Flabrah's Tennis Thread

flabrah5 · 03-26-21, 09:47 AM

Haha Good morning, Gents -

Adding:
Popyrin ML @ +119 (2u to win 2.38u)
Fritz - 1.5 SETS @ +153 (2u to win 3.06u)

First parlay - two plays above - (1u to win 3.79u)

GL to all

LOSS Broady ML @ +265 (1u to win 2.65u)
WIN Kecmanovic v Broady o21.5 games @ -112 (1.12u to win 1u)
WIN Kecmanovic v Broady o22 games @ -104 (1.04u to win 1u)

Overall:
11-4 (+17.06 units)

Miguelon · 03-26-21, 11:14 AM

flabrah5 · 03-26-21, 11:21 AM

Haha, dang! Almost did Popyrin -1.5 sets at +376. Oh well, great card.

WIN Popyrin ML @ +119 (2u to win 2.38u)
WIN Fritz - 1.5 SETS @ +153 (2u to win 3.06u)

WIN First parlay - two plays above - (1u to win 3.79u)

Overall:
14-4 (+26.29 units)

Miguelon · 03-26-21, 11:26 AM

flabrah5 · 03-26-21, 11:30 AM

Adding:

Basilashvili -2.5 games @ -109 (1.09u to win 1u)
Basilashvili - 3 games @ +112 (1u to win 1.12u)
Basilashvili -1.5 SETS @ +144 (1u to win 1.44u)

Strong on his recent form. He's been dominant on the service side of things. Beating Fed & Agut is a tough task.

Overall:
14-4 (+26.29 units)

The Expert · 03-26-21, 11:47 AM

Wow, thats a GREAT job

flabrah5 · 03-26-21, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by flabrah5

Adding:

Basilashvili -2.5 games @ -109 (1.09u to win 1u)
Basilashvili - 3 games @ +112 (1u to win 1.12u)
Basilashvili -1.5 SETS @ +144 (1u to win 1.44u)

Strong on his recent form. He's been dominant on the service side of things. Beating Fed & Agut is a tough task.

Overall:
14-4 (+26.29 units)

This is disgusting, Basil cant hold a serve. Been broken three times, and broke Ymer twice. Man oh man,

flabrah5 · 03-26-21, 12:51 PM

Honestly, I think he could be throwing this match. These shots arent even close to being in and about 6 ft too long on ever chance he has a winner if he just gets it in play.

flabrah5 · 03-26-21, 08:07 PM

Worst match Ive watched all year. 44 unforced errors by Basil thru 2 sets. Ouch.

Also, very sorry I forgot to post Evans ML and -1.5 sets vs Tiafoe. Ill start to post all plays first thing and note the ones I am taking and my leans. Evans I eyed all day. Could still lose, but looks good.

LOSS Basilashvili -2.5 games @ -109 (1.09u to win 1u)
LOSS Basilashvili - 3 games @ +112 (1u to win 1.12u) **
LOSS Basilashvili -1.5 SETS @ +144 (1u to win 1.44u) **
Note - Im counting the two above that have a * as one loss, should that be two, or one? The reason is the odds changing and I feel the over will still hit regardless of that hook. LMK and Ill update to be more aligned with how these threads work here.
Overall:
14-6 (+23.20 units)

flabrah5 · 03-26-21, 08:26 PM

LIVE Evans ML @ +125 (3u to win 3.75u)

spro23 · 03-26-21, 08:51 PM

What do you think of fucsovics -155 against kokkinakos? Kokki is ranked 243 I can't believe the line is this low.

flabrah5 · 03-26-21, 09:46 PM

That sucked. Over for this and Isner match was the play. Tiafoe had some ridic lucky shots that would have had Evans hold, but put it to deuce. This humidity is clearly affecting the players big time.

flabrah5 · 03-26-21, 09:48 PM

Originally posted by spro23

What do you think of fucsovics -155 against kokkinakos? Kokki is ranked 243 I can't believe the line is this low.

Thats a tricky one. I wouldnt go just by rankings, but recent form and how theyve played this year (and how many they have played, like Isner has barely played in 2021).

Im usually a fan of backing Fucs, but Kokk is good on hard courts and its hot out. If I played that, Id bet the over. Fucso has been playing very well, so I agree this line is odd for sure.

Conqueror · 03-26-21, 10:10 PM

Originally posted by flabrah5

Thats a tricky one. I wouldnt go just by rankings, but recent form and how theyve played this year (and how many they have played, like Isner has barely played in 2021).

Im usually a fan of backing Fucs, but Kokk is good on hard courts and its hot out. If I played that, Id bet the over. Fucso has been playing very well, so I agree this line is odd for sure.

The protected ranking stuff is affecting how players are being ranked - with some having a ranking their current form doesn't deserve. Don't look too much into rankings. Pay more attention to current form.

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 03:51 PM

LOSS LIVE Evans ML @ +125 (3u to win 3.75u)

Sorry been MIA, Evans made me mad last nigh following the Basil beat. Looked like a high schooler out there. Could have won 6-0, 6-0.

Some picks to come. I was too late to add LIVE Galan +225 when de Minaur was serving tied at 4-4 in the 3rd Watched the match, couldnt believe these odds. Hope Galan serves for the match and win here. Will keep this off the thread of course because I was late to post by the time Galan broke to be serving 5-4 for the match.

