TheExpert Tennis Bets

[The Expert]

I will try to post some valuable (in my opinion) bets from tennis tournaments. Hope these are going to be winners more often than losers. Staking from 1 to 3 units. All odds from Pinnacle.

Bradley Klahn vs. Marius Copil
1 unit on Marius Copil ML @ 2.620

Klahn is a hit or miss player. Recently he's been in solid form, winning against ok opponents. I think it's time for him to lose some form as his form is generally not stable. Copil is not a world-beater, though a solid hardcourt player. Klahn is a small favorite (home soil + form) but @2.62 on Romanian player is too high.

[The Expert]

Fade or tail on your own risk. These are value plays, not winners. Hope to have (even negative) feedback, it's why we all post here...

[The Expert]

Dominic Thiem vs. Pablo Cuevas
1 unit on Dominic Thiem -1.5 sets @1.847

Thiem is Top3 claycourt playerd at the moment. His grasscourt season ended quickly and he's surely seeking revenge on his beloved surface. Cuevas is dangerous player but Thiem is top notch. He's angry and hungry, so I predicts him to win in 2 sets.

[The Expert]

Fabio Fognini vs. Julian Lentz
1 unit on Fabio Fognini -1.5 sets @1.943

Fognini is class better than Lenz, without a doubt. Question is his motivatio but in ATP500 tournament he's going to play with some desire. Playing sets handicap as if he retires, then it's voided. However I thinks his retirement against Travaglia doesn't have much to do with any health issues...

[The Expert]

Matthew Ebden vs. Kamil Majchrzak
1 unit on Over 22.5 Games @1.990

Majchrzak is theoretically talented and that's why he's getting respect from bookmakers. He's so far very solid in challengers though disappoints in ATP events. I think he may win, though it won't be easy

Laslo Djere vs. Filip Krajinovic
1 unit on Laslo Djere ML @2.160

Coin toss in my opinion, getting plus money for Djere is simply value

Marco Cecchinato vs. Federico Del Bonis
1 unit on Marco Cecchinato ML @2.700

Ok, Cecchinato is out-of-form though he's better player than Del Bonis. He can't lose forever so with such tasty odds it's a must try. Few months ago he'd be around @1.50 max...

Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
1 unit on Jan-Lennard Struff -2 games @1.934

Monteiro is ok ob claycourt but he's a journeyman. It's a breakthrough year for Struff and though he's more suited to faster courts, he's an all-round player and is doing ok on clay. He's also at home, so I'm surprised he's such a short favorite.

[The Expert]

22/07/2019 Recap
1 unit Marius Copil ML @2.620 (L)

Day recap: 0-1 -1 units
YTD: 0-1 -1 units

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Get em Tomorrow.

[The Expert]

Get em Tomorrow.

Thanks, hope so

[The Expert]

Hugo Dellien vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
1 unit on Nikoloz Basilashvili @1.826

Going with better player, simply. Odds are really high, eveb considering recent Nikoloz' form.

[The Expert]

Henri Laaksonen vs. Albert Ramos
1 unit on Albert Ramos -1.5 games @1.934

Laaksonen is mediocre player, simply as that. Getting respect because he's at home. I disagree, Ramos is better and should win here.

[The Expert]

Bernard Tomic vs. Frances Tiafoe
1 unit on Frances Tiafoe -1.5 sets @2.020

I am jumping on Tomic fading bandwagon. Normaly I'd bet him at these odds because he's not inferior to Tiafoe in terms of pure tennis abilites. However recently he's lost and I can't imagine turning the things on his favor against rock solid Tiafoe on his home hardcourts soil. Tiafoe knows that he has to kill this game from the beginning because if he gives Tomic a chance, Aussie may feel the blood ans actually start playing. See Tiafoe wins in straight sets, if he loses a set, he loses a whole match. That should't happen if he's concentrated. Could be 2 units bet, though you never know with Tomic at all...

[The Expert]

Nicolas Jarry vs. Alexander Zverev
1 unit on Alexander Zverev -1.5 sets @2.260

Jarry is overvalued because of his title last week. Of courde he's good and is going to climb in the rankings next year but Zverev is at home and needs wins. This year is disappointing for Zverev so he desperately needs some results. It's not a GrandSlam where he's under pressure and is playing his worst tennis, so expect him to show up and win in straight sets against solid but tired opponent.

[The Expert]

Horrible beat with Cechinatto (40-0 and 3 match points at own serve) and ver bad decision with Majchrzak (Over missed by a game, should have gone with Ebden as I wanted to just fade Majchrzak). Should've been 8-1 day, while it's only 6-3 with Tiafoe pending...

[The Expert]

23/07/2019 Recap
1 unit Dominic Thiem -1.5 sets @1.847 (W)
1 unit Fabio Fognini -1.5 sets @1.943 (W)
1 unit Jan-Lennard Struff -2 games @1.934 (W)
1 unit Marco Cecchinato ML @2.700 (L)
1 unit Laslo Djere ML @2.160 (L)
1 unit Over 22.5 games (Ebden/Majchrzak) @1.990 (L)
1 unit Nikoloz Basilashvili ML @1.826 (W)
1 unit Albert Ramos -1.5 games @ 1.934 (W)
1 unit Frances Tiafoe -1.5 sets @2.020 (L)
1 unit Alexander Zverev -1.5 sets @2.260 (W)

Daily recap: 6-4 +1.744
YTD: 6-5 +0.744 units

[NYproGambler]

Tiafoe is trash

[nuxx??]

