ATP 1000-Indian Wells

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Jrod124
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-31-09
    • 5622

    #1
    ATP 1000-Indian Wells
    Getting the thread up now. Qualifying starts tomorrow and ATP 1000 qualifying draws like a ATP 250 tournament. Should be some nice spots tomorrow
  • Boner_18
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-24-08
    • 8301

    #2
    Im pumped to get back to some tennis capping.
    Comment
    • bluefish
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 04-13-09
      • 917

      #3
      I'll watch
      Comment
      • Fthenorm
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-20-07
        • 712

        #4
        Anyone else feeling a surprise winner or a surprise finalist here? I think Djoker has a great shot against a surprise finalist...have not heard much from any of the other top players...Cilic may be worth a futures look...Querrey perhaps?
        Comment
        • Marginalis
          SBR MVP
          • 12-12-09
          • 1862

          #5
          Gonna be a interesting tourney.
          Comment
          • Boner_18
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-24-08
            • 8301

            #6
            Haven't seen the lines but there are some exciting players in qualies. Istomin, Devvarman, some Americans.
            Comment
            • Boner_18
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-24-08
              • 8301

              #7
              Actually on capping I am picking against Istomin but with Devvarman:

              Reynolds (+195)
              Devvarman (-225)

              Both at 5dimes. GL all.
              Comment
              • michalis
                Restricted User
                • 01-02-10
                • 1439

                #8
                guys what do you think about this parlay at -110

                stephane koubek
                thiago alves

                I think its a winner
                Comment
                • michalis
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-02-10
                  • 1439

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Boner_18
                  Actually on capping I am picking against Istomin but with Devvarman:

                  Reynolds (+195)
                  Devvarman (-225)

                  Both at 5dimes. GL all.
                  i dont think reynolds can win, he sucks

                  he is not even playing professionally any more

                  the only advantage he has going into this match is that he is on home ground, but he is outplayed in all other areas
                  Comment
                  • Boner_18
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-24-08
                    • 8301

                    #10
                    Originally posted by michalis
                    i dont think reynolds can win, he sucks

                    he is not even playing professionally any more
                    He's coming back from a wrist injury and previously was ranked 66. Just b/c he is ranked 400+ doesn't mean he cant play. Look at his numbers against Lacko in Memphis. He won in many stats categories, including a healthy return game, though he lost the match.

                    I'm not saying he's a lock just that it is worth a shot in the quallies.
                    Comment
                    • michalis
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-02-10
                      • 1439

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Boner_18
                      He's coming back from a wrist injury and previously was ranked 66. Just b/c he is ranked 400+ doesn't mean he cant play. Look at his numbers against Lacko in Memphis. He won in many stats categories, including a healthy return game, though he lost the match.

                      I'm not saying he's a lock just that it is worth a shot in the quallies.
                      i do think he has a chance of winning, that is why i am staying away, but his chance is so slim that i wouldnt bother with him, odds should have been way higher

                      dude is in the worst form of his career while istomin is the opposite

                      and istomin is a much better player than lacko
                      Comment
                      • michalis
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-02-10
                        • 1439

                        #12
                        i actually think kuznetsov has a better chance of beating devvarman than reynolds beating istomin
                        Comment
                        • Boner_18
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-24-08
                          • 8301

                          #13
                          That's cool. That's why betting markets are made, disagreement.

                          Istomin had some seriously high profile wins against Haas and Kholschreiber... But shortly thereafter he did also lose to Lacko, albeit in retirement.

                          I'm a big Devvarman supporter, will be the first to admit it, he has taken some steps forward winning early rounds in 250 events. Only time will tell... GL to you Michalis.
                          Comment
                          • michalis
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-02-10
                            • 1439

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Boner_18
                            That's cool. That's why betting markets are made, disagreement.

                            Istomin had some seriously high profile wins against Haas and Kholschreiber... But shortly thereafter he did also lose to Lacko, albeit in retirement.

                            I'm a big Devvarman supporter, will be the first to admit it, he has taken some steps forward winning early rounds in 250 events. Only time will tell... GL to you Michalis.
                            no gl to you boner, Im not taking those games so i hope they win for you
                            Comment
                            • Jrod124
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-31-09
                              • 5622

                              #15
                              4:15 Window Parlay
                              Krajinovic/Brown +115
                              1/1.15
                              I will fade Gaudio on a hard court all day at this stage of his career. And Dustin Brown has played really well on the challenger tour up to this point. Smyczek is decent American player, saw him at the Dallas event earlier this year, but I will take the Jamaican in this one. Good Luck everyone. Will have more later
                              Comment
                              • michalis
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-02-10
                                • 1439

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Boner_18
                                Actually on capping I am picking against Istomin but with Devvarman:

                                Reynolds (+195)
                                Devvarman (-225)

                                Both at 5dimes. GL all.

