Mischa Zverev +175 to upset top-seeded Gilles Simon (ATP - Stuttgart)
YTD: 25-37, +3.21
dwaechte
SBR Hall of Famer
08-27-07
5481
#2
Still like him at +160 or +165 LT?
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EaglesPhan36
SBR Aristocracy
12-06-06
71662
#3
Lots of action on Zverev, all that I'm sure stemming from their April encounter on clay when Zverev drilled him & this tourney being in Zverev's home country. Two things for me - #1, that was Zverev's dream run on clay where he went to the QFs after fighting through qualifying. Simon also had some of pathetic serve #s that day that you'll find. Won only 58% of his 1st serve and 48% of his 2nd. THe 2nd serve #s would be acceptable if he was winning 70% or more on 1st. Zverev did not get broken that day on serve either. #2 - lifetime on dirt, Zverev is well under .500. He's 3-6 on dirt in 2009 outside of that Rome tournament. I think Simon although not great on clay is much better than he showed when they last played. I wouldn't expect him to get dominated on-serve again. I think the price LT got is about as low as I would think about playing Zverev. I have Simon at -185 now and am thinking about pulling the trigger.
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EaglesPhan36
SBR Aristocracy
12-06-06
71662
#4
Nice work LT. The money/action was definitely right on this one. Zverev smoked him.
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dennisback
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-09
650
#5
iimpressiv dude, i faded u on this one but wondered why so many went on zverev. great pick again LT.