TennisBabe's '10 Picks

[Pride]

montanes is gonna lose for sure now that seppi has him right where he wants him, it is a lock

[shari91]

I'm starting to think I need to hang out in the kitchen more. Went to caramelise some onions for this focaccia I'm going to make for dinner, and when I come back: 0-3 Montanes in the 3rd!!!

Now shush Pride... let's get this one everyone!!

Oh, and my UK gambling buddy just said that if anyone needs a stream they're showing quite a few games live on livescorehunter.com

[Pride]

i dont know if you have noticed but other than the horrific second set every time i have called something a lock it has lost.

lets keep the trend alive

[TennisBabe]

4-0 Montanes...Rolling now

[TennisBabe]

fromsport.com also showing matches on both show courts

[TennisBabe]

YTD: 70-40 +68.19
WEDNESDAY PLAYS (I like every favorite on the board -rare event)

Novak Djokovic -600
Risking 6.00 units to win 1.00

Ivan Llubjic -240
Risking 2.40 to win 1.00

Stanislas Wawrinka -240
Risking 2.40 to win 1.00

David Nalbandian -190
Risking 1.90 to win 1.00

Albert Montanes -200
Risking 2.00 to win 1.00

Andy Murray -240
Risking 2.40 to win 1.00

3-0 today...3 big matches pending. 2 out of 3 wins would guarantee a winning day

[shari91]

Djokovic wins 6-2, 6-3 2-0 on the day

Woohoo!!! I forgot about this one altogether after Montanes/Seppi got close. Great job TB! Sometimes the faves are the way to go. Hard to lay all that money but in the 2nd round, I felt comfortable tailing you.

The only one I'm a little worried about is Murray, but stuff it. Faith, faith and more faith. Have to believe in my bets or there's no point betting, right? Let's do this!

[shari91]

3-0 today...3 big matches pending. 2 out of 3 wins would guarantee a winning day

How about if we're only going to hit 2, we make sure Ljubicic is one of them, okay? Thank you.

[TennisBabe]

Sure works for me!

[AzNDooM]

Another good place to get live feed is channelsurfing.net and atdhe.net. Good luck guys. Going to awtch the Nadal game.

[AzNDooM]

I'm starting to think I need to hang out in the kitchen more. Went to caramelise some onions for this focaccia I'm going to make for dinner, and when I come back: 0-3 Montanes in the 3rd!!!

Now shush Pride... let's get this one everyone!!

Oh, and my UK gambling buddy just said that if anyone needs a stream they're showing quite a few games live on livescorehunter.com

Im about to go order Dominos lol man hmm.. Michael Berrer actually playing half decent. +500 would of been some value but I hate playing against Juan Monaco. I saw him beat Verdasco and Juan Carlos Ferrer this year on CLAY but still early days. Looks like Montanes has this, 3-0 for TB.... Onto the remainder games.

[Pride]

what are your guys thoughts on hedging my parlay?

I have 500 on the parlay and would have to put around 280 on llodra for a 500 payout.

i think this may have to do with me being incredibly tired .

if lloadra wins i lose nothing

if i win the parlay i get around 1000 - 280 = 720 profit

[AzNDooM]

what are your guys thoughts on hedging my parlay?

I have 500 on the parlay and would have to put around 280 on llodra for a 500 payout.

i think this may have to do with me being incredibly tired .

if lloadra wins i lose nothing

if i win the parlay i get around 1000 - 280 = 720 profit

I think you should let the parlay ride. If you want to be extra safe and want to enjoy the game then hedge it. Since your guarantee a hefty profit I would hedge but thats my opinion and it really depends on how your bankroll is during the week. If your up alot already for the week then I would just let it ride, if not play the safe play and take the hedge.

Money management is just as important as making a bet.

[shari91]

Okay, so I thought I wouldn't be able to hedge because of timing but I was wrong. I can...

Instead I'm leaning towards dumping more on Ljubicic. Quick thoughts anyone?

[shari91]

Disclaimer: I should qualify that statement by saying that if I put more on Ljubicic y'all will be forced to deal with my stresshead tendencies until it's over.

