Inviting all to discuss Wimbledon first round matches

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  • Netprofit
    SBR MVP
    • 03-25-08
    • 3538

    #1
    Inviting all to discuss Wimbledon first round matches
    Lines have not come out in most of the books but they will be out in a few hours time. I would like to do this exercise of predicting the lines before they come out. I would like to invite serious tennis handicappers to comment so that we can all digest these together.

    I like to start with a few women matches ...

    Zheng - Parmentier
    forecast Zheng to be 1.35 - 1.45

    Vesnina - Zahlavova
    forecast Vesnina to be 1.75 - 1.85

    Wickmayer - Riske
    forecast Wickmayer to be 1.40 - 1.50

    Petkovic - Chakvetadze
    forecast Petkovic to be 1.40 - 1.50

    Li - Scheepers
    forecast Li to be 1.20 - 1.25

    Kuznetsova - Errani
    forecast Kuznetsova to be 1.15 - 1.20

    Pavlyuchenkova - Benesova
    forecast Pavlyuchenkova to be 1.35 - 1.45

    Azarenka - Lucic
    forecast Azarenka to be 1.10 - 1.15

    Rezai - Rybarikova
    forecast Rezai to be 1.55 - 1.65

    Henin - Sevastova
    forecast Henin to be 1.10 - 1.15

    Jankovic - Robson
    forecast Jankovic to be 1.10 - 1.15

    Kulikova - South
    forecast Kulikova to be 1.25 - 1.30

    Shvedova - Hercog
    forecast Shvedova to be 1.60 - 1.70
  • Netprofit
    SBR MVP
    • 03-25-08
    • 3538

    #2
    Some early considerations on the above:

    1. To use in parlays: Li; Kulikova;
    2. Dogs: Riske; Hercog;
    3. Play against big favourites and use BetFair to trade out: Sevastova vs. Henin;
    4. Trading on Betfair with expected back and forth swings in the match: Rezai vs. Rybarikova;
    Comment
    • noober
      SBR MVP
      • 10-23-09
      • 2012

      #3
      Lines are out in bet365.
      Comment
      • Netprofit
        SBR MVP
        • 03-25-08
        • 3538

        #4
        The more interesting matchups in the men's first round:

        Istomin vs. Wawrinka
        forecast Wawrinka to be 1.45 to 1.55

        Ferrero vs. Malisse
        forecast Malisse to be 1.80 to 1.90

        Querrey vs. Stakhovsky
        forecast 1.90 - 1.90 pick them

        Blake vs. Hasse
        forecast 1.90 - 1.90 pick them
        Comment
        • Netprofit
          SBR MVP
          • 03-25-08
          • 3538

          #5
          Women winner at very good value:

          Azarenka @ 40
          $1,000 to win $39,000

          Azarenka is at the #3 Caroline Wozniacki quarter of the draw, where #6 Samantha Stosur might be the actual favourite. Azarenka has the power game to beat both to go into the semi-final. at that point I expect the odds will be reduced to around 10, At that point I intend to take a small profit and watch the semi-final with still $20,000+ riding on her.
          Comment
          • TomaCro
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-22-10
            • 255

            #6
            I think Davydenko is a nice outsider on the mens draw,
            Comment
            • Boner_18
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-24-08
              • 8301

              #7
              Psyched for Wimbledon. My fave grand slam. Gotta do some homework on these lines. Gl all.
              Comment
              • Netprofit
                SBR MVP
                • 03-25-08
                • 3538

                #8
                Play #1 - Lu 1.91 vs. Zeballos
                $1,000 to win $910
                Comment
                • Netprofit
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-25-08
                  • 3538

                  #9
                  Originally posted by TomaCro
                  I think Davydenko is a nice outsider on the mens draw,
                  What makes you like Davydenko, I am thinking of laying Davydenko in the first round against Andersen.
                  Comment
                  • Netprofit
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-25-08
                    • 3538

                    #10
                    Potential 5-setters, good trading opportunities and / or OVER plays:

                    monfils - Mayer
                    fish - tomic
                    tursunov - schuettler
                    illhan - daniel
                    Comment
                    • Netprofit
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-25-08
                      • 3538

                      #11
                      Play #2 - Riske 2.27 vs. Wickmayer
                      $440 to win $1,000
                      Comment
                      • bringdownthehous
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-14-10
                        • 622

                        #12
                        netprofit..did you lock in your two plays or your still waiting? dont know too much bout tennis but looking to tail some good cappers on this forum for wimbledon
                        Comment
                        • Netprofit
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-25-08
                          • 3538

                          #13
                          Originally posted by bringdownthehous
                          netprofit..did you lock in your two plays or your still waiting? dont know too much bout tennis but looking to tail some good cappers on this forum for wimbledon
                          locked in when i post plays in bold ...
                          Comment
                          • Augustus
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-05-06
                            • 2787

