Alexandrova vs Bencic

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  • AlphaBettingPro
    SBR Rookie
    • 07-03-25
    • 46

    #1
    Alexandrova vs Bencic
    July 7, 2025 | Today's Betting Breakdown & Picks |

    Wimbledon WTA – Alexandrova vs Bencic | Round of 16 Betting Preview

    Hi all,

    We’ve got an intriguing grass-court matchup in the Wimbledon women’s draw this Monday as Ekaterina Alexandrova takes on Belinda Bencic for a spot in the quarterfinals. While their head-to-head is tied at 4-4, recent form and surface adaptation suggest a clear edge for the Russian.
    Match Context & Form Overview
    • Ekaterina Alexandrova (World No. 17):
      • Undefeated in sets at Wimbledon 2025 (3-0 all straight-set wins)
      • Recently defeated Bencic 6-1 6-2 on grass at Bad Homburg just days ago
      • 8 wins in her last 10 matches; in top physical and tactical shape
    • Belinda Bencic (World No. 35):
      • Arrived at Wimbledon on a 3-match losing streak
      • Needed 3 sets in both her second and third rounds
      • Grass results have been erratic; lacks the sharpness needed for elite grass play

    Key Stats & H2H
    • Alexandrova leads 2-1 on grass in the H2H
    • The Russian has not lost a set this tournament; Bencic has dropped two
    • Alexandrova has served and returned well, breaking opponents consistently while keeping her own games tidy
    • Bencic has shown mental lapses in mid-sets, especially against lower-ranked players

    ✅ Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova to Win


    With superior current form, proven recent dominance over Bencic on this exact surface, and a stronger statistical base in 2024–2025 grass performance, Alexandrova looks well-positioned to advance.

    Estimated fair odds on the moneyline are around 1.65–1.75, offering potential value before markets adjust.

    Would love to hear thoughts from others: Do you see any value in set betting here (2-0 Alexandrova) or game handicap alternatives?
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