DJOKOVIC v MONFILS 11/15

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  • Waiting4Godot
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-30-09
    • 226

    #1
    DJOKOVIC v MONFILS 11/15
    Thoughts on a set bet of 2-1 for Djokovic? It's +285 at BM. Looking at their head-to-head records, Djokovic has won all their meetings with at least three sets being played... Any reason to think it will be different this time around and either Monfils wins or get swept?
  • RobbReport
    SBR MVP
    • 09-22-09
    • 2042

    #2
    3 sets i think
    Comment
    • Boner_18
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-24-08
      • 8301

      #3
      Absolutely, check my blog i have a write up on this bet.
      Comment
      • RobbReport
        SBR MVP
        • 09-22-09
        • 2042

        #4
        Originally posted by Boner_18
        Absolutely, check my blog i have a write up on this bet.


        spot on dude, couldn't agree more. I actually believe Monfils may just take this, but as you said, Djokers match to lose.
        Comment
        • Wheell
          SBR MVP
          • 01-11-07
          • 1380

          #5
          Djoker in straights. You are making a negative EV play at that price.
          Comment
          • ji03
            SBR MVP
            • 06-27-09
            • 1144

            #6
            liking Djokovic to take his second straight in 3 sets.
            Comment
            • Waiting4Godot
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-30-09
              • 226

              #7
              You are making a negative EV play at that price.

              How do you calculate a negative EV at the match going three sets with Djokovic winning?
              Comment
              • WillC
                SBR MVP
                • 11-10-09
                • 1831

                #8
                I cant see how theres any value betting on the Djoker.

                I've put a very large sum ~$500 on Monfils (+4 games) at 1.9 as I'm predicting a 3 setter, if not then hopefully a tiebreaker which still gives me a good shot at covering the line.

                BOL everyone.
                Comment
                • Boner_18
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-24-08
                  • 8301

                  #9
                  Tiebreak. GL all.
                  Comment
                  • Boner_18
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-24-08
                    • 8301

                    #10
                    Cash em boys.
                    Comment
                    • Jrod124
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-31-09
                      • 5622

                      #11
                      Nice!
                      Comment
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