ATP Barclays World Finals

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ODDS

Player To Win Barclays World Tour Finals (All In)

R. Federer+254
N. Djokovic+287
A. Murray+428
R. Nadal+603
J.M. Del Potro+855
N. Davydenko+1056
F. Verdasco+2513
R. Soderling+2211
(Pinnacle Sports, 2009).

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DRAW CEREMONY

Singles and doubles draws will take place on Wednesday, 18 November, at 9.45 a.m. at the London Eye (ATP, Inc, 2009).

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Schedule of Events

GROUP STAGES AND SEMI-FINALS (22-28 November, 2009)

Afternoon Session
12:30pm – Doubles match starts
Not before 2:15pm - Singles match starts

Evening Session
7pm – Doubles match starts
Not before 8:45pm - Singles match starts

FINAL (29 November, 2009)

12:30pm – Doubles match starts
Not before 2:30pm - Singles match starts
Doors into The O2 arena are scheduled to open 75 minutes before the start of play. Please note this is subject to the Tournament's discretion and may vary depending on the length of preceding matches.

(ATP, Inc, 2009)

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TOURNAMENT FORMAT

The tournament will be a round robin format with eight players/teams divided in two groups of four players/teams each, with eight seeds to be determined by the South African Airways ATP Rankings and the 2009 ATP Doubles Team Rankings of Monday, 16 November 2009.
The top seed will be placed in Group A and the second seed will be placed in Group B. Players/teams seeded three and four, five and six, seven and eight, will then be drawn in pairs with the first drawn placed in Group A.
The round robin will determine the four players/teams for the semi-finals with the format thereafter being an elimination competition.
The winner of each group (best overall record) will be placed in separate semifinal brackets, with the top player/team in Group A playing the runner-up in Group B, and vice versa.
All singles matches will be the best of three tie-break sets. All doubles matches will be two sets (no ad) and match tie-break.


(ATP, Inc., 2009).

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TOURNAMENT PRIZE MONEY


SINGLES PLAYERS

Alternate $70,000
*Participation Fee $120,000
Round Robin Win – Per Match Won $120,000
Semi-final Match Winner - $380,000
Final Win $770,000
Undefeated Champion $1,630,000
* Pro-rated on a per match basis: $70,000 = 1 match, $95,000 = 2 matches, $120,000 = 3 matches


(ATP, Inc., 2009)

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IceMiners Preview

I plan on posting a quick update on each of the 8 players competing in the event.

Player 1: Feds

Vs. Raffy
7-13 (3-3 Hard)
Vs. Joker
9-5 (7-4 Hard)
Vs. Murray
3-6 (3-6 Hard)
Vs. JMDP
6-1 (3-1 Hard)
Vs. Davy
12-0 (8-0 Hard)
Vs. Verdy
3-0 (1-0 Hard)
Vs. Sodes
12-0 (6-0 Hard)
Combined Overall Record Vs. Participants – 52-25
Combined Overall Record Vs. Participants on Hard Surface – 31-14
(ATP, Inc., 2009)

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I was a little shocked at Feds H2H vs. the top 3 competitors, 19-24 (13-13 Hard).

He dominates the other 4 competitors, 33-1 (32-1 Hard).

As much as I don't see that much value in taking Feds at the current odds, injuries of others (Murray and JMDP, Raffy's current form, and his dominance of the bottom 4, has him the clear, cut favorite.

I will not be making any plays, future or match, until I review and post each player.

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Player 2: Nadal

Vs. Feds

13-7 (3-3 Hard)

Vs. Joker
14-6 (3-6 Hard)

Vs. Murray
7-2 (4-2 Hard)

Vs. JMDP
4-3 (0-3 Hard)

Vs. Davy
4-3 (1-3 Hard)

Vs. Verdy
9-0 (4-0 Hard)

Vs. Sodes
3-1 (0-0 Hard)

Combined Record: 54-22

Hard Court Combined Record: 15-17

Notes

Joker took both on hard surface this year.

Both losses to Murray were on hard surface.

Lost the last 3, all this year, to JMDP on hard surface.

Lost the last 3, 1in the past year on the hard surface vs. Davy.

Sodes got his first win vs. Raffy in their last meeting.

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After looking at those H2Hs and in Raffy's current form, he has not shot at winning this thing.

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Player 3: Joker

Vs. Feds
5-9 (4-7)

Vs. Nadal
6-14 (6-3)

Vs. Murray
4-3 (3-3)

Vs. JMDP
3-0 (2-0)

Vs. Davy
2-2 (2-2)

Vs. Verd
5-2 (3-1)

Vs. Sodes
5-0 (4-0)

Combined Record – 30-30

C.R. on Hard Surface – 20-16

Notes:

Lost last 3 to Murray on hard surface, 1 taking place this past year.