                            #14
                            4472 M. Kirilenko -212
                            4478 P. Schnyder -207
                            Comment
                            • Netprofit
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-25-08
                              • 3538

                              #15
                              Small plays:

                              Clijsters -7.5
                              $30 to win $30

                              Ljubicic NOT 3-0
                              $37 to win $30
                              Last edited by Netprofit; 06-20-10, 11:52 PM.
                              Comment
                              • Robber
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-21-09
                                • 6432

                                #16
                                gulbis pulling out last minute made me redo the whole thing dammit
                                Comment
                                • Netprofit
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-25-08
                                  • 3538

                                  #17
                                  Play #3 (parlay):

                                  Bozoljac -360
                                  Feliciano Lopez -350
                                  Melzer -485
                                  $1,000 to win $982
                                  Comment
                                  • Netprofit
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-25-08
                                    • 3538

                                    #18
                                    Day 1: 2-1 +$1,452
                                    Comment
                                    • Netprofit
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-25-08
                                      • 3538

                                      #19
                                      play #4 (parlay):

                                      Simon -500
                                      Penneta -350
                                      Zheng -800
                                      $1,000 to win $736
                                      Comment
                                      • Netprofit
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-25-08
                                        • 3538

                                        #20
                                        play #5:
                                        Kendrick +6.5 1.71
                                        $1,000 to win $710
                                        Comment
                                        • Netprofit
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-25-08
                                          • 3538

                                          #21
                                          play #6:
                                          Kendrick 8.14
                                          $280 to win $2,000
                                          Comment
                                          • Netprofit
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-25-08
                                            • 3538

                                            #22
                                            play #7:
                                            Kanepi 3.22
                                            $900 to win $2,000
                                            Comment
                                            • Netprofit
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-25-08
                                              • 3538

                                              #23
                                              Day 1: 2-1 +$1,452
                                              Day 2: 3-1 +$3,166 so far
                                              Last edited by Netprofit; 06-22-10, 09:52 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • Netprofit
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-25-08
                                                • 3538

                                                #24
                                                play #8 (parlay):

                                                Lu 1.69
                                                Monfils 1.28
                                                $1,000 to win $1,163
                                                Comment
                                                • Netprofit
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-25-08
                                                  • 3538

                                                  #25
                                                  play #9:
                                                  Kulikova 2.05
                                                  $1,000 to win $1,050
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ha1ogen
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 06-16-10
                                                    • 528

                                                    #26
                                                    Nice bets

                                                    Wow, how do you keep getting all these ladies right? Looks like Kulikova's gonna win
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Netprofit
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-25-08
                                                      • 3538

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ha1ogen
                                                      Wow, how do you keep getting all these ladies right? Looks like Kulikova's gonna win
                                                      i hang around in their locker room
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ha1ogen
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 06-16-10
                                                        • 528

                                                        #28
                                                        dam man, another big day for you, i think i really need to start tailing you
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Netprofit
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-25-08
                                                          • 3538

                                                          #29
                                                          Day 1: 2-1 +$1,452
                                                          Day 2: 3-1 +$3,166

                                                          Day 3: 2-0 +$2,213
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Netprofit
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-25-08
                                                            • 3538

                                                            #30
                                                            play #10:
                                                            Fischer 2.35
                                                            $1,000 to win $1,350
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Netprofit
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-25-08
                                                              • 3538

                                                              #31
                                                              play #11 (parlay):

                                                              Cibulkova 1.31
                                                              Dulgheru 1.24
                                                              Pennatta 1.17
                                                              $1,000 to win $910
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Netprofit
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-25-08
                                                                • 3538

                                                                #32
                                                                play #12:
                                                                Gallovits 6.88
                                                                $300 to win $1,764
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Netprofit
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-25-08
                                                                  • 3538

                                                                  #33
                                                                  play #12 (parlay):

                                                                  Tsonga 1.26
                                                                  Radwanska 1.09
                                                                  Soderling 1.07
                                                                  Li 1.08
                                                                  S. Williams 1.05
                                                                  $1,000 to win $700
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Netprofit
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-25-08
                                                                    • 3538

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Day 1: 2-1 +$1,452
                                                                    Day 2: 3-1 +$3,166
                                                                    Day 3: 2-0 +$2,213

                                                                    Day 4: 2-2 +$310

                                                                    Total: 9-4 +$7,141
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Netprofit
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-25-08
                                                                      • 3538

                                                                      #35
                                                                      play #14:
                                                                      Isner 2.25
                                                                      $1,000 to win $1,250

                                                                      play #15 (live betting)
                                                                      Arn (lay Bartoli at 1.16 risking $800 to win $5,000)
                                                                      Target to back Bartoli at 2.00 for $2,900 for profit of $2,100
                                                                      Comment
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