The Expert 2021 tennis selections

**The Expert** · 03-23-21, 10:47 AM

Don't know if the thread is going to last more than 3 days but let's give it a try.
I know something about tennis and I'm consistently winning with ca. 10% ROI.
I see, you don't believe it - I wouldn't too.

**The Expert** · 03-23-21, 10:48 AM

ATP Miami (Q), 23/03/2021
Mischa Zverev vs. Matteo Viola
1 unit on Mischa Zverev (ML) @ 1.952 / -105 on PinnacleSports

**JamesBrown** · 03-23-21, 11:26 AM

Good luck. I'll tail the Podoroska play!

**The Expert** · 03-23-21, 04:06 PM

Originally posted by The Expert

WTA Miami, 23/03/2021
Nadia Podoroska vs. Mayar Sherif
2 units on Nadia Podoroska (-2.5 games) @ 1.833 / -120 on PinnacleSports

WIN: Nadia Podoroska def. Mayar Sherif 6-3 6-1 (+1.666 units)

**The Expert** · 03-23-21, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by The Expert

ATP Miami (Q), 23/03/2021
Mischa Zverev vs. Matteo Viola
1 unit on Mischa Zverev (ML) @ 1.952 / -105 on PinnacleSports

WIN: Mischa Zverev def. Matteo Viola 6-7 6-4 6-1 (+0.952 units)

**The Expert** · 03-23-21, 04:10 PM

YTD Record: 2-0 +2.618 units

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 03:17 AM

ATP Challenger Lugano, 24/03/2021
Daniel Masur vs. Illya Marchenko
1 unit on Illya Marchenko (ML) @ 1.839 / -119 on PinnacleSports

**Igor_1965** · 03-24-21, 03:43 AM

Originally posted by The Expert

ATP Challenger Lugano, 24/03/2021
Daniel Masur vs. Illya Marchenko
1 unit on Illya Marchenko (ML) @ 1.839 / -119 on PinnacleSports

1.72 now. Is one limit bet enough to change this line this much?

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 03:46 AM

It might be, I haven't looked at liquidity, though in challengers it's not high.
It's still available at several bookmakers:

@1.86 on SBObet
@1.85 on Unibet
@1.83 on Bet365

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 04:20 AM

ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
Steve Johnson vs. Yannick Hanfmann
1 unit on Yannick Hanfmann (ML) @ 1.833 / -120 on PinnacleSports

*Would've been 2 units @ 2.05 / +105 odds but these are gone...

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 05:08 AM

WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
Camila Giorgi vs. Ludmilla Samsonova
1 unit on Ludmilla Samsonova (-1.5 games) @ 1.908 / -110 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 05:09 AM

WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
Heather Watson vs. Nina Stojanovic
1 unit on Heather Watson (ML) @ 1.868 / -115 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 05:10 AM

WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
Nao Hibino vs. Renata Zarazua
1 unit on Nao Hibino (+3.5 games) @ 1.960 / -104 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 05:29 AM

WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
Andrea Petkovic vs. Shuai Zhang
1 unit on Andrea Petkovic (ML) @ 1.942 / -106 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 06:39 AM

Originally posted by The Expert

ATP Challenger Lugano, 24/03/2021
Daniel Masur vs. Illya Marchenko
1 unit on Illya Marchenko (ML) @ 1.839 / -119 on PinnacleSports

LOSS: Daniel Masur def. Illya Marchenko 7-6 7-5 (-1 unit)

Not a good bet at all. Even game, both had their chances, though no value at -119 after all.
We move on, big card today.

