isnt the line on fed thurs awfully low?

**JNic** · 05-12-10, 09:19 PM

wawrinka is good on clay, he beat fed in their only clay h2h matchup. Plus federer has been exhibiting awful form in preparation for French open, he lost to Gulbis and then lost to Montanes. So the line def isn't awfull low, his form looks awful and its very risky to bet on him because you dont know which Federer will show up

**RobbReport** · 05-12-10, 11:46 PM

i'll bite.

**Fthenorm** · 05-13-10, 12:00 AM

Fed is finally worth a wager! After he wins this match, his prices will probably be overvalued again and worth fading.

**thirtytwo** · 05-13-10, 01:04 AM

Considering the books must be sick of paying out +500 winners to everyone who has been fading Fed during his recent strech of obvious disinterest for tennis, this line looks fair to me. Still some respect to his ranking, but at the same not enough plus money as you usually like when expecting an upset of Federer.
Wawrinka was about +200...+220 in his recent upset of Soderling in Rome... Now you get the same price against Federer? Kinda feels like you deserve a better payout if your player beats Federer rather than Soderling...
This line tells me its time to get off Federer fade bandwagon and instead look for opportunities to back him like Fthenorm said...

**yisman** · 05-13-10, 01:26 AM

yeah, when I was looking at lines earlier, that was my reaction as well.

Must be a reaction to Federer's recent losses. He'd normally be -350 at least here.

**Bigpete2010** · 05-13-10, 01:28 AM

take federer

**necro** · 05-13-10, 03:05 AM

good bet

**LT Profits** · 05-13-10, 06:25 AM

Stay away! If line was a smidgeon higher, I'd consider Wawrinka. Also notice that the odds have actually DROPPED.

Fed is already looking ahead to Roland Garros.

**michalis** · 05-13-10, 07:26 AM

fed needs to start showing some form on clay, I am sure he will put a bigger effort here than last week, you can tell from the interview after the montanes defeat he was embarassed

I think he shows up today and I think he takes it, only because wawrinka isnt the most consitent player on the atp

**Ace_of_Spades** · 05-13-10, 07:31 AM

Seems like these odds are too high for Fed, something fishy.

**jjgold** · 05-13-10, 07:35 AM

Fed is basically done now

A good top 10 player and maybe one more lucky run to a grand slam final somewhere

great fade material

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-13-10, 08:25 AM

One lucky run? Funny how everyone forgets how he demolished everyone in the Australian Open. Many people have said it and I will echo it. At this stage in his career, Federer is a family man and will now be more in line with a Serena Williams approach ... show up for Grand Slams and the rest of the tournaments, who knows if he shows up hungry or not and he probably will not be playing as heavy a schedule.

As for this match, too much line movement for my liking. Federer got pounded last night and then Wawrinka got pounded overnight. I like the total for this one and I think Federer will win this one, but it's going to be a battle.

**TennisBabe** · 05-13-10, 08:56 AM

Federer wins

**yisman** · 05-13-10, 10:56 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Fed is basically done now

A good top 10 player and maybe one more lucky run to a grand slam final somewhere

great fade material

jj fail.

**BatemanPatrickl** · 05-13-10, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by yisman

jj fail.

yisman + best bet thread = fail

**Jrod124** · 05-13-10, 01:03 PM

digging wawarinka, but not playing it