Australian Semis Are Unbettable

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    Australian Semis Are Unbettable
    .... Unless you're going for the handicap or # of games. The lines are ridiculously chalky and offer nothing more than dartboard shots on the dogs IMO. Here's the ladies since the men are off till tomorrow.

    Serena/Li OVER/UNDER 19.5
    Henin/Zheng OVER/UNDER 20.5

    Serena -5.5
    Li +5.5

    Henin -5
    Zheng +5
    Li has battled Serena to 3 setters 3/4 times they met. That would lead one to go for the over first - but something tells me if Serena doesn't come out without any game like yesterday that she can roll. Li wasn't especially impressive yesterday as I think Venus lost that a little more than Li won it.

    Henin/Zheng I tend to the over because Henin has not been able to put together a sustainted quality effort over the course of her matches since her opener. She has two three setters since and then two very tight two setters where the scorelines both saw 7-5, 7-6. Saw some of the same with her matches in Brisbane. Certainly she is capable of pulling a dominant performance at any time, but I think having played so many matches - the fatigue catches her if her opponent makes her work. Zheng should be plenty fresh after killing Kirilenko. Zheng has the one other semifinal appearance at Wimbledon against Serena. She was a little overwhelmed by the moment in the first set, losing 6-2, but then battled hard in a tie break losing the 2nd set. If she takes it to Henin early, I think this will be a real good battle. Zheng +5 I lean to, although the over is a better selection I think. Zheng would be my dartboard shot at a big dog price hitting.

    Whaddya got?
  • ji03
    SBR MVP
    • 06-27-09
    • 1144

    #2
    I like Zheng +5 games because Henin does not seem to overhelm opponents, but I like Henin to win, but not at the price she is.
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    • beefcake
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-26-09
      • 14029

      #3
      serena looked mentally and physically spent at the PC after her match...
      Even though li played a tough one herself..I lean to her + games. but I .like the under better ...with both players having dig DEEP playing such tough matches with back to back,their wont be alot left in the tank for either... As soon as one player gets down a break or double break the other might cruise...
      Comment
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