Davy took the last h2h this past year.

Took last 5 vs. Verd after losing first 2.

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Let me state that I hate Joker and think he is a pussy. However, we his recent form, I will def be making a future play on him and will probably play him in a couple matches.

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Player 4: Murray

Vs. Feds

6-3 (6-3)

Vs. Raffy

2-7 (2-4)

Vs. Joker

3-4 (3-3)

Vs. JMDP

4-1 (3-0)

Vs. Davy

5-4 (4-4)

Vs. Verd

7-1 (6-1)

Vs. Sodes

2-1 (2-1)

Combined Record: 29-21

CR on Hard: 26-16

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The only one it seems Murray struggles against is Raffy and with Raffy's current, poor form, he might be worth a shot on a future play. Murray usually fairs well against Feds but is a coin flip against Joker, maybe even a dog with the way Joker is playing of late, will have to wait for draws.

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Plus we have to keep an eye on Murray's status as far as injury, he was banged up last week.

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Player 5: JMDP

Vs. Feds

1-6 (1-3)

Vs. Raffy

3-4 (3-0)

Vs. Joker

0-3 (0-2)

Vs. Davy

1-2 (0-2)

Vs. Verd

0-0 * JMDP won a challenger match vs. Verd in 2006 in 3 sets.

Vs. Sodes

2-1 (2-0)

Combined Record: 7-16

CR on Hard: 6-7

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JMDP -

Have to wait and see the extent of his core injury before considering playing or fading him. I really don't see him being that effective in this tourney in his recent form, especially if he plays Feds or Joker.

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Player 6: Davy

vs. Feds

0-12 (0-8)


vs. Raffy

3-4 (3-1)

vs. Joker

2-2 (2-2)

vs. Murray

4-5 (4-4)

vs. JMDP

2-1 (2-0)

vs. Verd

6-1 (3-0)

vs. Sodes

3-6 (3-3)

Combined Record: 20-31

CR on Hard: 17-18

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Davy

Never really know what to expect out of Davy, he can compete against anyone on the ATP but sometimes just throws it in. If you take out his h2h against Feds, he fairs ok against the rest of the field.

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Player 7: Verdy

vs. Feds

0-3 (0-1)

vs. Raffy

0-9 (0-4)

vs. Joker

2-5 (1-3)

vs. Murray

1-7 (1-6)

vs. JMDP

0-0

vs. Davy

1-6 (0-3)

vs. Sodes

1-4 (1-2)

Combined Record: 5-34

CR on Hard: 3-19

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The numbers don't lie folks, Verdy does not fair well against this level of competition and I don't see that changing next week. Will look to fade Verdy when the numbers and draws come out.

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Player 8: Sodes

vs. Feds

0-12 (0-6)

vs. Raffy

1-3 (0-0)

vs. Joker

0-5 (0-4)

vs. Murray

1-2 (1-2)

vs. JMDP

1-2 (0-2)

vs. Davy

6-3 (3-3)

vs. Verdy

4-1 (2-1)

Combined Record: 13-28

CR on Hard: 6-18

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Sodes does not fair well against the top 5 plus we are not sure the extent of his injury bug, will have to wait and see.

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Alternate: Tsonga

I will calculate his h2h against the others and total record if he ends up getting in.

I have to wait until the draw and odds are out before posting any plays.

Just wanted to post this info for the fellow tennis cappers.

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Man I'm drained after looking up all that info, got to go take a break and relax a bit.

If anyone wants to leave comments/feedback, I'm always down to talk some tennis.

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Future Leans

Joker 5 units

Feds 3 units

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I'm getting the feeling, this isn't a big tennis board on this site.

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Groupings are out

Group A

Feds

Murray

JMDP

Verd

Group B

Nadal

Joker

Davy

Sodes

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If he is 100 percent, like Murray in Group A.

Gotta like Joker in Group B, but Davy or Sodes good be good value plays on winning the group.

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If anyone has any further details on Murray's injury, please post it in this thread. I'm going to try and find out the extent of it because planning on making a nice future play on him.

[ji03]

like Djokovic to win it at +287

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Thank God, finally someone posting in the tennis forum.

Yeah, have to like Joker at those odds in his recent form.

I could def see a Murray/Joker final

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that is if Murray is healthy, have to wait and see

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Its kind of shitty Arod had to pull out, but still should be an unreal tourney, can't wait

[RobbReport]

tennis is my favorite to wager on

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RR

Me too bud, I'm up over 100 units for the 3rd straight year and have won 4 out of the 5 seasons I have capped tennis (lost my 2nd season).

Looking forward to ending the year on a good note.