YTD Record: 2-1 +1.618 units

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 08:29 AM

ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Mikael Ymer
1 unit on Mikael Ymer (-2.5 games) @ 1.951 / -105 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 08:31 AM

ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
Vasek Pospisil vs. Mackenzie McDonald
1 unit on Mackenzie McDonald (ML) @ 1.876 / -114 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 08:33 AM

WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
Anna Kalinskaya vs. Irina-Camelia Begu
1 unit on Anna Kalinskaya (+1.5 sets) @ 1.846 / -118 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 08:38 AM

WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
Jelena Ostapenko vs. Xiyu Wang
1 unit on Xiyu Wang (+4.5 games) @ 2.119 / +112 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 08:39 AM

ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
Feliciano Lopez vs. Alexei Popyrin
1 unit on Feliciano Lopez (+1.5 sets) @ 1.924/ -109 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 08:40 AM

ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
James Duckworth vs. Mischa Zverev
1 unit on Mischa Zverev (ML) @ 2.299/ +130 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 08:41 AM

ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Emil Ruusuvuori
1 unit on Carlos Alcaraz (ML) @ 2.428/ +143 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 08:41 AM

ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
Marcos Giron vs. Tommy Paul
1 unit on Marcos Giron (ML) @ 2.259/ +126 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 09:49 AM

WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs. Storm Sanders
1 unit on Storm Sanders (+3.5 games) @ 1.861 / -116 on PinnacleSports

**JamesBrown** · 03-24-21, 10:55 AM

Wow lot's of action. Good luck today!

**PharaohUB** · 03-24-21, 01:56 PM

Good luck. I don’t know crap about women’s tennis but if you do well I’ll tail. Would be cool to see your record split between atp and wta. Nice call on giron. Let’s go mischa !

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by PharaohUB

Good luck. I don’t know crap about women’s tennis but if you do well I’ll tail. Would be cool to see your record split between atp and wta. Nice call on giron. Let’s go mischa !

Will do that.
Now I'm fuming at Lopez and Wang. Both bets practically won, actually lost. Hibino might be next...

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 02:54 PM

WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
Sloane Stephens vs. Ocene Dodin
1 unit on Sloane Stephens (ML) @ 2.468 / +147 on PinnacleSports

**The Expert** · 03-24-21, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by The Expert

WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
Camila Giorgi vs. Ludmilla Samsonova
1 unit on Ludmilla Samsonova (-1.5 games) @ 1.908 / -110 on PinnacleSports

Adding 1 unit to make it 2 units total.

**prior22usaf** · 03-24-21, 08:45 PM

Originally posted by The Expert

Adding 1 unit to make it 2 units total.

Thank you sir for this pick!

**leovegas** · 03-24-21, 10:42 PM

Winning day with that volume. Where have you been all this time, sir??? Good to have you on the forum

**The Expert** · 03-25-21, 02:28 AM

Originally posted by prior22usaf

Thank you sir for this pick!

You're welcome!

**The Expert** · 03-25-21, 02:31 AM

Originally posted by leovegas

Winning day with that volume. Where have you been all this time, sir??? Good to have you on the forum

Firstly, I've got more time now as I've changed my job.
Secondly, I've tried to start threads with bets but was giving up after first bad day - that's my drawback. I hate sharing losing picks.
As for today, I will recap it shortly but in fact it really should have been a lot better day. I'm not a complaining-type guy, though two losses had to be winners.
We move on, good that there's at least a profit.
As for volume, you won't see such a huge amount of plays more than few times a year. There were 37 matches yesterday, which is possible only in GS or Miami/IW plus I really loved a lot of match-ups. Volume is going to be lowered a lot (if thread is alive by Sunday

)

**The Expert** · 03-25-21, 03:20 AM

I don't have energy to quote each post, therefore I will just post photo of my own spreadsheet.That was solid day but should have been a lot better. I'm not talking about Alcaraz/Hibino/Zverev losses in 3rd (that's normal) but about these two plays:

Lopez +1.5 sets being 4-6 *6-5 30-15 in 2nd set to lose 6-7
Xiyu Wang +4.5 games being 4-6 *5-3 30-30 in 2nd set. Handicap could be covered easily if she won 6-3 and even if she simply losses the set. Of course she wins in TB (worst scenario) and then wins one game in 3rd.