That little black monkey is complete complete garbage. What an awful performance.

[The Expert]

It's a sport, Tiafoe's performance wasn't great but also please remember that Tomic' knows how to play tennis. Bet was based on his (potential) lack of confidebce and desire...

[The Expert]

Lorenzo Sonego vs. Thomas Fabbiano
1 unit on Thomas Fabbiano ML @2.890
1 unit on Thomas Fabbiano +3.5 games @1.925

50-50 game for me. I really don't know why Sonego's such a favorite (probably because of the rankings) but at the moment on claycourts he's not a better player than Fabbiano. Of course he might win but value definitely on Thomas, therefore putting 2 units on him.

[The Expert]

Jiri Vesely vs. Cedric-Marcel Stebe
1 unit on Jiri Vesely -1.5 sets @2.320

Stebe is after long break and I was surprised he defeated Moutet in fact. Vesely is working hard recently and playing very good tennis. He needs ranking points badly. Believe it should be relatively easy game for the Czech.

[The Expert]

Casper Ruud vs. Andrey Rublev
1 unit on Andrey Rublev ML @1.970

Jeremy Chardy vs. Richard Gasquet
Over 22.5 games @1.952

Juan Ignacio Londero vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
Nikoloz Basilashvili ML@2.120

[The Expert]

One game for tomorrow (25/07) feel that odds are going to decrease

Filip Krajinovic vs. Martin Klizan
Martin Klizan ML @2.840
Martin Klizan +3.5 games @1.917

Klizan is a very good claycourter when he's in form, while know it seems he's in good physical condition. Wrong player favored for me, so 2 units on Slovakian.

[The Expert]

Cameron Norrie vs. Soon Woo Kwon
1 unit on Cameron Norrie ML @1.847

[Maizey]

It's a sport, Tiafoe's performance wasn't great but also please remember that Tomic' knows how to play tennis. Bet was based on his (potential) lack of confidebce and desire...

Well said. I’m sure he was every bit as disappointed with his performance and the outcome as those that were backing him.

[lonegambler23]

One game for tomorrow (25/07) feel that odds are going to decrease

Filip Krajinovic vs. Martin Klizan
Martin Klizan ML @2.840
Martin Klizan +3.5 games @1.917

Klizan is a very good claycourter when he's in form, while know it seems he's in good physical condition. Wrong player favored for me, so 2 units on Slovakian.

i agree i dont get this line either.. very fishy. i believe klizan should be favored

[The Expert]

Federico Del Bonis vs. Alexander Zverev
1 unit on Alexander Zverev -1.5 sets @1.900

Fading Del Bonis here. He was extrenely lucky in previous round, should be already out. As I said earlier, expect strong performance from Zverev on this tournament and after comfortable win against Jarry (who's better than Argentinian), it should be another win in straight sets.

[The Expert]

Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
1 unit on Over 22.5 games @1.970

Was hesitating between Carreno-Busta and OVER. Think that Struff is slight favorite, though it looks like a three-setter. Might hit even with two-setter as there shouldn't be that much of break chances as both are serving quite well recently.

[lonegambler23]

thankfully stayed away from klizan.. thats mind blowing serving for set and winning one game after to not cover

[The Expert]

thankfully stayed away from klizan.. thats mind blowing serving for set and winning one game after to not cover

Nice week for me. Firstly Cecchinato with *40-0 three match-points, now Klizan to choke. We move on of course, it's only sport and gambling.

[Gaze73]

Never doubt the Busta.

[DavidGoliath5003]

Nice week for me. Firstly Cecchinato with *40-0 three match-points, now Klizan to choke. We move on of course, it's only sport and gambling.

Klizans fitness cost him the match towards the dnd of set 2. It was over 100 degrees out

[The Expert]

Never doubt the Busta.

In fact I doubted Struff and believed in Carreno-Busta, simply wrong betting selection once again. Should've played him just ML.

[The Expert]

Alex De Minaur vs. Bradley Klahn
2 units on Alex De Minaur -1.5 sets @2.070

Klahn is a hit or miss player. He's in solid form (for his standards), though it's a brutal match-up for him. De Minaur is a counter-puncher type of player and loves to play against opponents like Klahn. De Minaur won 6-1 6-4 6-4 in Roland Garros on clay, should be 6-4 6-4 type of game today on hardcourts. I'll be surprised of he loses a set, so throwing 2 units in here.

[The Expert]

Fabio Fognini vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
1 unit on Over 22 games @1.934

Expect tight match here.

[The Expert]

Filip Krajinovic vs. Alexander Zverev
1 unit on Alexander Zverev -1.5 sets @2.110

Continuing with Zverev in straight sets, so far he's yet to lose a set here. Krajinovic should be out after yesterday game and may be tired here after three setter in the heat.

[Dr.Gonzo]

Filip Krajinovic vs. Alexander Zverev
1 unit on Alexander Zverev -1.5 sets @2.110

Continuing with Zverev in straight sets, so far he's yet to lose a set here. Krajinovic should be out after yesterday game and may be tired here after three setter in the heat.

This GL