                                +195 dog

                                congrats, i really do hope the indian wins it for you
                                Comment
                                • Boner_18
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-24-08
                                  • 8301

                                  #17
                                  Thanks. I hope so too, the line has moved to -290. Hopefully they complete at least one set if Kuznetsov is injured...
                                  Comment
                                  • Jrod124
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-31-09
                                    • 5622

                                    #18
                                    Yeah I am jumping on this Devvarman train as well
                                    7:00 Window Qualie Parlay

                                    Donald Young/Somdev Devvarman/Illya Marchenko +132
                                    1/1.32
                                    Comment
                                    • Jrod124
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-31-09
                                      • 5622

                                      #19
                                      reasoning for DY and Marchenko is in my blog, tailing Boner on the Indian. Good luck everyone
                                      Comment
                                      • ringemup
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-24-08
                                        • 2112

                                        #20
                                        on devaarman here
                                        Comment
                                        • Jrod124
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-31-09
                                          • 5622

                                          #21
                                          Brown beaten easily, nice pick Boner

                                          Indian Wells
                                          0-1 (-1 unit)

                                          Hope to spike that next parlay to end the night in the green
                                          Comment
                                          • Boner_18
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-24-08
                                            • 8301

                                            #22
                                            Nah, didn't think Brown would lose, just had it as a no play. Lets hope Devvarman can win one for me though. GL on the second play.
                                            Comment
                                            • Boner_18
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-24-08
                                              • 8301

                                              #23
                                              Got Devvarman. Gotta get to work early if you are gonna catch these matches as they hang the lines really late. Will keep ya'll posted here of any plays i pick, reasoning will be in the blog as always.
                                              Comment
                                              • Boner_18
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-24-08
                                                • 8301

                                                #24
                                                Some early plays:

                                                Reynolds (-195)
                                                Dabul (+135)
                                                Lu (-300) wish I could find a straight sets to reduce this juice.

                                                Getting stuck wanting to take a lot of the faves... Might take more today, some of them are really over accomplished against the competition they face. As always reasoning in my blog and I will post more there if I post more picks. GL today.
                                                Comment
                                                • Boner_18
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-24-08
                                                  • 8301

                                                  #25
                                                  Correction, I had to take Lu at -375. I know that is rich for many but I blogged it and I'm gonna play it, that is my style. For what it is worth I think he wins this match 8/10 times anyway...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Boner_18
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-24-08
                                                    • 8301

                                                    #26
                                                    Adding Phau (-185). Laid off Mello @ -260 though it was tempting. Like I said, like lotsa faves here unfortunately... or fortunately... we shall see.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Boner_18
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-24-08
                                                      • 8301

                                                      #27
                                                      If Sweeting goes even or +$ at 5dimes I might snap it up.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Boner_18
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-24-08
                                                        • 8301

                                                        #28
                                                        Sweeting line didn't move at 5dimes.

                                                        Adding Krajinovic (+140)... I can't stop myself.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jrod124
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-31-09
                                                          • 5622

                                                          #29
                                                          Lost a 3rd set tiebreak to blow up a parlay. Not a great start, but a long tournament
                                                          Indian Wells
                                                          0-2 (-2 units)

                                                          Looking at the board currently
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Jrod124
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 10-31-09
                                                            • 5622

                                                            #30
                                                            Filip Krajinovic +157
                                                            1/1.57
                                                            I said I would be fading Smycek in the next round and I will here. Guy served out his mind against Dustin Brown. Won't happen again

                                                            Rainer Schuettler -190
                                                            1.90/1
                                                            Chalky but, Gio hasn't faired well on the hard courts in his career or lately

                                                            Somdev Devvarman -105
                                                            1.05/1
                                                            Koubek favored again? Was hoping to get plus money, but I will grab this price now

                                                            Parlay
                                                            B.Mattek-Sands/Z.Yan-Donald Young -116
                                                            1.16/1

                                                            4 plays today, hopefully I can go 3 and one and get out of the red before the main draw starts. Good luck!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jrod124
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-31-09
                                                              • 5622

                                                              #31
                                                              Also I am hoping Rainer will move before match time, I wanna get more on it. But dimes has limited my qualies
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jrod124
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 10-31-09
                                                                • 5622

                                                                #32
                                                                Rainer Schuettler -220
                                                                2.20/1
                                                                Didn't move the way I wanted, but I am very confident in this pick. One of my best of the young season

                                                                Parlay
                                                                Schuettler/Young -101
                                                                1.01/1
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Jrod124
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 10-31-09
                                                                  • 5622

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Boner nice call on Lu, up 6-2, 5-1. Pissed I woke up late. I could of parlayed that with something. Wouldn't have played it str8, but I am glad u spiked it!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Boner_18
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-24-08
                                                                    • 8301

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Yeah. Wish I could have found it at straight sets or as an under but thats the way Qualifiers roll I guess. I like the Shuettler pick, should win and Young looks good too, they both seem priced about right for me though, so not playing.

                                                                    We are both on Krajinovic but you got a really good price. I bet it comes down from that +157.

                                                                    As for Devvarman, unless he goes +$ i aint gonna play him, in fact at these levels i might Koubek... GL Jrod.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Boner_18
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-24-08
                                                                      • 8301

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Dabul up a set and a break. Serving for the win (one of my few dogs for the day).
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...