Ok, complaining is over, we move on. Below there're the records.

YTD Record: 11-7, +5.47 units (ROI 127%)
YTD Record (ATP): 5-4, +0.871 units (ROI 110%)
YTD Record (WTA): 6-3, +4.599 units (ROI 142%)
YTD Record (1 units): 9-7, +1.988 units (ROI 112%).
YTD Record (2 units): 2-0, +3,482 units (ROI 187%)

YEAR

MONTH

DATE

SPORT

COUNTRY

LEAGUE

GAME

PICK

FAV / DOG

ODDS (EUR)

ODDS (US)

STAKE

SCORE

RESULT

UNITS

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

WTA

Sloane Stephens

Oceane Dodin

Stephens ML

Dog

2,468

+147

1

6-7 6-4 6-2

WIN

1,468

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

WTA

Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Storm Sanders

Sanders +3.5 games

Dog

1,861

-116

1

1-6 7-5 1-6

WIN

0,861

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

WTA

Jelena Ostapenko

Xiyu Wang

Wang +4.5 games

Dog

2,119

+112

1

6-4 6-7 6-1

LOSS

-1

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

WTA

Anna Kalinskaya

Irina-Camelia Begu

Kalinskaya +1.5 sets

Dog

1,846

-118

1

6-4 7-6

WIN

0,846

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

WTA

Andrea Petkovic

Shuai Zheng

Petkovic ML

Fav

1,942

-106

1

7-5 6-1

WIN

0,942

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

WTA

Nao Hibino

Renata Zarazua

Hibino +3.5 games

Dog

1,960

-104

1

4-6 6-4 1-6

LOSS

-1

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

WTA

Heather Watson

Nina Stojanovic

Watson ML

Fav

1,868

-115

1

4-6 1-6

LOSS

-1

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

WTA

Camila Giorgi

Ludmilla Samsonova

Samsonova -1.5 games

Fav

1,908

-110

2

2-6 4-6

WIN

1,816

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

ATP

Marcos Giron

Tommy Paul

Giron ML

Dog

2,259

+126

1

7-6 6-4

WIN

1,259

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

ATP

Carlos Alcaraz

Emil Ruusuvuori

Alcaraz ML

Dog

2,428

+143

1

4-6 6-2 5-7

LOSS

-1

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

ATP

James Duckworth

Mischa Zverev

Zverev ML

Dog

2,299

+130

1

6-2 4-6 6-4

LOSS

-1

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

ATP

Feliciano Lopez

Alexei Popyrin

Lopez +1.5 sets

Dog

1,924

-109

1

4-6 6-7

LOSS

-1

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

ATP

Vasek Pospisil

Mackenzie McDonald

McDonald ML

Fav

1,876

-114

1

3-6 6-4 3-6

WIN

0,876

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

ATP

Alejandro Tabilo

Mikael Ymer

Ymer -2.5 games

Fav

1,951

-105

1

3-6 1-6

WIN

0,951

2021

FEB

24/02

Tennis

Miami

ATP

Steve Johnson

Yannick Hanfmann

Hanfmann ML

Fav

1,833

-120

1

5-7 2-6

WIN

0,833

2021

FEB

23/02

Tennis

Lugano

ATP Challenger

Daniel Masur

Illya Marchenko

Marchenko ML

Fav

1,839

-119

1

6-7 5-7

LOSS

-1

2021

FEB

23/02

Tennis

Miami

ATP

Mischa Zverev

Matteo Viola

Zverev ML

Dog

1,952

-105

1

6-7 6-4 6-1

WIN

0,952

2021

MAR

23/03

Tennis

Miami

WTA

Nadia Podoroska

Mayar Sherif

Podoroska -2.5 games

Fav

1,833

-120

2

6-3 6-1

WIN

1,666