[TennisBabe]

I have this as a 67% win for Ivan...Judge for yourself

[TennisBabe]

Taking a break off the board for a bit...Be back later

[Pride]

@ disclaimer

well you will be subject to my superstitious ridiculousness so it is a fair tradeoff

[Pride]

depending on the outcome of this match, i will either play big on murray because i wanna make back part of my hedge or because i wanna chase what i lose on the hedge.

[shari91]

Okay, well I did it. Holy cripes if he loses this match I'm down a sweet $800.

Okay Pride... I think it's only you, TB and I on this one. He's the 8th seed, TB's 67% confident...

Where in the bloody hell is Goat?

[shari91]

@ disclaimer well you will be subject to my superstitious ridiculousness so it is a fair tradeoff

Fair enough. But it worked so do voodoo if you need to!!

And yeah, you KNOW I'll be chasing hard on Murray if Ljubi doesn't come through. ()

[AzNDooM]

SMACKING MY HEAD on the BERRER BET... sigh... UGK!!
Wow you are all on Ljubicic im on him as well but dont have as much as you guys riding as I am up alot for the day from MLB and NBA so if i lose no biggy.
Best of luck to you all and i will be observing that game big time.

[Pride]

I have noticed we were in the same sections a lot today / yesterday Shari. You do well on the day?

Berrer will win if he keeps his disgusting service game where it is at but I do not see Monaco laying down to die

[NOREGRETS]

Okay, well I did it. Holy cripes if he loses this match I'm down a sweet $800.

Okay Pride... I think it's only you, TB and I on this one. He's the 8th seed, TB's 67% confident...

Where in the bloody hell is Goat?

I am in also Sheri

[AzNDooM]

GO GO GO LJUBICIC... WOOT WOOT 1st set up. Surprised Ivans heavy serve isnt finishing him completely hes only got 1 ace!

[Pride]

judging by how the game looks ill be placing a bet at around 5 mins before the murray line closes, is there any reason why the ML on murray looks so amazing

[NOREGRETS]

GO GO GO LJUBICIC... WOOT WOOT 1st set up. Surprised Ivans heavy serve isnt finishing him completely hes only got 1 ace!

Keep the updates coming, I have no clue what is going on

[Pride]

llodra hold here is a lock

[jashtonrich]

is murray a solid bet at -280 thinking of putting two grand

[shari91]

NoRegrets - You on a computer or your phone?

If a computer, jump on a live feed. I've listed one and so has TB. So much better to actually see your bankroll grow. Hopefully

[Pride]

the argument vs murray is that he does not care about this tournament and may be a bit rusty on clay.

regardless of how important he thinks the tourney is, no one goes out to lose.

[NOREGRETS]

NoRegrets - You on a computer or your phone?

If a computer, jump on a live feed. I've listed one and so has TB. So much better to actually see your bankroll grow. Hopefully

Computer. At work though. I will look into it

[shari91]

Sorry Pride - in the middle of cooking dinner at 11:30pm. Schedule's all screwed up thanks to TB's threads

I'm up quite a lot this week. More so than I have been for a long time. I usually start each Monday with a set dollar value of my units and then drop it when I've made my goal, but this week, I've continued to bet my larger $ amount on the plays that I either blindly tail on TB or the ones that TB, LB and Paco have an opinion on. On those ones, I figure out what I like, see what they have to say, and then take it from there. As of yesterday I was up 3 weeks worth of my weekly goal. As of today, regardless if our parlay/my bet on Ljubicic comes through I'm almost up a month's worth. And it's only Wednesday here!!!!

The only place I've lost money this week is the NBA. And even the bets I've won were teeny ones, but it's all good. I swore I wasn't going to play the NBA until the playoffs but I broke my own promise and bet big on an over that got killed by the hook. My fault - went back on my own word. Now though, I'm laying off except for teeny bets if I'm bored until playoffs start.

Hope you've had an awesome week so far too!!!

[AzNDooM]

http://atdhe.net/17264/watch-atp-masters-monte-carlo

link the Llodra/Ljubicic game if you want to watch it live.

[NOREGRETS]

http://atdhe.net/17264/watch-atp-masters-monte-carlo
link the Llodra/Ljubicic game if you want to watch it live.

Thanks bud!