Carreno worth a shot!

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  • Pr0bot
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-24-16
    • 153

    #1
    Carreno worth a shot!
    I adore Thiem playstyle, agressive, fancy backhand down the line, movement on the court. Since the final of RL 2017 it seems Thiem lost his confidence and somehow suffered a breakdown. Carreno is weak, Carreno is weird, but for Thiem this will be enough. Riding with 3.5 odds on spaniard for 20$. BOL guys
  • gambleForLife
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-16-12
    • 292

    #2
    I think I'll take him to win a set @ +105. He sucks at indoor hard courts, but so does Thiem, so this seems a good price.
    Comment
    • JamesBrown
      SBR MVP
      • 04-07-08
      • 3860

      #3
      I dunno. I see a straight set win for Thiem here. It's hard to come in as an alternate and win not thinking he would play. I think if this wa a normal match, the +1.5 on Busta would be the play, however I just don't like him coming in as an alternate today and that's enough for me to play Thiem -1.5. BOL with your play.
      Comment
      • Pr0bot
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-24-16
        • 153

        #4
        Since doubles play went pretty smooth im adding 10$ more on Carreno.

        James, to be honest i see pure value on Busta. Why? The 2nd slot for semis is open, he is rested, its hard court (not his favorite, but neither Dominics) and as i mentioned, feels like after RL 2017 Thiem kinda fall off.

        Gl James: )

        Ps. Forgot about the odds... For 2.5 i wouldnt play him, but for 3.4? Sure i will! : )
        Comment
        • Pr0bot
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-24-16
          • 153

          #5
          Not a single first serve in... This will be tough if Carreno wont decide to raise level of his game.
          Comment
          • Pr0bot
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-24-16
            • 153

            #6
            taking +4.5 at 2-4 score and 2.15 odds. Gl Guys
            Comment
            • Pr0bot
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-24-16
              • 153

              #7
              +4.5 cashed for 30% ROI in this match... Still hoping that Pablo is able to rebreak and put some pressure. If not, the sentence from Moneyball about good looking girlfriend and boost of confidence will be truth once again... Carreno lacks good looking gf. Simple as that.
              Comment
              • gambleForLife
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-16-12
                • 292

                #8
                Nice hit!
                Comment
                • Pr0bot
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-24-16
                  • 153

                  #9
                  We both got it! Nicely done! : )
                  Comment
                  • JamesBrown
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-07-08
                    • 3860

                    #10
                    Nice win. My bet is done so I'm hoping Pablo can get the outright win now for the upset. Cheers.
                    Comment
                    • Pr0bot
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-24-16
                      • 153

                      #11
                      Carreno fought well!! No regrets! : ) Thiem is fast, powerfull and flexible (one of the 3 best "running" guys in tour alongside with Dima and maybe Djokovic if healthy), but for f**** sake he needs some psychological coach or something. 6-3 first set, 1-0 in the 2nd and he starts talking to himself, walks like he has somekind of disability... There is already one guy who does similar things, the Andy "shut the f*** up" Murray and such behaviour costed him being an underachiever for a long time. Far too long for his skill and talent. Hopefully Thiems team will figure out how to improve in this matter, because he has no.1 potential for sure!


                      Thank you James!: ) Tommorow we will beat the living crap out of bookie in Zverev Sock showdown!
                      Comment
                      • Pr0bot
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-24-16
                        • 153

                        #12
                        Btw, offtopic, just as an info STARCRAFT 2 is now free to download via battle.net app. If you havent tried it, you should!: )
                        Comment
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