Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction from SBR's Gary Pearson for their Wimbledon quarterfinal match on Tuesday, July 8th:
Pick to win: Alcaraz 3-1 (+240 via DraftKings)
"Norrie is into the quarterfinal for the second time at Wimbledon, with three of his four matches thus far requiring at least four sets. Alcaraz, while avoiding a five-set bout, is in a similar boat, needing four sets in three of his four matches.
Overall, Alcaraz has won four of six encounters against the Brit, with three of those wins coming in straight sets.
Alcaraz to win in straight sets has an implied probability of 60%, the most likely outcome at our best sports betting apps.
However, Norrie is playing some inspired tennis at his home tournament and has enjoyed some success against the sensational Spaniard, as we discuss below. I am, however, slightly concerned about his fitness after enduring a grueling five-set Round of 16 match against Nicolas Jarry."
Best prop bet: Cameron Norrie Over 12.5 games (-122 via FanDuel)
"The world no. 2 hasn't been at his sharpest throughout, suffering from momentary lapses. I expect a similar turn of events against an opponent he has struggled against recently, with Norrie winning two of the last three head-to-head meetings.
Both of Norrie's victories - one on clay and one on hard court - went the distance, requiring three sets (non-majors). A lot has changed since Norrie's triumphs in 2022 and 2023 over the indomitable Spaniard.
That said, Norrie knows how to keep things competitive against him and is riding a massive wave of momentum.
Plus, the crowd will be feverishly backing their homegrown talent. That should be enough to win 13 or more games. FanDuel offers the most competitive price among sportsbooks."
Pick to win: Alcaraz 3-1 (+240 via DraftKings)
"Norrie is into the quarterfinal for the second time at Wimbledon, with three of his four matches thus far requiring at least four sets. Alcaraz, while avoiding a five-set bout, is in a similar boat, needing four sets in three of his four matches.
Overall, Alcaraz has won four of six encounters against the Brit, with three of those wins coming in straight sets.
Alcaraz to win in straight sets has an implied probability of 60%, the most likely outcome at our best sports betting apps.
However, Norrie is playing some inspired tennis at his home tournament and has enjoyed some success against the sensational Spaniard, as we discuss below. I am, however, slightly concerned about his fitness after enduring a grueling five-set Round of 16 match against Nicolas Jarry."
Best prop bet: Cameron Norrie Over 12.5 games (-122 via FanDuel)
"The world no. 2 hasn't been at his sharpest throughout, suffering from momentary lapses. I expect a similar turn of events against an opponent he has struggled against recently, with Norrie winning two of the last three head-to-head meetings.
Both of Norrie's victories - one on clay and one on hard court - went the distance, requiring three sets (non-majors). A lot has changed since Norrie's triumphs in 2022 and 2023 over the indomitable Spaniard.
That said, Norrie knows how to keep things competitive against him and is riding a massive wave of momentum.
Plus, the crowd will be feverishly backing their homegrown talent. That should be enough to win 13 or more games. FanDuel offers the most competitive price among sportsbooks."