32-51 -6.97
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JW Cash
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-31-08
                                                                • 4453

                                                                #32
                                                                ,,,you seem to be picking all these underdogs that simply have no chance...

                                                                They are an underdog for a reason.....
                                                                Last edited by JW Cash; 08-10-10, 10:39 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Spanks
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                                  • 2040

                                                                  #33
                                                                  listen to good ol JW the wannabe tout...he knows all...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Goat Milk
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                                    • 25850

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by JW Cash
                                                                    ,,,you seem to be picking all these underdogs that simply have no chance...

                                                                    There are an underdog for a reason.....
                                                                    1st off its a system Beefcake is using. He isn't playing these for real money. He is doing research and gathering data.

                                                                    Secondly, you don't post tennis plays consistently. You posted about 10 plays in your life. Don't criticize other picks if you don't post any of your own.
                                                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JW Cash
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-31-08
                                                                      • 4453

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Good Luck BeefCake....


                                                                      Hope you are getting results that can be interpreted postively for future winnings...
                                                                      Comment
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