Overall:
14-7 (+20.20 units)

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 03:53 PM

LIVE Cilic ML @ +110 (2u to win 2.2u)

He is currently up 30-0 trying to force a 3rd set TB.

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 03:58 PM

Adding:
Mannarino ML @ +124 (2u to win 2.48u)
Ivashka +4.5 GAMES @ +102 (1u to win 1.02u)

GL to all

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 04:04 PM

WIN LIVE Cilic ML @ +110 (2u to win 2.2u)

Overall:
15-7 (+22.40 units)

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 04:21 PM

Adding:
LIVE Mannarino 1st set Winner @ +151 (1u to win 1.51u)

Currently 1-1, Mann on serve down 0-15

PharaohUB · 03-27-21, 05:10 PM

Do you think Sandgren can beat Rublev? When he is on he reminds me a bit of Karatsev who just beat Rublev.

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 05:13 PM

Adding:
LIVE Ivashka ML @ +455 (1u to win 4.55u)

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 05:24 PM

Adding:
Mann 2nd set winner @ +118 (2u to win 2.36u)

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 05:46 PM

My MANN, love this guy.

WIN Mannarino ML @ +124 (2u to win 2.48u)
WIN LIVE Mannarino 1st set Winner @ +151 (1u to win 1.51u)
WIN Mann 2nd set winner @ +118 (2u to win 2.36u)

Overall:
18-7 (+28.75 units)

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by PharaohUB

Do you think Sandgren can beat Rublev? When he is on he reminds me a bit of Karatsev who just beat Rublev.

Rublev one of my fave players tbh. Sandgren can surprise, but I dont think hes up for Rublev's forehand and return abilities. Id stay away, but leaning towards Rublev is straights.

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 06:34 PM

Adding:
Vondrousova ML @ +115 (2u to win 2.3u)

Currently serving 15-15 on serve.

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 06:43 PM

Adding:
Ivashka ML @ +202 (2u to win 2.04u)

I really think he takes this. Shap is off and double faulting like crazy. Shap on serve in the 3rd, Ivashka is up 2-1.

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 07:02 PM

WIN LIVE Vondrousova ML @ +115 (2u to win 2.3u)

Overall:
19-7 (+31.05 units)

Conqueror · 03-27-21, 07:12 PM

Originally posted by flabrah5

WIN LIVE Vondrousova ML @ +115 (2u to win 2.3u)

Overall:
19-7 (+31.05 units)

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 07:23 PM

Done for the night, rain is messing up play. Ivashka had game point, rain starts coming, stop play, gives Ad out, stops play for another 8 min, then he double faults to give up the break. Not worth the risk when its not the same.

Ill be back tomorrow.

WIN Ivashka +4.5 GAMES @ +102 (1u to win 1.02u)
TBD LIVE Ivashka ML @ +455 (1u to win 4.55u)
TBD LIVE Ivashka ML @ +202 (2u to win 2.04u)

Overall:
20-7 (+32.07 units)

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 08:45 PM

Adding:
LIVE Kokkinakis ML @ +247 (2u to win 4.94u)

On serve down, 2nd set, down a set, 4-5 @ 15-0.

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 08:50 PM

That rain killed Ivashka. Could not have been worse timing on his serve at 40-30.

LOSS LIVE Ivashka ML @ +455 (1u to win 4.55u)
LOSS LIVE Ivashka ML @ +202 (2u to win 2.04u)

Overall:
20-8 (+29.07 units)

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 09:33 PM

Adding:
LIVE Korda ML @ +110 (2u to win 2.2u)

Line was up 3-2 serving in 2nd set at 40-30. I'd still take Korda ML at any odds.

He finally found his service game. Classic Fognini choke IMO.

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 10:27 PM

LOSS LIVE Kokkinakis ML @ +247 (2u to win 4.94u)
WIN LIVE Korda ML @ +110 (2u to win 2.2u)

Should have hedged Kokk. What an absolute fail. 3rd set live line had Fucsv +175 at one point. Kokk had the easiest overhead from a volley and serve and tapped it straight to Fucsv who just hit it anywhere that gave him the 4-5 serving for winner. If anyone watched, it was disgusting. Knew, just knew, I should have stayed away from that game besides the over (in which I even mentioned to a poster earlier who asked about Fucsv).

Overall:
21-9 (+29.09 units)

flabrah5 · 03-27-21, 10:31 PM

Adding:
LIVE Uchiyama +5.5 GAMES @ +135 (2u to win 2.7u)
LIVE Uchiyama v Schwartz o18.5 @ +120 (1u to win 1.2u)

Schwartz is up 2-1 in the 2nd, Uchiyama about to serve. I think he gets to 4 games here. Schwartz doesnt look like he will cruise, got broke and almost gave up another if it wernt for an error by Uchi.

Overall:
21-9 (+29.09 units)

flabrah5 · 03-28-21, 10:28 AM

Was a serve too late to grab the winning line at +6.5 & o17.5. Funny how that works, even though Uch had a break point winner and put it straight into the net at the nend.

LOSS LIVE Uchiyama +5.5 GAMES @ +135 (2u to win 2.7u)
LOSS LIVE Uchiyama v Schwartz o18.5 @ +120 (1u to win 1.2u)

Overall:
21-10 (+26.09 units)