Pound debakker

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  • pat venditto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-07-07
    • 14347

    #1
    Pound debakker
    Line is way to low isner will be up against it today.

    Guy played 3 days in a row and is playing a solid quick player will win make him run a lot.

    I give isner a 35% chance to win so my line would be closer to -185ish

    Line is too low boys someone pounded isner this morning for some dumb fuking reason.

    16 units on debakker -140.
  • szk1983
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-08-06
    • 642

    #2
    Interesting. Good Thought.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Best of Luck Patty
      Comment
      • Chi_archie
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-22-08
        • 63167

        #4
        De Bakker is a nobody and actually had a pretty long match himself the other day....
        Comment
        • michalis
          Restricted User
          • 01-02-10
          • 1439

          #5
          dunno, he played only 1.5 hours yesterday so it wasnt that bad, plus he hasnt played a lot of tennis the last couple of weeks so in general he was well rested coming into this tournament so it may not have a big effect on him

          not to mention that de bakker looked horrible on grass last week agains sijling

          I think its a trap, so Im staying away
          Comment
          • Chi_archie
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-22-08
            • 63167

            #6
            normally this line would have been the other way around with Isner the favorite, so there isn't some "way off" line here....

            if anything people are getting value in Isner as a dog
            Comment
            • pat venditto
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-07-07
              • 14347

              #7
              Archie debakker had a long match but had time to rest. Isner match ended less than 24 hours before this match will start. Debakker will know his legs will not be there and will make this a grinding long match for isner.

              I don't see how isner can win unless he wins all 3 sets in tie breaks. You guys are underestimating how much a match like that takes out of a mans endurance. Debakker will know this and exploit.
              Comment
              • shari91
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-23-10
                • 32661

                #8
                De Bakker doesn't have the skills to exploit this. Isner was training in friggin Tampa to prepare for Wimbledon in 100 degree heat with 100% humidity.

                If you're going to bet De Bakker, go for it. But please don't bet big solely based on the assumption that Isner is too tired for this match. He isn't a great player but he's better than De Bakker and his serve alone is enough to win this one. You also have to figure in adrenalin, the fact that the crowd will be behind him and his own motivation to prove he's not a one-hit wonder. There is NO value in De Bakker at all. Archie's right - the value lays entirely with Isner in this one.

                Best of luck though!!
                Comment
                • Chi_archie
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-22-08
                  • 63167

                  #9
                  like I said, its an angle that every square in the world will be playing....


                  and its factored into the line... Isner at +135 is the opposite of what it normally would be.... a good example is yesterdays line of Belluci at -139 yesterday, he is ranked in the 20's as well.....


                  hey, its a fun angle, but nothing the bookmakers weren't all over


                  maybe just maybe there is value in the better player, that was hard nosed and wanted to win enough, that he never gave up over that entire marathon....

                  besides, these guys practice like 10 hrs a day, they are in great shape
                  Comment
                  • pat venditto
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-07-07
                    • 14347

                    #10
                    I respectfully disagree.
                    Comment
                    • Chi_archie
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-22-08
                      • 63167

                      #11
                      good luck pal, hopefully Isner cramps up for ya, but not too much that he retires
                      Comment
                      • Stacocakes
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-10-08
                        • 7126

                        #12
                        Great call Venditto
                        Comment
                        • birdmanweezy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-18-10
                          • 4635

                          #13
                          venditto how can you guys hate on someone that won the tennis contest last week
                          Comment
                          • pat venditto
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 05-07-07
                            • 14347

                            #14
                            Comment
                            • necro
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-07-09
                              • 1633

                              #15
                              Wonderful call!
                              Comment
                              • ronjon619
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-06-09
                                • 3675

                                #16
                                great hit here
                                Comment
                                • Yezzir
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-29-10
                                  • 933

                                  #17
                                  I was surprised to see so many people against this bet, this one was a lock for me and I went big on it.
                                  Comment
                                  • Boner_18
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-24-08
                                    • 8301

                                    #18
                                    Vendito takes down a big score.
                                    Comment
                                    • Stacocakes
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-10-08
                                      • 7126

                                      #19
                                      How did Patty know?
                                      Comment
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