Flabrah's Tennis Thread

[flabrah5]

Well much success in Miami and Charleston. Going to start a thread which is usually the kiss of death but we will see how it goes.

Up first:

Gilles Simon +110

Owns the h2h, better on clay in my opinion with a near 60% win rate. Has won a few ATP 250s on clay being his stronger area. Paire will put up a fight and has played better this year, but clay will be the difference for Simon to take the match.

BOL to all

[flabrah5]

Start a thread and have to sweat the hell out of a match. Up 5-3 serving in 2nd set to take the cake and gets broke and loses horrendously in a tiebreaker. 3rd set tiebreaker doom down 1-5 and finish it off some how 7-5.

Nice start. Simon ✔️

Total: 1-0 (+$330)

[PharaohUB]

That was a fishy match for sure if it wasn't for fact Paire was involved. I actually got Paire 10-1 down a set and 2-0 when he was faking that injury. That guy is a psychopath. He just gave it away at the end. Very strange match. Good luck with your thread. Is each play 3 units? Just wondering how you got from +110 to +$330.

[jtoler]

gl happy the clay is finally here myself

[jtoler]

That was a fishy match for sure if it wasn't for fact Paire was involved. I actually got Paire 10-1 down a set and 2-0 when he was faking that injury. That guy is a psychopath. He just gave it away at the end. Very strange match. Good luck with your thread. Is each play 3 units? Just wondering how you got from +110 to +$330.

funny you say that about faking an injury. he sucked me in against Nishioka about a month ago. Paire was down a set, huffing and puffing in the chair like he was about to die torment all over his face, I place a small wager on Nishi, Paire plays like a god the rest of the way lol.

[flabrah5]

That was a fishy match for sure if it wasn't for fact Paire was involved. I actually got Paire 10-1 down a set and 2-0 when he was faking that injury. That guy is a psychopath. He just gave it away at the end. Very strange match. Good luck with your thread. Is each play 3 units? Just wondering how you got from +110 to +$330.

Yes, I didn't watch but was curious how Simon pulled that off.

I typically throw $300 max so that could be considered a unit for me. Will have smaller plays though depending on lines. I will post how much I'm wagering moving forward but never bet more than to win $300.

Next up:

Dustin Brown EV - $170 to win $170

The guy likes trick shots but is very athletic and talented. One of two players to ever be undefeated against Rafa playing more than one match. He should be the better player on Clay today with his creativity.

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

@jtoler - Thank you sir - gl to you as well!

[flabrah5]

Brown ❌

Total: 1-1 (+$160)

[flabrah5]

Kristyna Pliskova +135 - $300 to win $405

Full play. She impressed and went deep in Charleston. Giorgi is known for her serves and often double faults. Look for her serves to be the difference as they slow down and give Pliskova all the time to return.

Bol to all.

[sunshineSpecial]

Weren't there a bunch of huge 'upsets' in Marrakech last year? Terrible tournament. If they aren't bought of by Emiratis, they're just showing up for the first round pay check. Might as well take Amine Ahouda @ 17.00 or Malek Jaziri to at least make the semis.

[flabrah5]

Weren't there a bunch of huge 'upsets' in Marrakech last year? Terrible tournament. If they aren't bought of by Emiratis, they're just showing up for the first round pay check. Might as well take Amine Ahouda @ 17.00 or Malek Jaziri to at least make the semis.

We've all seen how crazy this game of tennis can be. Worth a shot if you're feeling it!

[flabrah5]

The matches delayed, but woke up to big line movement. Pliskova is now only +115.

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

Adding:

Jiri Vesely +140 ($300 to win $420)

Another great value spot.

[flabrah5]

Vesely should just retire the match. This is pathetic.

[flabrah5]

Good. Saved a loser. Something was really wrong.

[Steamroller]

I had a bet on Edmund. Did Vesely retire because he's a loser or he was actually injured?

[flabrah5]

I had a bet on Edmund. Did Vesely retire because he's a loser or he was actually injured?

No signs of an injury... Was straight getting embarrassed could not get a shot in.

[flabrah5]

Karlovic -115 - $288 to win $250

My analysis says Taro, my gut says Karlovic. Going with the gut as clay is a bit harder in Houston and I see Ivos serve being the difference per usual.

