Conqueror's tennis picks - 2020

[beefcake]

Wtf happened to Mladenovic today..up 5-1 and a set and then lose 12/13 games..fuggin. Wta

[Conqueror]

Wtf happened to Mladenovic today..up 5-1 and a set and then lose 12/13 games..fuggin. Wta

WTA virus. Wondering what Gracheva ML was at that point.

[Conqueror]

ytd
2020: 26-24 +8.66
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/2

ATP
Garin ML (-120) L

0-1 -1.20

ytd
2020: 26-25 +7.46
2019: 61-90 -31.17

[Conqueror]

ytd
2020: 26-25 +7.46
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/3

WTA
Vickery ML (+387)
Vickery +5 games (+124)

[Conqueror]

ytd
2020: 26-25 +7.46
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/3

WTA
Vickery ML (+387)
Vickery +5 games (+124)

Above are still pending - thanks to the weather.

Adding:

9/4
WTA
Martic -1.5 sets (-133)***

[chargers4222]

Conq is three asterisks a three unit play?

[Conqueror]

Conq is three asterisks a three unit play?

No. It's actually a 2-unit play for me even though I grade my plays on a 1-unit basis. It would have been a 3-unit play in normal times but one has to be cautious these days.

Reasons for my confidence level on the play:
1) Fading an underdog off a fluke win when the H2H record is in favor of the favorite cashes at about 90% of the time.
2) Nine of Gracheva's and seven of Martic's last 10 games, respectively, have been decided in two sets, which makes it highly probable today's match will be decided in two sets.
3) In their first meeting, Gracheva put up a good fight in the first set before losing the tie-breaker. Martic eventually won the game by a 7-6, 6-3 score. In this second meeting, Gracheva will have no hiding place as her game is now well-known to Martic. So we should expect another straight-sets win for our dear friend.

[Conqueror]

ytd
2020: 26-25 +7.46
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/3

wta
vickery ml (+387) l
vickery +5 games (+124) w

above are still pending - thanks to the weather.

Adding:

9/4
wta
martic -1.5 sets (-133)*** w

2-1 +1.24

ytd
2020: 28-26 +8.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

[Conqueror]

ytd
2020: 28-26 +8.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/5

WTA
Anisimova/Sakkari OVER 21.5 (-107)

[Conqueror]

ytd
2020: 28-26 +8.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/5

WTA
Anisimova/Sakkari OVER 21.5 (-107) L

0-1 -1.07

ytd
2020: 28-27 +7.53
2019: 61-90 -31.17

[Conqueror]

YTD:
2020: 28-27 +7.53
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/7

ATP
Rublev ML (-102)

WTA
Cornet ML (-125)

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 28-27 +7.53
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/7

atp
rublev ml (-102) w

wta
cornet ml (-125) l

1-1 -0.25

ytd:
2020: 29-28 +7.28
2019: 61-90 -31.17

[Conqueror]

YTD:
2020: 29-28 +7.28
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/13

US OPEN

Zverev ML (1st set) (+217) (Bookmaker)

Zverev knows he can't afford to fall behind if he's to have any chance of beating Thiem. I see a scenario where Thiem will be the more cautious player in the 1st set while the underdog will be more aggressive - culminating in a 1st set-win by the underdog. Look no further than their last match to see what I'm saying.

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 29-28 +7.28
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/13

us open

zverev ml (1st set) (+217) w (bookmaker)

zverev knows he can't afford to fall behind if he's to have any chance of beating thiem. I see a scenario where thiem will be the more cautious player in the 1st set while the underdog will be more aggressive - culminating in a 1st set-win by the underdog. Look no further than their last match to see what i'm saying.

1-0 +2.17

ytd:
2020: 30-28 +9.45
2019: 61-90 -31.17

[Conqueror]

YTD:
2020: 30-28 +9.45
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/15

ATP Rome
Caruso ML (+115) (Heritagesports)

[Gaze73]

Did you improve your methods since 2019 or just running hot?

I was also on Zverev, joke price on Thiem although he won in the end. Funny thing is I was against Zverev in the previous round where he lost the first 2 sets hard then turned it around.

