Nicolas Almagro - Alexandro Falla @ -151

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  • michalis
    Restricted User
    • 01-02-10
    • 1439

    #1
    Nicolas Almagro - Alexandro Falla @ -151
    a good run by falla but i think it ends today, almagro obviously the better player

    only negative factor is almagro playing two straight 5 setters while falla cruised through marcel granollers so he might be a little bit more fresh

    a good game to put some money on, does anyone have an opinion on this matchup?
  • Glitch
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-08-09
    • 11795

    #2
    fallas in good form, almagro is worn and a notorious choker. coinflip- slight micro-lean falla
    Comment
    • ji03
      SBR MVP
      • 06-27-09
      • 1144

      #3
      I would lean Falla at + odds
      Comment
      • chibears
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-08-09
        • 786

        #4
        leaning falla but not that great at tennis handicapping
        Comment
        • rumple
          SBR MVP
          • 06-19-07
          • 2499

          #5
          why all the $ on Falla?
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            I think it's due to Almagro's play in the 1st two rounds. If he had finished off either match without choking away the two sets lead, he would have been a much larger favorite IMO.
            Comment
            • minly89
              SBR Hustler
              • 01-16-10
              • 79

              #7
              true true
              Comment
              • hoop22
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-29-09
                • 212

                #8
                Originally posted by minly89
                true true
                When does this match start? Thought it said 11:30
                Comment
                • Fthenorm
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-20-07
                  • 712

                  #9
                  If Almagro's serve is on, he should pull it off...Falla line falling, but it is tough to envision him advancing this far in a major
                  Comment
                  • solepride
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-22-09
                    • 108

                    #10
                    Falla deserves a bet
                    Comment
                    • The General
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 13279

                      #11
                      08:00J.-W. Tsonga T. Haas

                      08:00L. Hewitt M. Baghdatis

                      Hopefully a couple exciting matches this AM.
                      Comment
                      • Glitch
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-08-09
                        • 11795

                        #12
                        good call on almagro- he is well in-control of this match and hitting way better shots.
                        Comment
                        • Glitch
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-08-09
                          • 11795

                          #13
                          Originally posted by rumple
                          why all the $ on Falla?
                          almagro is a choker and a lesser athlete. although a player with way better tennis technique and finesse. some people mighta thought like me that when nerves come into play, so does conservatism and then the manliest man has a good chance to win- approaching the net, striking soft balls really hard.

                          plus i think a lot of people thought this was a coin flip and falla happened to pay more
                          Comment
                          • timbo46
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-30-09
                            • 296

                            #14
                            Glad I got home too late to play this. I really liked Falla.
                            Comment
                            • revnecro1273
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-25-09
                              • 1698

                              #15
                              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                              I think it's due to Almagro's play in the 1st two rounds. If he had finished off either match without choking away the two sets lead, he would have been a much larger favorite IMO.

                              i don't think so...he is a dirtballer and all of his previous matches were low lines...hell...he wasn't even favoured in round 1 against a qualifier
                              Comment
                              • michalis
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-02-10
                                • 1439

                                #16
                                yes I agree that almagro is a choker as someone said, but indeed he has a lot of tennis talent

                                I think the reason people dont favor almagro so much is his sloppy play, that turns to bad play at some tournaments, I think that is because he is not motivated

                                and thats why I favored him here, at this stage of a grand slam if he wasnt motivated to show all that talent then he should've quit tennis

                                no disrespect to falla but he is not a round four grand slam quality player, almagro is
                                Comment
                                • michalis
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-02-10
                                  • 1439

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                  I think it's due to Almagro's play in the 1st two rounds. If he had finished off either match without choking away the two sets lead, he would have been a much larger favorite IMO.

                                  I think you are right here, odds always reflect player recent form, which is something I like to take advantage of to make some money when out of form great players play in forn mediocre/bad ones
                                  Comment
                                  • Glitch
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-08-09
                                    • 11795

                                    #18
                                    almagro beat him like a red-headed step child
                                    Comment
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