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

What is it with injuries today? Karlovic already asking for a MTO after the first game.

[flabrah5]

Karlovic -115 - $288 to win $250

My analysis says Taro, my gut says Karlovic. Going with the gut as clay is a bit harder in Houston and I see Ivos serve being the difference per usual.

Bol to all

Karlovic ✔️

Total: 2-1 (+$410)

[flabrah5]

Next up:

Zeballos -105 ($263 to win $250)

Taking the Argentinian on clay.

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

Next up:

Zeballos -105 ($263 to win $250)

Taking the Argentinian on clay.

Bol to all

Quick and easy.

Zeballos ✔️

Total: 3-1 (+$660)

[flabrah5]

The matches delayed, but woke up to big line movement. Pliskova is now only +115.

Bol to all

Line is now +105. Still standing on the full play for $300.

Hope to wake up to a nice winner.

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

Hi Gents -

Sorry for going MIA. Had trouble with my book as he didn't pay on time so I held off until I knew he was good.

Back at it in Barca -

Klizan vs Lopez OVER 23 games. See a 3 set match here with one set ending in a tiebreaker. Lean towards Lopez ML at +125 but just like the 3 set play.

Both players have had a lot of 3 set matches lately and I look for it to stay the same here.

300 to win 250

BOL to all

[flabrah5]

Kristyna Pliskova +135 - $300 to win $405

Full play. She impressed and went deep in Charleston. Giorgi is known for her serves and often double faults. Look for her serves to be the difference as they slow down and give Pliskova all the time to return.

Bol to all.

Woke up, huge delay all around at the tounrey. She got crushed.

Pliskova ❌

Total: 3-2 (+$360)

[flabrah5]

Adding: Bautista-Agut -3.5 (-120)

See straight sets but could lose a close one and cruise easily on two.

240 to win 200

BOL to all

[flabrah5]

Adding:

Carreno Busta -1.5 sets - 280 to win 200
Kostyuk/Garcia u20.5 games - 240 to win 200

Klizan v Lopez o23 games ❌

Total: 3-3. (+$60)

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

Break time. No pun intended. Both plays when the first two sets 6-2 and 6-1, then fail in the 2nd. Can't even wash.

Carreno Busta -1.5 sets - 280 to win 200 ❌
Kostyuk/Garcia u20.5 games - 240 to win 200 ❌

Total: 3-5 (-$460)

What a bad day. Bol to all

Nadal u17 games. Tilt play. 420 to win 300

[flabrah5]

Nadal looking sharp as always.

Adding:

Goffin v Khachanov o23 games - 240 to win 200

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

Nadal u17 games ✔️ +300
Goffin v Khachanov o23 games ✔️ +200
Bautista-Agut -3.5 ✔️ +200

Took straight sets on Bautista Agut at +110 as well but didn't post so will leave off the thread record.

Total: 6-5 (+$240)

Adding:
Muguruza -1.5 sets - 280 to win 200

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

When the rules go against you, it sucks. But when they help you out a void a loser in Mug, it's great.

Good rally from a horrible, cold start. Two players winning 1st set 6-2 and 6-1 and can't even have one close out the match in the 2nd

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

Early plays:
Carreno Busta (+110) - 250 to win 275
Tsitsipas +1.5 sets (-140) - 280 to win 200

1st parlay - both picks above - 100 to win 255

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

Adding:
Svitolina v C Garcia o21.5 games - 240 to win 200
C Garcia +1.5 sets - 360 to win 200

C Garcia owns the h2h 2-1. Yet to face on clay but last two matches have been 7-5/7-6s. Expecting a 3 set match, leaning towards Garcia at +145 for the extra value.

Bol to all

[flabrah5]

Adding"

Wozniacki -6 games - 240 to win 200

[europe_baller]

Early plays:
Carreno Busta (+110) - 250 to win 275
Tsitsipas +1.5 sets (-140) - 280 to win 200

1st parlay - both picks above - 100 to win 255

Bol to all

Very nice, had exact same plays last night with cechinato ML in a parlay but smaller than yours...congrats