[Conqueror]

Did you improve your methods since 2019 or just running hot?

I was also on Zverev, joke price on Thiem although he won in the end. Funny thing is I was against Zverev in the previous round where he lost the first 2 sets hard then turned it around.

Gaze, I'm sorry for the late response.
Yes, I tweaked a few things plus I've lowered my play volume.

Zverev had the match on his serve. A pity he didn't make it.

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 30-28 +9.45
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/15

atp rome
caruso ml (+115) (heritagesports) w

1-0 +1.15

ytd:
2020: 31-28 +10.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 31-28 +10.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/17

WTA, Rome

Rus ML (+100) (Heritagesports)

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 31-28 +10.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/17

WTA, Rome

Rus ML (+100) (Heritagesports) L

0-1 -1.00

ytd:
2020: 31-29 +9.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 31-29 +9.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/20

ATP, Rome
Shapovalov ML (+121)
Shapovalov -1.5 sets (+280)

WTA, Rome
Muguruza +3.5 games (-101)

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 31-29 +9.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/20

ATP, Rome
Shapovalov ML (+121) L
Shapovalov -1.5 sets (+280) L

WTA, Rome
Muguruza +3.5 games (-101) W

1-2 -1.00

ytd:
2020: 32-21 +8.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

[Goodtimemafiaz]

Ez money wta svitolina vs linnete
Svitolina ml

[Jeff_Black]

I thought Shapovalov would get it done too but Diego doesn't give an inch.

[Conqueror]

I thought Shapovalov would get it done too but Diego doesn't give an inch.

That's tennis.

[Conqueror]

YTD:
2020: 32-21 +8.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/27

ATP
Ruusuvuori -5 games (-110)

WTA
Kalinskaya ML (+211)

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 32-21 +8.60
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/27

atp
ruusuvuori -5 games (-110) l

wta
kalinskaya ml (+211) l

0-2 -2.10

ytd:
2020: 32-33 +6.50
2019: 61-90 -31.17

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 32-33 +6.50
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/28

ATP
Thiem -2.5 sets (-107)
Kukushkin ML (1st set) (+154)

WTA
Puig ML (+124)
Dodin +6 games (-104)

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 32-33 +6.50
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/28

ATP
Thiem -2.5 sets (-107) W
Kukushkin ML (1st set) (+154) W

WTA
Puig ML (+124) L
Dodin +6 games (-104) W

3-1 +2.54

ytd:
2020: 35-34 +8.94
2019: 61-90 -31.17

[Conqueror]

Chargers4222,

Thanks!

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 35-34 +8.94
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/29

ATP
Johnson ML (+160)
Barrere +.2.5 sets (-110)
Barrere is good enough to nick a set off Dimitrov.

[degennn]

Dm me your number. Let's talk tennis.

[Gaze73]

I was also on Johnson, worst match of the tournament. But I see you're picking mostly dogs, that's definitely the way to go. There are many people who can make money on favs but for me dogs were always easier. Flipping coins at plus odds always wins in the long run.

Also I have learned my lesson and avoid +2.5 set spreads, no matter how obvious they are. It's hard to break even in that market, let alone make a profit. I actually take the -2.5 spread ocassionally because the odds are so good. Like with Jack Sock yesterday.

[Conqueror]

I was also on Johnson, worst match of the tournament. But I see you're picking mostly dogs, that's definitely the way to go. There are many people who can make money on favs but for me dogs were always easier. Flipping coins at plus odds always wins in the long run.

Also I have learned my lesson and avoid +2.5 set spreads, no matter how obvious they are. It's hard to break even in that market, let alone make a profit. I actually take the -2.5 spread ocassionally because the odds are so good. Like with Jack Sock yesterday.

Well put.

[Conqueror]

ytd:
2020: 35-34 +8.94
2019: 61-90 -31.17

9/29

ATP
Johnson ML (+160) L
Barrere +.2.5 sets (-110) L
Barrere is good enough to nick a set off Dimitrov.

0-2 -2.10

ytd:
2020: 35-36 +6.84
2019: 61-90 -31.17